in the last 48 hours alone:
- Binance $6.2 billion back
- Polymarket hack
- Chainalysis (the firm that top crypto organizations use to track crypto hackers) hack
yet we'll still have people saying we got lucky when we start flashing the PNLs in a few months/years' time
altcoins holding incredibly strongly even with $BTC going lower
e.g. BTC is down to $77k from $79k at the time of the quoted post
a lot of alts are somewhat lower too, but are holding relatively well compared to BTC
Binance seems to have rebought most of the coins from the hack, and they have about $3 billion frozen that should be returned to them
headline figure here is $6.3 billion & half is frozen + Binance likely gets a good portion of the rest recovered on a decent enough timeframe
it's possible Bitcoin wicks a bit lower to mark local lows before things get exciting in the coming weeks/months
but most of the pain for altcoins is likely done here IMO
and i think the odds favor being long altcoins and DCA'ing into dips from here if we get them
i tend to be a perpetual optimist and i'm generally careful about tweeting bearish stuff
but i do not think we're out of the woods yet
$BTC proceeded to dump 21% a week after the Bybit hack in Feb 2025 (~23% two weeks after)
the Binance hack is far bigger, both in scale and significance
as much as i would like to believe it is over, historical precedents make me lean towards believing it is not
this reminds me of 10/10, where everyone thought the bottom would be in ASAP after such a massive flush, only for us to go through one of the worst crypto winters the industry has experienced in a long time, both in scale and duration
while i do think this incident creates THE local bottom before the real face-melting run we've all been waiting for (i think cycle lows were already in back in June!)
it's hard to imagine things getting much worse, and i don't think this is going to be as bad as 10/10
but i also don't think this is going to play out in a day, as many would like you to believe right now
the best move for now is to preserve capital IMO!
TLDR: strong alts are a good bid here & likely better bids vs $BTC
i think $USELESS is probably one of the best altcoins/memecoins to bid, especially with $PEPE being incredibly strong — considering how both have moved together this cycle
USELESS has historically lagged PEPE on these moves, but it has always outperformed eventually!
Unipcs (aka 'Bonk Guy') 🎒 retweeted
Despite the market collapsing, $SI held firm only down 10% in this period
Looking at flows:
• It wasn’t a low volume day
• Sell pressure came in hot
• Whales absorbed it
$116K specifically was net bought up by whales in this 24H period
This is highly substantial for the market cap of SI paired with the market conditions surrounding it
Pointing to SI being due a huge bullish revival soon despite a poor market
Watch whale flows closely as a pivot to big outflows will hurt excessively here
Track whale flows live in the replies ⬇️
Unipcs (aka 'Bonk Guy') 🎒 retweeted
Exactly one year after 10/10, another massive nightmare has returned.
Last October, everyone on CT realized just how useless crypto really was. And as a result, solana:Dz9mQ9NzkBcCsuGPFJ3r1bS4wgqKMHBPiVuniW8Mbonk pumped from $0.1 to $0.4 in just one week.
One year later, we're once again reminded of how useless crypto security is, and how useless this entire industry can be.
Back then, solana:Dz9mQ9NzkBcCsuGPFJ3r1bS4wgqKMHBPiVuniW8Mbonk had already experienced its first massive pump. But after the market crashed, people came back buying even harder, and solana:Dz9mQ9NzkBcCsuGPFJ3r1bS4wgqKMHBPiVuniW8Mbonk ended up completely dominating CT mindshare.
I believe this year will be no different.
Just yesterday, seeing Druckenmiller shill XYZ made me genuinely believe that a massive wave of TradFi players would start entering crypto and Hyperliquid.
Yet just one day later, the world's largest crypto exchange managed to have a $7B security incident.
How useless is this industry?
History repeats itself.
Just as the 10/10 crash turned into a massive opportunity for solana:Dz9mQ9NzkBcCsuGPFJ3r1bS4wgqKMHBPiVuniW8Mbonk last year, I believe we can turn this disaster into another opportunity once again.
