Jonathan Schanzer (@JSchanzer) header
Jonathan Schanzer (@JSchanzer) profile picture

Executive Director @FDD. Former @USTreasury terror finance analyst. Coiner of Schanzerisms. Author of 4 books on the Middle East. Host of FDD Morning Brief.

Standing on the moon
Joined December 2010
Photo by Jonathan Schanzer (@JSchanzer)Photo by Jonathan Schanzer (@JSchanzer)Photo by Jonathan Schanzer (@JSchanzer)Photo by Jonathan Schanzer (@JSchanzer)Photo by Jonathan Schanzer (@JSchanzer)Photo by Jonathan Schanzer (@JSchanzer)Photo by Jonathan Schanzer (@JSchanzer)Photo by Jonathan Schanzer (@JSchanzer)Photo by Jonathan Schanzer (@JSchanzer)Photo by Jonathan Schanzer (@JSchanzer)
U.S. military aid to Israel isn’t charity. On today’s episode of the @FDD Morning Brief, @realSamuelBenUr joins me to explain how the U.S.-Israel MOU strengthens American troops, defense manufacturers, and national security. teapawt.net/i/broadcasts/1mxPaZvVQ…
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Jonathan Schanzer retweeted
Every time this lunatic speaks, she dishonors the work of @UN employees in the field who risk their lives to deliver food, medicine, and shelter in some of the remotest locations on earth. Where is the leadership of the so-called human rights pillar when one of its own foments hatred and spreads blood libels, all to applause from far too many Member States?
Francesca Albanese: “Israel has always killed children... torture, even rape... raped by dogs trained in European countries. European people are profiting from selling dogs that will rape people.” Irish Sen. Chris Andrews: “Thank you for your ongoing advocacy. It's inspiring.”
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Everyone wants to weigh in with their Most Astute Take™ on the midterms. But no one wants to even factor in the glaringly obvious: the US has been under the most sustained information attack by foreign states in decades, if not generations. Foreign adversaries have learned to weaponize the very protections and safeguards – First Amendment, Section 230, privacy laws – that make discourse online possible. They use our shield as their weapon. These actors have learned that they don't need to "hack Facebook" — as the press claimed Russia did in 2016. (In fact, that had no measurable impact.) They found that they don't need to infiltrate voting systems. Instead, they have learned to focus on seeding poisonous narratives into virtually every open information system online. It's not only effective, but it's remarkably efficient. The influence happens in various ways: 1. Bot manipulation – Accounts/shows that see enormous engagement surges on particular issues are motivated to double down on the messaging that the bot swarms respond to. 2. Direct incentives – Money and influence. This comes in the form of corporate financing, advertising deals materially larger than their market value. (Did Hasan Piker go to China just for kicks?) 3. Information poisoning – Bringing fringe narratives into the mainstream by seeding them into open, trusted platforms (e.g. Wikipedia). 4. Discourse radicalization – Actors tied to foreign adversarial states pull the discourse further to the fringe. There is no accountability mechanism, so these actors are free to not just say, but endlessly repeat, the most extreme, toxic, and false claims. 5. Network building – As one example: the Singham Network can build, fund, and run ideological networks with alarming success rates. These are broad categories; they break down into thousands of smaller tactics. Further, they innovate. Foreign adversaries have an ability to test and experiment, since state budgets are virtually unlimited relative to the cost. Even more damagingly, there is almost no mainstream journalistic reporting on, or investigation into, malign influence by foreign actors in information spaces. Can we name a single public investigation into information operations by US adversaries like China in recent months? (It's as if, after a decade of "Russia, Russia, Russia," the press simply forgot this is a thing.) Even in the rare cases where we catch and expose these activities, there is almost never consequences: Example 1 - Recall the right-wing influencer taking $10m per year from the Russian government, whose posts seemed design to sowed division? Far from consequences, this individual was entirely let off the hook and even invited back into the country. Example 2 – Al Jazeera's digital network, AJ+, was ordered by DOJ to register as a foreign agent – and simply ignored the order. Were they shut down? Did their operation even slow down? Example 3 – Chinese operatives work in plain site on social platforms, disclosing their affiliations while dragging the discourse into the anti-American fringe. Example 4 – The CCP-linked Singham Network, which funds groups like Code Pink, was exposed in recent months and still functions seamlessly. Example 5 – Influencers and podcasters traveled to Cuba, apparently coordinating with the Cuban government, and are caught doing so. Have any one of them ceased or even decreased their activities? WHAT REALLY MATTERS This is the core imbalance: autocratic states running these operations have no – literally zero – checks on their capabilities: + They face no domestic journalistic investigation. + There is no Oversight Committee demanding answers. + There is no FOIA process to produce information. + There is no consequence in rare cases of exposure. Total freedom to maneuver on the information battlefield. We think, naively, that because these platforms are owned by US companies and regulated by American bodies that they are "ours." Nothing could be further from the truth.
