
British-American expat, author, political economist of the free market variety. Former classicist. Economic Freedom at @ceidotorg. Commanders and SAFC fan.
Washington, DC
Joined July 2008
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My new book, The Socialist Temptation, is out today! Get your copy at Amazon or all fine booksellers.
amazon.com/Socialist-Temptat…
Iain Murray retweeted
What happened here:
- Mbappe made an offhanded comment that called Mao a dictator
- China is *intensely* nationalistic in a way most Westerners have no real experience with
- Chinese social media blows up every perceived insult to China into a discourse nuclear bomb.
- The CCP tacitly encourages this as they think it's politically useful
- 95% of the time, whichever Western brand did something to 'offend' the chinese - like quoting the Dalai Lama, acknowledging the existence of Taiwan, or criticizing the CCP - will do a humiliation ritual of prostrating themselves and apologizing for the grave offense, because $$$$$$
LALIGA lamenta profundamente la ofensa que los recientes comentarios de Kylian Mbappé han causado entre los aficionados chinos. Estos comentarios fueron realizados a título personal y no representan a LALIGA. En la medida de nuestra responsabilidad institucional, pedimos disculpas en nombre de LALIGA y de todos sus clubes.
El fútbol español defiende el respeto, la convivencia y la unión entre personas de todas las culturas. Trasladamos nuestro respeto a China, a sus instituciones y a su pueblo, y valoramos profundamente el apoyo de los millones de aficionados que nos siguen cada semana. Reafirmamos nuestro compromiso con una relación construida durante años.
Estamos trabajando con nuestros socios e interlocutores institucionales en China para abordar esta situación. Asimismo, pondremos en marcha, en colaboración con los clubes y los jugadores, un protocolo de sensibilización y comunicación que promueva el respeto a las distintas culturas y contribuya a prevenir situaciones similares.
Readers added context they thought people might want to know
Contexto importante: Mao Zedong fue efectivamente un dictador.
es.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mao_Zedong
Iain Murray retweeted
Mbappé called Mao a dictator and now he's been forced to apologise. What a world we live in.
This is the value of prediction markets - consolidating dispersed knowledge.
S&P Dow Jones Indices and Kalshi are joining forces to build the next generation of financial markets.
The Dow launched in 1896. The S&P 500 in 1957. The idea was simple: bring individual stocks together into a single benchmark, giving people a clearer view of the broader market.
Over time, products built around those benchmarks transformed investing. Index funds, ETFs, futures, and options gave investors ways to gain diversified market exposure and hedge broad market swings.
These indices became foundations of global finance. More than $20 trillion is indexed or benchmarked to the S&P 500 alone.
Today, this structure extends beyond stocks to bonds, commodities, currencies, and more.
The next step is to bring that structure to the events that shape everyone’s lives.
Through this partnership, S&P Dow Jones Indices and Kalshi will work together to create indices composed of Kalshi event contracts.
Think about what that opens up.
An index of political power. An index of supply chain risk. An index tracking AI’s impact on employment. An index of sports outcomes that affect broadcasters, advertisers, cities, and small businesses. An index of weather risks that shape harvests, energy demand, and business revenues.
Each would bundle event contracts into a single indicator, helping people understand how related risks are evolving.
Over time, products built around these indices could offer diversified exposure to those events and new ways to hedge their impact.
The events that shape our lives could become as easy to track and gain exposure to as the S&P 500.
This post is a bit of a comedy of errors.
Is "Who's on First?" funny? marginalrevolution.com/margi…
Iain Murray retweeted
This stuff's just incredible. Our politics is nowhere near grasping how big the changes are that are already underway. We are no longer at the "AI is going to change everything" stage. We're now in the midst of "AI has already changed everything."
Announcing three major scientific discoveries, one each in mathematics (harmonic analysis), computer science (complexity theory), and physics (quantum field theory).