'the LORD gave, and the LORD hath taken away; blessed be the name of the LORD' — Job 1:21
yesterday's liquidation event is the most brutal i've witnessed in my time in crypto
i got wiped out on ALL my perps positions
literally everything
eight figures: $30 million+ at peak uPnL if realized, or well above $15 million just before the liquidation started
100% of the following perps position got wiped:
- $BONK
- $FARTCOIN
- $POPCAT
- $PNUT
- $CAT
- $APEX
- etc
i lost maybe 80% of my $ASTER position that i used as a collateral on a DeFi lending protocol
i took out the remaining (~$1 million), fully liquidated it and rotated it into $BONK and $4 because i think i get better R/R from both from here on out:
- BONK because i refuse to be a 'bonk guy' without BONK exposure, and i remain convinced in my deca-billion-dollar target for it. i will continue to add more over time, God willing
- $4 because i remain strongly convinced that BNB season continues until the end of this quarter and i think $4 is the most asymmetrical bet to capitalize on that
thankfully the overwhelming majority of my $USELESS coin position is held in spot, so i didn't record significant loss on that — maybe with the exception of mid six figures worth of uPnL i had in perps accounts
i am still resolutely convinced that $USELESS is THE memecoin to watch for outperformance from here on out, that it is a multi-billion-dollar narrative currently trading for pennies on the dollar, and that it will end the cycle being a top 5 memecoin at the barest minimum i.e. certainly has a lot more than 10x upside from here. so i’m glad contagion there was contained for me!
what happened yesterday?
everyone blames the recent Trump-China tariffs, but this isn't the first time we've had that this year
and the Trump tariff comments certainly shouldn't have been responsible for such a massive nukage across almost the entirety of altcoins and memecoins in the space
a lot of altcoins crashed 70 to 99% in minutes, when $BTC and $ETH barely crashed 13%
$ATOM, for example, crashed from $4 to $0.001 on top exchanges like Binance — a 99.9% crash in minutes. no one could have humanly responded to that!
it is also worth noting that this massive altcoin/memecoin crash was EXCLUSIVELY on CEXs. these altcoins did not come close to hitting these levels on spot DEXs, so yesterday's liquidation was almost certainly due to MM/CEX liquidity issues
why it was unprecedented (market mechanics)
many people reported being massively affected, especially since exchange systems broke across the board: stop losses failed, orders didn’t fill, margin couldn’t be added, and platforms became unusable within minutes. the entire liquidation cascade happened so fast that almost no one had time to react, something i don’t think we’ve ever seen at this scale before
i was in front of my screen, took a short break, came back to the screen to see the nasty wick about 10 minutes later, then realized i've been liquidated on EVERYTHING i had in perps
it is the craziest crypto event i have witnessed, ever!
it was worse than COVID, which was a black swan event
you could say whatever you want about this event: you can call it manipulation, unnatural, or whatever else
you would be right tbh
however, whether or not manipulation played a role doesn’t change what i have to do next: as a trader, i am only ultimately concerned about things i can actually control
of course it's easier to point out how it all wasn't my fault and how someone else was responsible, but how does that help me grow as a trader? i win if i make money trading, i lose if i lose money trading. end of!
i'm sure we will be hearing more about exactly what happened yesterday night, which will hopefully help give some people closure
i wish i didn't have to write about this:
this will likely be one of the most viral tweets coming out of this event
many have waited for this moment: 'he is so greedy!'
and there will be an army of people mocking me with 'I TOLD YOU SOs'
but write i must, for a few reasons:
1. a key part of the 'bonk guy' persona and identity i have built is one of utmost transparency around my trades, so others can learn
2. while i lost a fortune in the liquidity wipe event, i have a very diversified basket of alts across perps and spot. i'll be fine; my spot assets are safe. but i think there are people who lost literally everything they have right now that might be having very bad and nasty thoughts, and them seeing a voice like mine at this time just might give them hope
i want to be very clear:
1. i do not need your empathy. i appreciate that some would have the thought, but i do not need people messaging me to empathize with me over this
2. i do not need donations or financial support. it was a massive loss, but i'm okay
i also want to emphasize that i'm in a very good mental state right now, as difficult as that might be for many to believe
i've always been very detached from money and material things, and that makes it easy to cope with situations like this
at the end of the day, my $BONK trade was a trade in which i went from $16k to a peak 8-figure PNL
contrary to what seems to be the most common belief here, it isn't my most impressive trade. if i made it before, i can make it once again!
