co-founder @cosmos_vc | ordinary reasoning rendered persistent

Joined January 2015
Today @Brendan_McCord and I are launching Cosmos Ventures. AI is overturning assumptions society has organized itself around for centuries. The models keep getting better, but no level of capability can tell us what kind of society we should make with them. We need a new class of founders to build what comes next. Instead of only “building what people want” and iterating their way to product-market fit, these founders start from the question of how we should live together. They build new institutions that set the standards for how entire industries operate. They combine a philosophical vision of the society they’re building toward with the technical ability to realize it. We call them philosopher-builders. Immanuel Kant gave the Enlightenment its motto: Sapere aude. Dare to know. The AI age demands another. Condere aude. Dare to found. 🫡
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Matt Mandel retweeted
There is a lot to be said about Scott Alexander's recent essay "Against Against Handover" One more niche complaint is his justification of handover by way of the story of the Book of Samuel. As Scott tells it, after the exodus, the Israelites were governed by God. But then the dumb human Israelites demanded a human king to rule over them, which God gave them but was very very bad. Scott says before Saul became king, Israel was ruled “by judges and prophets, ie directly by God”. But it’s not as if God directed and judged the Israelites’ daily affairs. Rather it was a more diffuse rule of humans over humans that got replaced by more centralized control of a single human. The error was not in substituting man for God as political authority but in concentrating power in a single authority with arbitrary control against God’s wishes. Although Scott's allusion to the Hebrew Bible is clearly playful, there's actually a very rich history of political theorists drawing on ancient Hebrew political constitution to inform contemporary debates. The system of liberal government we have today emerged from another generation’s reading of the Hebrew political tradition. Their takeaway from it, however, was to vest political authority in fallible civil institutions instead of religious groups that ostensibly possessed special access to divine truth. Thinkers like Grotius noted that though the Israelites had directly experienced divine revelation, they didn’t prosecute foreign beliefs unless they were at odds with general morality. He argued that civil authorities like the Sanhedrin and kings used their human judgment in exercising jurisdiction over religious law instead of the priests who represented divine power. These perspectives led him and his fellow travelers to advocate for religious tolerance and the supremacy of civil authority in politics. Related arguments inspired republicans like Milton and Thomas Paine to reject monarchy. We live in a world formed by people who read the Hebrew political tradition as an argument against handing political power over to those we think have special knowledge of the true and the good.
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There is a lot to be said about Scott Alexander's recent essay "Against Against Handover" One more niche complaint is his justification of handover by way of the story of the Book of Samuel. As Scott tells it, after the exodus, the Israelites were governed by God. But then the dumb human Israelites demanded a human king to rule over them, which God gave them but was very very bad. Scott says before Saul became king, Israel was ruled “by judges and prophets, ie directly by God”. But it’s not as if God directed and judged the Israelites’ daily affairs. Rather it was a more diffuse rule of humans over humans that got replaced by more centralized control of a single human. The error was not in substituting man for God as political authority but in concentrating power in a single authority with arbitrary control against God’s wishes. Although Scott's allusion to the Hebrew Bible is clearly playful, there's actually a very rich history of political theorists drawing on ancient Hebrew political constitution to inform contemporary debates. The system of liberal government we have today emerged from another generation’s reading of the Hebrew political tradition. Their takeaway from it, however, was to vest political authority in fallible civil institutions instead of religious groups that ostensibly possessed special access to divine truth. Thinkers like Grotius noted that though the Israelites had directly experienced divine revelation, they didn’t prosecute foreign beliefs unless they were at odds with general morality. He argued that civil authorities like the Sanhedrin and kings used their human judgment in exercising jurisdiction over religious law instead of the priests who represented divine power. These perspectives led him and his fellow travelers to advocate for religious tolerance and the supremacy of civil authority in politics. Related arguments inspired republicans like Milton and Thomas Paine to reject monarchy. We live in a world formed by people who read the Hebrew political tradition as an argument against handing political power over to those we think have special knowledge of the true and the good.
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Matt Mandel retweeted
In the months before ChatGPT came out, I spent a lot of time thinking about the future of the academy In May of 2022, I wrote the below essay reviewing Josiah Bunting’s “An Education for Our Time” as a way of exploring the purpose of higher ed My biggest takeaway was that what existing universities have lost is a theory of formation - of what kind of people they want to make their students into As AI makes it easier to transform our world, the more pressing question is how we should transform ourselves Education is one of the most important institutions we’ll have to reimagine in light of AI. And to do so successfully will require answering deep philosophical questions about the good life and responsibilities of citizens
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Absurd run of movies recently We are so back
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Not surprised Korsgaard is anti AI But the seeming ascription of moral status to AI is fascinating - Korsgaard’s “Fellow Creatures” is imo (implicitly) one of the best arguments against AI moral patienthood
Christine Korsgaard is the Joyce Carol Oates of Facebook - transcending the game
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Looking forward to this!