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What happened after the Arab Spring unraveled? On the latest episode of The One Way Ticket Show @towtshow @JSchanzer, Executive Director of the @FDD Foundation for Defense of Democracies examines #Turkey and #Qatar's ties to the #MuslimBrotherhood, Turkey’s hosting of #Hamas, and what he describes as Turkey’s role in allowing ISIS fighters to reach Syria. Catch the full conversation on The One Way Ticket Show's YouTube channel: youtube.com/watch?v=L7nx-WZl… or on the show's website tinyurl.com/mrys8dn4 or wherever you download your podcasts, simply search for: The One Way Ticket Show. #MiddleEast
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“The world is one big chessboard right now,” @JSchanzer tells @nypost. “The administration sees China as the number one adversary and is positioning the United States for a fierce competition over the coming decades.” nypost.com/2026/11/03/us-new…
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Jonathan Schanzer retweeted
Mr. Vice-President, Please allow me to present a different perspective. The problem was not the Iran War. It was the cease fire. If you start a war, you need to win it and finish it – otherwise don’t start it. This war should have been over six months ago, with the Strait of Hormuz wide open and oil flowing. The second and third tiers of Iranian leadership should have been destroyed, and we should have supported the pro-western forces who could have taken leadership. We stood on the brink of a new, more peaceful Middle East - and then we blinked. We had a chance not only to deny Iran nuclear weapons, but to get rid of the world’s biggest supporter of terrorism. Instead, we had a cease fire, which was followed by months of will we or won’t we finish the job. Every day was a different message. There still is. Is the war over? Is it about to begin? No one knows. There is confusion and inconsistency. In June 2025, America was not involved. This was an Israel vs Iran issue. No one forced the United States to attack Iran then, or in February of 2026. It was a decision made by President Trump. In my opinion, it was the right decision. Once the decision was made, we should not have stopped until the regime fell. But instead, you negotiated a cease fire that didn’t last, didn’t work and left us in no man’s land, with higher prices and our troops still deployed. Our troops could have been home, the Navy returned to its bases, a peaceful regime in place , new alliances forged, and gas prices below $3.00 a gallon. No, Mr. Vice President. It’s not the war. It’s the so-called cease fire.
One of the things the data analysts on our side obsessed over was "composition"—whether the electorate looked close enough to 2024 for Republicans to win. And despite polls that showed a Democrat blowout, the data kept on telling us the same story: in some states turnout was merely OK, in other states it was downright amazing, and in no state was it catastrophic. There was a genuine sense of optimism on our team: our people were showing up. So, I asked the smartest data guy I know, does that mean we're going to shock the world? "No," he told me. "We might do better than the polls suggest. But the data is telling us that a lot of Trump/Vance 2024 voters are pissed and planning to vote for the other guys. Our voters are turning out, but they may not vote for us." Well, that looks prophetic now. Our voters did show up. In Florida, for example, the electorate was 9 points more Republican than Democrat, just a couple points worse than 2024. Undoubtedly there were places we could have done better on turnout. But the main problem is not turnout. The main problem is that many people who voted for Trump/Vance in 2024 voted for Democrats in 2026. There will be a lot of infighting and arguing over what happened and why that is. One of the pollsters I really respect told me that our economic messaging wasn’t sharp enough down the stretch. I’m sure that’s true. But the real reason we lost is obvious to almost everyone. Another pollster—one of the smartest people I know in politics, told me yesterday we’d lose the generic ballot by 13 points. I felt negative going into Tuesday, but even I was shocked by this. In his polling, he saw that a lot of Trump 2024 voters were angry and planning to vote for Democrats. He asked those voters who had abandoned us what would cause them to come back on our team. The top four answers, accounting for nearly all of the responses were: 1) End the war 2) Focus on cost of living/inflation 3) Put America First 4) Change our relationship to Israel Our voters showed up. And the above four reasons are why many of them voted for Democrats. This is according to a pollster who nailed the results. While many spent Monday attacking Rachel Campos Duffy for calling for a diplomatic resolution to the conflict, it turns out her political advice was sound. (She’s also a great person.) In the next few months, there's going to be a lot of gaslighting. Expect to hear any number of establishment politicians say the solution to our woes is amnesty. I'm open to the idea that we should change enforcement—by focusing more on businesses that hire illegal labor, for instance. But anyone pushing amnesty is lying to you. The reason we lost is the war. The president himself said so last night. If you'd like to argue it was worth it, that losing the Senate for the next 6 years was worth it, then do so. Argue it was a worthwhile cost to pay. Agree or disagree, that's at least honest. But everyone knows why we lost. And any honest conversation about where we go from here must start there. I remain hopeful about our country. To the people who are pissed off and want to say, “I told you so”: you’re right, you did tell us so. Take that energy into electing Republicans who share your worldview. To the people who are just pissed at the results, you should be. Let’s take that anger and get back to the work of saving our country.