could i have foreseen exchange systems crashing and nuking the most liquid altcoins and memecoins in the market 70 - 90% in mere minutes before anyone could react? no!
could i have maybe done a few things differently leading up to this event? maybe
however, i am a big believer in focusing on what *could* happen and taking action to get there instead of focusing on what *has* happened
the past is the past, and what has happened has happened
there are a lot of changes i’ll be making to my systems as a result of this: less dependence on leverage, sharper risk management, and a stronger focus on protecting my positions from exchange-side risks going forward
all that matters is what happens from here on out...
i remain very optimistic about the market
i do not believe the bull run is over, nor do i think the Q4 rally is out of the picture
so what do i do from here?
lock in more than ever before, be buried deeper in the trenches, and most importantly have fun while i do it!
if there is one thing i have learned after being in this industry for multiple cycles, it is that there is always new opportunities: every day, every week, every month
i have always been one to love a challenge, and i guess this is another one for me and an opportunity to once again prove myself — not to internet strangers, but to myself
this event has not dampened my spirit, not in the slightest. if anything, it has strengthened my resolve to get back in the ring, fight, and win bigger
i will make it all back, and more!
for those who are in a similar situation, who either lost a fortune or lost it all, i have some words for you:
PERSIST
SURVIVE
DON'T GIVE UP
if you need to take a break, please do
if you're struggling to hold it in, please seek help
above all, pay special attention to yourself and focus on your health
i know it will take a while for the gravity of what happened to hit many, but a philosophy that has always helped me to survive massive drawdowns is internalizing all of these crypto gains as just numbers on the screen — until it is realized at least!
i know they can have very real consequences in the real world if/when cashed out, but right now i think internalizing it as just numbers on the screen would make dealing with the loss more bearable
you made it before, so yes YOU can make it again
the most profitable period of the cycle is still well ahead of us
we are all going to make it
and you are going to have me along on this journey with you, if that matters to you!
if there’s one thing this taught me, it’s that no matter how prepared you think you are, you’re never fully protected from systemic shocks — but you can always control your response. i’ll be rebuilding my framework with that truth in mind!
i am once again an underdog, and this is not the end of my story
GOD WILLING
volume and how quickly an asset bounces during a flush are two of the biggest things you want to pay attention to
they show you where dip buyers are aggressively stepping in and which assets have the strongest demand
$USELESS is looking pretty damn good on both counts 👀
• back to being a top 3 most traded memecoin on Coinbase alongside $PEPE & $DOGE, with only 3 memecoins in the top 50
• volume up 144% in 24 hours, the highest ratio of any memecoin in the top 13
this is EXACTLY the kind of reaction you want to see from an asset during a flush like the Binance hack selloff
while others panic sell, people are aggressively bidding $USELESS
pay attention to the assets showing strength when the market gets ugly
dips are for buying!
on another note, $USELESS has the largest 24h drawdown of any cryptocurrency listed on Binance futures or traded on Hyperliquid perps
so again, while it tends to outperform everything else when $BTC is trending strongly, the reverse seems to be the case during periods of extreme market stress like this
the silver lining is that this presents an opportunity: an entry for those who have been sidelined so far, and a swing/quick trade for those who enjoy that kind of trading
my core spot bags remain intact, but i like this as a swing trade here
the kind of volatility you see on $USELESS is a trader's dream!
on another note, $USELESS has the largest 24h drawdown of any cryptocurrency listed on Binance futures or traded on Hyperliquid perps
so again, while it tends to outperform everything else when $BTC is trending strongly, the reverse seems to be the case during periods of extreme market stress like this
the silver lining is that this presents an opportunity: an entry for those who have been sidelined so far, and a swing/quick trade for those who enjoy that kind of trading
my core spot bags remain intact, but i like this as a swing trade here
the kind of volatility you see on $USELESS is a trader's dream!
the silver lining to all of this is that Binance will be fine
i do not believe there is a systemic risk here
Binance reportedly makes $16-$17 billion in annual revenue
almost half of the total amount involved in the incident has already been frozen or is potentially recoverable
total amount that may ultimately be unrecoverable = ~$3.2 billion
so about 2 - 2.5 months of revenue based on those estimates?
very manageable for a company of Binance's scale, especially considering its strong history of prioritizing users during periods of stress like this
@cz_binance and @heyibinance have also publicly stated that all user funds are safe and will be fully covered
in my opinion:
- odds of systemic risk? incredibly low!