Vision Weekend @foresightinst 40th Speaker Sneak Peek Secure, Sovereign & Resilient AI +@woj_zaremba, OpenAI Foundation +@ilblackdragon, NEAR Protocol +@sebkrier , Google DeepMind + Jenny Read, ARIA +@NicoleOzer, Electronic Frontier Foundation Neuro AI & AI for Neuro +@SumnerLN, Merge + Matthew MacDougall, Neuralink +@maxhodak_ , Science Corporation +@JoanneZPeng, Amaranth Foundation +@AdamMarblestone, Convergent Research +@Matt_R_Angle, Paradromics Life Unlimited: Biotech & Biosecurity +@thekaransinghal, OpenAI +@mattkrisiloff, Conception Bio + @hannu, Red Queen Bio +@velychko_s, Harvard University Nano, Energy & Space + Ralph Merkle, Institute for Molecular Manufacturing +Ivan Jayapurna, ARIA +@schingler, Planet Labs +@erika_alden_d, Pioneer Labs + @ltelkins, UC Berkeley Space Sciences Lab For Profit Funding Paradigms +@v_maini, Mythos +@zweinberg, Ex Ante +@_mattmandel, Cosmos Ventures Nonprofit Funding Paradigms +@nanransohoff, Frontier Climate +@rohan_subramani, Coefficient Giving +@seemaychou, Astera Institute, Navigation Fund +@tkalil2050, RenPhil Existential Hope+ + @mattbotvinick, Anthropic +@RosieCampbell, Eleos AI Research +@PracheeAC, Astera Institute +@robinhanson, George Mason University +@gladstein, Human Rights Foundation + Anti debate with @Liv_Boeree + Office hours with our favorite orgs, @AsimovPress, @BuckInstitute, @BlueDotImpact, @activatefellows, @farairesearch, @collect_intel, @Spec__Tech, @JoinEdgeCity, @LBF_org, @PrincInt, @TheIHS, and more. + Sci-fi book swap, unconference, pitch competition, tech demos, anniversary festivities, tea social, and more. + Speaker & Sponsor Gatherings like pre-party aboard the USS Hornet aircraft carrier, lab tours at @E11BIO, @LongshotSpace, CalWave,@ScienceCorp_, Dolphin Labs, plus a Foresight 40th Anniversary Soiree. It's hard to overstate how excited I am for this weekend celebrating futures of Existential Hope unlocked by science and technology. Thanks to our partners for making this event possible @protocollabs, @paradromics, @RetroBio_, @eigenlabs, @FUTO_Tech, @d_model_ai Event page & tickets: foresight.org/events/vision-…
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Quarterly reminder that @_AashishReddy is criminally under-followed
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People love to tell you about how actually P=NP won't necessarily break cryptography because algorithms in P can still have insane constants/exponents
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I’m sympathetic to @tylercowen’s two cheers for EA But for such a vital philosophical movement, they’re surprisingly shallow on the foundations of their worldview matthewmandel.com/writing/on… Despite the distinct philosophical vibe, they could actually probably use more philosophers to better develop their theory of normativity. If you want people to follow you to surprising conclusions, you’d want to make sure you’re starting from a really solid base
"Effective altruism is directionally correct, even if you should not follow its recommendations all the way." @tylercowen self-recommending as usual thefp.com/p/in-defense-of-ef…
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Fregean mysticism
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I spent three years sitting next to Nik and Fred - and still couldn’t be more excited for an opportunity to listen to them discuss venture!
Writing a check doesn’t qualify you to give advice. When @fredwilson was 29 he tried to show up to a board meeting and start giving advice. One of the founders stopped him, “come do every job in the company for a week, then we’ll listen.” So he flew to Buffalo and did it. With @uninsightful staying at USV as an Investment Partner, I asked the two of them to sit down and compare notes on a business they entered almost four decades apart. Nikhil is the first analyst in our program’s 20-year history that we've offered the opportunity to stay and move up in the firm. They covered earning a founder’s trust, building conviction before your partners agree, and staying open to ideas that challenge your strongest held beliefs. They also got into where USV has been right, where we’ve been (very) wrong, and how the venture business is changing. 0:00 Preview 1:46 Why Difficult Founders Make the Most Money 5:20 Before You Give a Founder Advice, Earn the Right 11:28 @fomo: We Passed. Then Spent Six Months Trying to Get In. 20:20 Biology Is Becoming Programmable and Opening Up to Outsiders 22:49 When Knowing Less Helps You See More 26:34 How Do You Compete With a $100 Billion VC Firm? 34:45 Why Fred Would Take His Company Public 38:01 What USV Gets Wrong About Founders 40:47 The Moat AI Hasn’t Broken: Network Effects 44:33 Who Wins When AI Becomes Multiplayer?
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Go work with @connacher_!
If you're in my network and know of any talented/curious founding engineer types, I am humbly requesting a DM. I will make it worth your time!
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Matt Mandel retweeted
Come join @GilRubinstein and me in reading texts—ancient, modern, and contemporary—to better understand the philosophical (i.e., the human) stakes of AI. Thank you to @cosmos_inst for the support, and we're excited to be piloting this experiment! 👇👇👇
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This is a good read from @aengus_lynch1, gives a useful way to think about the emerging ai safety stack and the role of formal verification
I built agentic misalignment simulations to fire warning shots. Now it's obvious that the AI safety stack is buckling. I wrote an essay about where it's breaking and how we might build safety that scales. aenguslynch.com/no-more-warn… [1/n]
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"Understand" – Ted Chiang (1991)
Will standard game theory break when two superintelligences interact because they can simulate each other's code?
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In the months before ChatGPT came out, I spent a lot of time thinking about the future of the academy In May of 2022, I wrote the below essay reviewing Josiah Bunting’s “An Education for Our Time” as a way of exploring the purpose of higher ed My biggest takeaway was that what existing universities have lost is a theory of formation - of what kind of people they want to make their students into As AI makes it easier to transform our world, the more pressing question is how we should transform ourselves Education is one of the most important institutions we’ll have to reimagine in light of AI. And to do so successfully will require answering deep philosophical questions about the good life and responsibilities of citizens
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Matt Mandel retweeted
Found @slatestarcodex’s machzor
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