
Nerd/Techie Fighting A.I & $BTC FUD | $BTC ≠ Crypto | A.I. Super-User | Member: @TNorth | Contributor: @Roxom // @BitcoinForCorps | Data-Driven Analysis
Joined December 2009
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As BTC-TCs, both @Strategy | @Strive rely on robust capital markets access to scale the Treasury Model.
Through Digital Credit, they’ve opened additional capital-raising channels and, in my view, created a new asset class. The resulting preferred securities now trade as their own cohort | block in a secondary market, adjacent to $BTC and their “parent equities”, not separate from them.
My research at True North examines $STRC through that lens: buybacks, market structure, and the transmission channels connecting the offering to the wider complex.
This connection shows up in the data - the following results are from a broader analysis of all five preferred offerings: $STRK | $STRF | $STRD | $STRC | $SATA - using their price histories since inception and rolling attribution models built on matched trading sessions.
The results below are from a 9-4-26 snapshot of that larger analysis: a 60-session window spanning 6-11-26 through 9-4-26, covering the selloff, the pre-buyback rebound, and the buyback execution period.
Within that window, a model built on orthogonal (uncorrelated) factors explained 74.65% of daily price return variance in $STRC. The three largest allocations, expressed as shares of that explained variance, were:
a] Other (Non-STRC) Preferreds: ~44.7%
b] MSTR (ex-BTC): ~39.2%
c] BTC: ~15.7%
Read the full analysis here: tnorth.com/research/strc-buy…
STRC | Buybacks vs Trading Activity (Updated)
According to today’s 8-K, Strategy repurchased 2,068,459 $STRC shares for $204.9M between 10-19 and 10-25, at an implied average cost of ~$99.06 per share.
Matched against the trading week (10-19 to 10-23):
[1] Repurchase Spending: $204.9M [+6.11%]
[2] Shares Repurchased: 2.068M [+6.69%]
[3] Repurchases vs. Dollar Turnover: 27.60% vs. 19.49%
[4] Repurchases vs. Share Turnover: 27.58% vs. 19.46%
TL/DR: Strategy bought more while overall $STRC trading declined.
Across 14 reporting periods beginning 7-20 and ending 10-25, Strategy has spent $2.043B repurchasing 20.98M shares; equivalent to 20.63% of dollar turnover and 20.45% of share turnover across matched trading sessions.
The Digital Credit Securities Repurchase Program has $956.8M in remaining authorization.
Big $BTC buy for the team at @Strive
₿6,182 Acquired | ₿43,000 Total
₿40K milestone passed, ₿50K in sight.
Elon’s view on debt markets is valid for "pure plays" that lack independent cash flow, but access to capital isn't limited to one kind of debt | borrowing.
For larger public neoclouds, capital markets are open: $CRWV, $NBIS, $IREN, and other peers trade tens of millions of shares each day which creates capacity to issue equity through ATM if | when debt is costly or unavailable.
Yes, it's possible that a debt freeze could lead to consolidation but that doesnt automatically block funding for entities with sufficiently liquid public floats.
Debt is one option, equity is another and as long as liquidity and trading volume keep the capital market access open a credit crunch might act as a near term constraint or quality filter rather than a death blow.
Replying to @chamath
Pretty much.
As of the past few weeks, debt markets have almost entirely shut off access to money for any company that doesn’t have substantial revenue independent of AI data centers.
SpaceX closed $40B of debt for GPUs, but we’re investment grade and have Starlink & launch revenue.
That means the 200+ neoclouds are going to see guppy-level death and consolidation. Some will make it through, but not many.
Is the A.I. "bubble" popping? What does that mean for $BTC?
Adrian Morris retweeted
ADRIAN MORRIS ON AI, ASST, MSTR, SATS xitter.cf/i/broadcasts/1nGeLMAlm…
$MSTR | $ASST | $STRC | $SATA: Now almost 6 months since it was recorded, but @coffeebreak_YT still hasn't released the @PunterJeff episode on his channel.
Sat down with @coffeebreak_YT today on Bitcoin and Digital Credit.
His edit will drop soon. Posting the full raw hour for anyone who wants the unfiltered version.
Enjoy
Smarter Web Livestream #9 - Adrian Morris & Miller Cole xitter.cf/i/broadcasts/1rGmqpMeg…
Bitcoin’s volatility can keep large pools of income seeking capital on the sidelines.
Through 10-16-2026, all Digital Credit offerings have outperformed $BTC with lower volatility over their respective periods.
That’s the opportunity for Digital Credit: lower volatility than spot $BTC, offering yields above many traditional alternatives.
That combination will attract investors who would otherwise avoid direct $BTC exposure, expand the TAM of $BTC, and spur new demand over time.
Adrian Morris retweeted
I want a Kung-Fu Legend Guardian to protect me and my $BTC
Check out @PunterJeff going solo dolo on this week's episode on @TNorth - "The Frontier of Credit"
True North Episode 83: The Frontier of Credit xitter.cf/i/broadcasts/1aJbdEawo…
I want a Kung-Fu Legend Guardian to protect me and my $BTC


