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As yesterday's remarks by President Trump intensify debate over U.S. aid for Israel, SAPIR's recent debate with @DrMichael Oren and @JSchanzer offers a deeply considered exploration of what it means for Israel and where the situation may be headed.youtube.com/watch?v=iExyOKM2…
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Truly enjoyable conversation here with @stevenshalowitz, The One Way Ticket Show. My ticket is to NYC 1961 to hear the jazz greats live. Listen past that for memories of my childhood, how Sayyid Qutb hated jazz & Middle East analysis galore. youtu.be/L7nx-WZl8jw
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Jonathan Schanzer retweeted
Fair distinctions — criticizing a foreign government isn't incitement, and American Jews aren't Israel. But grocery prices have many causes: energy, weather, labor, supply chains, trade policy, corporate margins. When an ad picks exactly one country, Israel, as the reason your food costs more, that's questionable on the merits before you even get to history. And maybe it's my German upbringing, but 'the Jews are why your prices are up' is one of the oldest tropes there is. The Nazis blamed 'Jewish speculators' for the 1923 hyperinflation (some Germans called the worthless banknotes 'Jew confetti'). Goebbels's paper “Der Angriff“ claimed Jews were buying up food to inflate prices. Robert Ley blamed 'Jewish jugglers' when the French franc was devalued. During the war, Jews were blamed for shortages and the black market. So when an ad draws a straight line from Israel to your grocery bill, some people hear an echo. Not because the policy critique is off limits, but because that particular shape of argument has a long and ugly history.
Criticizing Muslim countries is fair game. I don't see how that would constitute incitement against American Muslims. American Muslims aren't the same as any foreign government. We already have our country: America. As for conflating American Jews with Israel, that's an anti-semitic trope. And as has been extensively reported, the Israel government played a not insignificant role in driving the Trump administration towards war with Iran, which has in turn led to higher grocery prices. This isn't controversial.
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Important via @JSchanzer and @AmrAlBidh on the Houthis
How much of Yemen do the Houthis control right now? @AmrAlBidh joins @JSchanzer on the FDD Morning Brief to give a rundown on what the situation is with the Houthis right now. 📹 Full episode here: youtube.com/watch?v=kME5JMZL…
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How much of Yemen do the Houthis control right now? @AmrAlBidh joins @JSchanzer on the FDD Morning Brief to give a rundown on what the situation is with the Houthis right now. 📹 Full episode here: youtube.com/watch?v=kME5JM…
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Jonathan Schanzer retweeted
How much of Yemen do the Houthis control right now? @AmrAlBidh joins @JSchanzer on the FDD Morning Brief to give a rundown on what the situation is with the Houthis right now. 📹 Full episode here: youtube.com/watch?v=kME5JMZL…
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As Israel’s parties scramble to build a coalition after last week’s elections, President Herzog has a message for Netanyahu and Eisenkot — climb down the ladder of partisanship. 🔗 Catch the full episode of the @FDD Morning Brief here: youtube.com/watch?v=kME5JMZL…
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Grateful to @JSchanzer and @FDD for the conversation on the Morning Brief today. Why a southern buffer zone matters, what the Houthis' control of Bab el-Mandeb means for global shipping, and where the STC goes from here.
The STC once looked like southern Yemen’s future. Now, with Houthi threats looming and tensions with Saudi Arabia rising, its future is in flux. On today’s episode of @FDD Morning Brief, @AmrAlBidh joins me to explain what comes next. youtube.com/watch?v=kME5JMZL…
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