Pro sports bettor. CEO @TheHammerHQ. Co-owner @Betstamp. Educational content @CirclesOffHQ, NFL content @FwdProgressHQ. Not an actual doctor.
Toronto, ON
Joined July 2010
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Somehow the people who are the most wrong are always the ones who are the most confident. There's a medical term for confidently teaching things you don't understand. It's called Twitter. Every sharp I know bets heavy favorites when the number is wrong. Every one.
Guys like this kill me man, I agreed with his statement. But he don’t like the fact that I told him no respected sharp sports bettor bets over -200.
It’s the truth, if you good at sports betting you won’t ever have to touch anything over -200 ever. I don’t knock anyone that does i’m just telling you facts
I prescribe the same thing to every patient: be price sensitive.
Everything in betting comes down to price.
It matters even more on same game parlays, where the payout on the exact same legs can vary wildly between shops.
@juice_reel shops parlay prices for you. Free. Highly recommend.
The importance of line shopping can’t be overstated, and it’s even more important on SGPs
Photo Example: McMillian Anytime TD, Watson o4.5 recs, Coker 60+ Rec Yds
Get the payouts you deserve when you hit. Night and day difference by operators
Parlay shopping and a whole lot more, completely free: juicereel.onelink.me/qkUM/di…
I grew up on Star Wars. Loved it. Still get excited for new stuff.
But my clinical opinion is that if you watched the original trilogy for the first time as an adult today, you'd think the whole franchise stinks.
Nostalgia is doing a lot of the heavy lifting.
Do the classics actually hold up? 🎃
@robpizzola says if you saw Halloween and Friday the 13th for the first time as an adult, you'd hate them 👎
Same goes for the original Star Wars trilogy 👀
Agree or disagree?
Rob Pizzola, M.D. retweeted
Week 8 NFL Best Bets | Presented By FanDuel teapawt.net/i/broadcasts/1OGwbndQp…
Clinical findings: patient bet both sides of the total and the game landed right in between.
Referring him to a proctologist. Standard procedure when a patient takes it this hard in the anus.
Patient asked “How’d that work out”
Update: the Bears traded for Simmons less than 24 hours later.
Prognosis for this take: deceased. Time of death, Thursday morning.
Great read from diggs on what Brian Flores is doing in Minnesota.
Most interesting part to me: Harrison Smith checking into the defensive call before the snap since last December. Defense has been elite ever since.
Highly recommend.
Rob Pizzola, M.D. retweeted
Former hockey blogger @EricTulsky won the 2026 Stanley Cup as an NHL GM and former baseball blogger @dturkenk just won the World Series as an SVP.
Good, smart people who made a difference in the public domain and rose up with the first pro club to give them a chance.
LFG
An NFL trend has been making the rounds this week. Over the last two seasons, teams returning from Europe without a bye are 0-8 against the spread, missing the number by more than 8 points per game.
Pittsburgh is in that spot against Cleveland. A thread on how to evaluate it.
Small samples are a fact of life in the NFL. There is no way around them. But there are still good questions you can ask.
- Does the window start where the streak starts?
- What changed?
- What else was different about these games?
- Does the effect show up where it should?
- How big is it, honestly?
- Has the price already moved / accounted for this possible effect?
If a trend survives those questions, it might be worth something. This one does not imo. That's not to say that Cleveland cannot win or cover in Pittsburgh this week, but I personally would dismiss this from my handicap altogether.
Clinical recommendation: if someone shows you a trend that begins exactly where the streak begins, with no explanation of what changed, get a second opinion.