Steve Grasso (@grassosteve) header
Steve Grasso (@grassosteve) profile picture

CEO Grasso Global | Wall St/NYSE pedigree | CNBC Fast Money regular | Advisor to corporate boards | Keynote speaker at conferences & business roundtables

New York
Joined May 2011
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While stocks love the year after a midterm, higher 12 months later every time since 1946. Crypto may sit this one out. A Democratic sweep leaves the CLARITY Act almost certainly dead with Warren chairing the Banking Committee.
JUST TO PUT SOME NUMBERS ON OUTCOMES. SINCE THIS IS THE SCENARIO MOST ARE PREDICTING.. Republican president, Democratic Congress: plus 16.1% 12 MONTHS OUT, 7 cases When the market was already up going into the midterm, the average gain in the 12 months after Election Day is 11.8%, vs 18.4% when the market arrived down. Positive in both cases, every time since 1946. Republican president, Republican Congress: plus 16.0%, 1 case Democratic president, Democratic Congress: plus 15.9%, 4 cases Democratic president, Republican Congress: plus 13.3%, 4 cases Split Congress: plus 12.8%, 4 cases All 20 midterms: higher 20 of 20, average plus 14.8%
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JUST TO PUT SOME NUMBERS ON OUTCOMES. SINCE THIS IS THE SCENARIO MOST ARE PREDICTING.. Republican president, Democratic Congress: plus 16.1% 12 MONTHS OUT, 7 cases When the market was already up going into the midterm, the average gain in the 12 months after Election Day is 11.8%, vs 18.4% when the market arrived down. Positive in both cases, every time since 1946. Republican president, Republican Congress: plus 16.0%, 1 case Democratic president, Democratic Congress: plus 15.9%, 4 cases Democratic president, Republican Congress: plus 13.3%, 4 cases Split Congress: plus 12.8%, 4 cases All 20 midterms: higher 20 of 20, average plus 14.8%
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Add the data center panic to that list. Election season fever, nothing more. No legislation. No law. Anywhere. Two governors paused permits. That is the entire moratorium wave, and it most likely subsides the day after the midterms too.
MORGAN STANLEY SEES POST-ELECTION MARKET REBOUND Morgan Stanley's Michael Wilson expects the current equity correction to end as several major risks clear, including the U.S. midterm elections. S&P 500 targets: 🔸 Near-term downside: 7,100–7,200 🔸 Year-end base case: 8,000 Wilson identifies three catalysts: AI financing concerns, midterm elections and tightening financial conditions. The key takeaway: Liquidity remains the biggest near-term risk, but a potential Fed pivot could trigger a market rebound. Morgan Stanley notes that midterm elections have historically been followed by strong 6–12-month equity returns. Related tickers: $SPY , $QQQ , $IWM , $TLT Source: Morgan Stanley — Michael Wilson
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Tech stocks under pressure as $XLK slides and $CRWV sinks! @GuyAdami, Dan Nathan, @KarenFinerman and @GrassoSteve unpack today’s tech sell-off: cnbc.com/video/2026/10/22/fa…
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