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The Picks Office
Joined February 2019
Good morning winners! 32-14 (69.6%) +15.9 units last 46 picks 11-2 (84.6%) last 13 NBA picks 29-16 (64.4%) last 45 NFL picks 12-2 (85.7%) last 14 NCAAF picks 62-34 (64.6%) last 96 NHL picks
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Nick Suzuki had 12 points in 9 games before his injury. Montreal now visits St. Louis without him and Ivan Demidov, with Oliver Kapanen projected between Cole Caufield and Juraj Slafkovsky. I'm taking Blues ML against that reshuffled Canadiens forward group. St. Louis has averaged 3.50 goals per game since Oct. 13. The Blues also get two full days off after Saturday's home game. Montreal gets one, plus the trip from Winnipeg to St. Louis.
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Picks Office retweeted
Toronto's Kawhi Leonard is expected to miss a period of weeks due to swelling in his left knee, sources tell ESPN. MRI on Leonard's knee showed no structural damage, but sides will use the shorter term to ramp him back up after the stoppages during the offseason.
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Say you have three hypothetical parlay legs, each with a 60% chance to win. If they're mutually independent, the chance all three win is 0.6 × 0.6 × 0.6 = 0.216, or 21.6%. There's a 78.4% chance at least one loses. Check the whole ticket's chance to hit, not just each leg's. The multiplication shortcut requires independence. Don't assume that for a same-game parlay or multiply correlated legs this way.
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Red Wings @ Oilers Under 6.5 (+115)
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HARRRYYYY KANEEEEE 😭😭😭❤️❤️❤️
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Over 237.5 at -110 in Grizzlies-Jazz starts with Memphis attacking a defense that has allowed 124.7 points per game through its first 3 games. 11-2 (84.6%) last 13 NBA picks Ty Jerome scored 45 against Utah's drop coverage in the opener. Sacramento tried traps and blitzes Sunday, and he answered with 31 points and 14 made free throws. Utah has scored 120 and 123 in its 2 home games since the opener. Sunday's 123 came on 10-for-35 shooting from 3. The Jazz grabbed 20 offensive rebounds in that game, helping generate 95 shot attempts. They now face a Memphis team that allowed Sacramento 16 offensive rebounds Sunday.
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The Brewers bring a 2-0 World Series lead and 7 straight wins to Tampa Bay for Game 3. The Rays have won 12 of their last 14 home games. Brewers: - 4+ runs in 4 of their last 5 games. - Brice Turang: 1+ hit in 12 of his last 16 games. - Jake Bauers: 1+ hit in 7 straight games. Rays: - Led after 5 innings in 6 straight home games. - Jonathan Aranda: 1+ hit in 14 of his last 18 home games. - Probable starter Freddy Peralta: 15+ outs in 9 of his last 11 games. Brewers or Rays: who wins?
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Tanner McKee's expected second start this season comes against a Cowboys defense that has missed 48 tackles. He completed 20 of 29 throws under 10 air yards against Carolina. 29-16 (64.4%) last 45 NFL picks I'm taking Eagles +4.5 -110 against a Dallas defense allowing 26.5 points per game. Dallas Goedert is cleared after a full Saturday practice. He has 12 catches since returning in Week 5. Dallas calls passes on 70.4% of its plays. Philadelphia has allowed opponents to complete 60.4% of their throws, the sixth-lowest rate in the NFL.
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I'm taking Mavericks-Heat Over 239.5 at -105 with Kyrie Irving expected back against Miami's perimeter defense. The Heat have allowed 42% shooting from three through their first 3 games. 11-2 (84.6%) last 13 NBA picks Irving scored 24 points in 25 minutes at Indiana on Friday, making 5 of 10 threes. Dallas has also gotten 11.7 points per game from Marcus Sasser off the bench. He's shot 57% from three through those 3 games. At the other end, Giannis Antetokounmpo is expected to face a Dallas frontcourt missing Dereck Lively II and Santi Aldama. Giannis has averaged 28.3 points and 10 free-throw attempts through Miami's first 3 games.
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The NBA’s stamp of approval will carry weight with fans. I hope they don’t mistake that for the league vouching for every trade on the app.
The NBA is formally stepping into the prediction markets ecosystem. The league announced agreements Monday morning with Kalshi and Polymarket that will allow the companies to use official league data and intellectual property and give the league control over what trades the companies are allowed to offer. nyti.ms/4smgsfG
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Dallas and Philadelphia are both 2-4. The Eagles have won 3 of the last 4 meetings, but Tanner McKee faces Dallas without DeVonta Smith or Dontayvion Wicks. Cowboys: - Scored 26 or fewer points in 11 of their last 20 road games. - CeeDee Lamb finished below 83 receiving yards in 4 of his last 5 road games. Eagles: - Won 14 of their last 20 home games, but they're 1-5 ATS this season. - McKee threw 0 interceptions in 6 of his last 7 appearances. He's making his 2nd start this season. Cowboys or Eagles: who covers?
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