Fantasy Football Analysis High-Stakes Champ Former no. 1 Ranker on @fantasypros
Plymouth, MI
Joined May 2020
- Tweets32.1K
- Following1.8K
- Followers5.6K
- Likes42.1K
Pinned Tweet
My fantasy football rankings are built on structure, distribution, and outcome variance.
One million targets for Tyler Warren incoming
Josh Downs and Keenan Allen combined for 14 targets in Week 9. Both are gone from Indianapolis.
Tyler Warren already had 7 targets on 29 routes. Alec Pierce remains on IR.
That's a lot of work to redistribute around a TE who was already playing 81% of the snaps.
169
Josh Downs and Keenan Allen combined for 14 targets in Week 9. Both are gone from Indianapolis.
Tyler Warren already had 7 targets on 29 routes. Alec Pierce remains on IR.
That's a lot of work to redistribute around a TE who was already playing 81% of the snaps.
Hate to state the obvious, but this might be the nail in the coffin for Kyler Murray’s career as a starter in the NFL. There have been first round pick quarterbacks to revive their careers lately, but it will require a couple years of Murray playing second fiddle somewhere. Maybe it’s staying in Minnesota as a backup, or maybe he is a bridge quarterback somewhere else. Minnesota was his best chance to recharge and reignite the magic that we saw near the beginning of his career.
1
6
1,312
And! There it is!
Blockbuster! The Raiders are trading four-time Pro Bowl QB Kirk Cousins to the Vikings for their 2027 third-round pick, sources tell @ringer @netflixsports.
Cousins returns to Minnesota for the playoff push, while Las Vegas turns to No. 1 pick Fernando Mendoza.
229
It would’ve been quite the blunder.
Just in: The #Eagles-#Bengals trade that was supposed to send DE Arnold Ebiketie to Cincinnati is not happening, per @Schultz_Report.
Had the trade gone through, there was a formula where the Bengals could’ve lost a compensatory 3rd-round pick for losing Trey Hendrickson in free agency. It's complicated, but the trade is off.
297
Justin Jefferson vs zone:
29% target rate, 2.43 yards per route on 100 routes.
T.J. Hockenson:
27%, 1.87 on 98 routes.
Buffalo plays 75.8% zone.
Hockenson has been close to JJ in target rate within this split.
👀👀 how Minnesota divides those opportunities tonight.
1
1
625
When Buffalo faces a blitz:
Khalil Shakir: 29% target rate, 3.63 yards per route on 51 routes
Dalton Kincaid: 26%, 2.62 on 42 routes
Minnesota blitzes 74.2% of the time.
Both have earned targets in those situations.
I’m 👀👀 where Allen goes with the extra rush tonight.
Minnesota blitzes on 74.2% of dropbacks.
League average: 31.7%.
Josh Allen against blitzes:
8.66 yards per attempt on 72 dropbacks.
Without a blitz: 8.79 on 165.
Sending extra hasn't lowered his efficiency this season in any meaningful way.
Tonight tests that at a totally different level.
3
2,314
Bradley Stalder retweeted
Fr. Andy Budzinski went from sitting in the front row at last night’s Notre Dame-Miami game to celebrating Mass at 7, 9 and 11am today at St. Matthew’s Cathedral in South Bend.
His homily tied Notre Dame’s win to the Gospel.
Fr. Andy was the Notre Dame Leprechaun in 1993.
When asked why he didn’t have someone else celebrate the 7am Mass, he simply replied:
Choose Hard.
The first of this what will be many trades (hopefully) in the next two days.
The Jaguars had been looking to bolster their defense, and Bates is a stellar get for a team with Super Bowl aspirations.
Trade: Falcons are sending former Pro Bowl safety Jessie Bates to the Jacksonville Jaguars in exchange for a 2027 2nd-round pick and a 2028 5th-round pick, sources tell ESPN.
649
Rome Odunze vs zone: 2.26 yards per route on 194 routes.
Against man: 0.63 on 46 routes.
Tampa Bay plays zone 84.4% of the time.
Luther Burden may get an interesting coverage matchup tonight but Rome Odunze has a reason to be in that conversation too.
Harold Fannin's yards per route:
Vs zone: 2.14 on 179 routes
Vs man: 0.46 on 57 routes
New Orleans plays zone 77.2% of the time.
That's a matchup detail for a TE decision this morning.
The coverage mix lines up with his more productive split.
Is Harold Fannin in your lineup today?
1
3
1,577
Week 9 start/sit thread.
Give me the players, PPR/half/standard, and how many you need to start.
If you're waiting on an injury, include your backup and when he plays.
Help me help you. "Pick two" gets a lot harder when you send me one name.
108
19
8,122
Tee Higgins vs zone: 2.90 yards per route on 195 routes.
Ja'Marr Chase: 2.24 on 189.
Atlanta plays zone 69.3% of the time.
A 1A-1B scenario for these receivers, with plenty of routes behind the numbers.
I wanna see how Burrow distributes the targets.
Bengals-Falcons kicks off at 9:30 ET.
5
3,076