AI starting to help us improve our understanding of the universe! openai.com/index/building-sc…
Iain Murray retweeted
This says it all. Parliament has cancelled the debate planned for this evening on AI - because the debate beforehand on the Post Office is (like the post itself) taking too long. On the day Anthropic files for its IPO Britain is debating Victorian communications infrastructure
Interestingly, freedom comes top when asked about shared values. There's life in the old dog yet.
news.gallup.com/poll/716093/…
Iain Murray retweeted
I don't understand why more people haven't watched The Ascent of Man. Civilisation and The World at War are rightly celebrated as masterpieces of British television, but Jacob Bronowski's superb account of human progress through scientific discovery is every bit as good!
He was brilliant as Bester in Babylon Five. RIP.
Walter Koenig, who played Chekov in the original “Star Trek” series and seven “Star Trek” feature films, has died at 90.
variety.com/2026/film/news/w…
I have always said that @EuroBriefing is the most insightful observer of the European economic scene. This is sobering.
This is what worries me. About France and about the UK...
"No one can tell when, exactly, a crisis might arrive: it depends on the country and its politics. Yet once investors conclude that a country cannot conceivably afford to pay the debt, interest rates will surely start to jump, the mechanism through which practically every financial crisis plays out. We are in the phase where everybody still pretends that the situation is under control, and that all that needs to happen is for governments to save a bit of money here and there. In practice, though, ministers of all stripes find this hard"
And
"Looking at the presidential candidates in France today ahead of the election next April, I struggle to see how the country will end up with a government that succeeds in doing all of the following: bringing the budget deficit under control; avoiding social unrest; complying with European rules; and staying in the eurozone. Something has to give here."
And
"Yet what many Europeans, including politicians, don’t understand is the relationship between debt and membership of the eurozone. Put simply: you can’t default on your debt and expect to keep the euro. Debt serves as collateral for the money the banking system gets from the ECB. If a country defaults on its debt, the banking system inevitably freezes up....
... France defaulting on its debt would likely lead to a French exit from the euro. Should we ever get to this point, the ensuing financial crisis would dwarf everything we have ever experienced. Financial institutions would fail all over the world. For its part, the eurozone might not survive, as other countries default on their debts and crash out in turn. Ironically, one of the European countries most affected in this scenario would be the UK. Despite not being a member of the EU, let alone the eurozone, Britain’s capital market would be deeply vulnerable to chaos across the Channel."
Does anyone believe @UKLabour has the economic nous to navigate this when our own finances are so shaky?
unherd.com/2026/10/how-the-n…
We solved the problem of being too cold (which, as a reminder, kills far more people than heatwaves, every year).
Net Zero brought it back, and leads to this piffle.
Before you crank up the thermostat, try these tips to keep your house warmer for longer bbc.in/48gLc8A
Iain Murray retweeted
We know where the equilibrium of predatory politics leads—a point French economists should recognize with particular clarity given their country’s long arc from the Revolution to dirigisme. Yet conceptions of social justice remain alluring enough that some economists continue to advocate expansions of the political domain that invite such predation. A more proper and humble economics, by contrast, confines itself to the design of rules that keep politics within well-defined tasks, thereby preventing the predatory equilibrium.
James M. Buchanan:
Iain Murray retweeted
I was on @CSPAN's WASHINGTON JOURNAL @cspanwj discussing my new @EncounterBooks THE CIVILIZATION OF COMMERCE. You can watch the 40-minute conversation here:
c-span.org/program/washingto…
1/10 In my latest for @AIER, I argue that America already has a conception of the common good, rooted in its founding. It is ordered liberty, sustained by constitutional institutions. The real threat to that common good came from progressivism, not classical liberalism.
9/10 Tocqueville recognized that American liberty depended on self-reliant individuals, voluntary associations, and communities free to govern themselves. Progressivism weakened this ecology of self-government. The institutions of liberty were also the foundations of a virtuous society.
10/10 The American common good is the preservation of liberty: the rule of law, property rights, free expression, association, federalism, markets, and constitutional limits. Restoring these institutions is both a liberal and conservative project.
My full argument:
thedailyeconomy.org/article/…






