- odds of a bank run? incredibly low!
- odds of panic selling and overblown media headlines? yes
this is simply THE event that puts in the final local lows before things get really exciting again
Binance and the industry will be fine
don't make any trading decisions out of panic
chill, touch some grass, make sure your opsec is good in the meantime — crypto is not going away!
Binance reportedly hacked for $5.6 billion
potentially by far the biggest hack in crypto history
please stay safe everyone! 🙏
also not sure what the deal is with October: last year we had 10/10 & this year we're potentially looking at the largest hack in crypto history just days before October ends! 🥲
Unipcs (aka 'Bonk Guy') 🎒 retweeted
User funds are safe.
Binance will cover all hacking losses.
Deposits and withdrawals are temporarily suspended while our team conducts security checks, freezes funds, and works with law enforcement.
We will share a full post-mortem once the investigation is complete. Please rely only on official Binance channels for updates.
Binance reportedly hacked for $5.6 billion
potentially by far the biggest hack in crypto history
please stay safe everyone! 🙏
also not sure what the deal is with October: last year we had 10/10 & this year we're potentially looking at the largest hack in crypto history just days before October ends! 🥲
i tend to be a perpetual optimist and i'm generally careful about tweeting bearish stuff
but i do not think we're out of the woods yet
$BTC proceeded to dump 21% a week after the Bybit hack in Feb 2025 (~23% two weeks after)
the Binance hack is far bigger, both in scale and significance
as much as i would like to believe it is over, historical precedents make me lean towards believing it is not
this reminds me of 10/10, where everyone thought the bottom would be in ASAP after such a massive flush, only for us to go through one of the worst crypto winters the industry has experienced in a long time, both in scale and duration
while i do think this incident creates THE local bottom before the real face-melting run we've all been waiting for (i think cycle lows were already in back in June!)
it's hard to imagine things getting much worse, and i don't think this is going to be as bad as 10/10
but i also don't think this is going to play out in a day, as many would like you to believe right now
the best move for now is to preserve capital IMO!
Binance reportedly hacked for $5.6 billion
potentially by far the biggest hack in crypto history
please stay safe everyone! 🙏
also not sure what the deal is with October: last year we had 10/10 & this year we're potentially looking at the largest hack in crypto history just days before October ends! 🥲
i currently hold no $PEPE, but the strength this has been showing whenever $BTC pumps even a little is incredible
i think $PEPE is going to be one of the cryptocurrencies many will be talking about in the coming weeks/months
alongside $USELESS
both were among the early outperformers this year and continue to show strength
they're bellwether assets that reinforce my conviction that memecoins will continue to play a key role in the future of crypto
it's fascinating how $USELESS & $PEPE started the year outperforming almost everything else
and now the exact same pattern is repeating as we approach year-end
except this time, $USELESS is up 163% from its yearly open while $PEPE is up just 14%
USELESS has outperformed PEPE by more than 10x this year
(and both memecoins have outperformed pretty much every other memecoin on a decent enough timeframe)
in a market this volatile and unpredictable, identifying the assets that consistently bounce the hardest after corrections is EVERYTHING
anyone can look like a genius during a broad market pump
but when the market gets choppy, capital starts separating the assets the market truly wants from everything else
the assets that get bid the hardest during every recovery are often the same ones that aggressively outperform when the market finally returns to a sustained uptrend
and all year long, not a single memecoin — old or new — has consistently demonstrated stronger relative performance than $USELESS
the market keeps showing you what it favors
at some point, you have to pay attention
$USELESS is THE memecoin of this cycle
and i think the gap between those who recognize it now and those who realize it in hindsight is going to be enormous
one of the only memes on my watchlist of ~25-50 alts.
been hammering on x over the past months about how memes are USELESS this cycle
would be ironic if $USELESS continued to outperform practically the whole market
this thing has traded as levered BTC since the bear market bottom - & made a new ATH on the BTC & SOL pairs in September
clear winner for this cycle - very volatile coin both ways.
recommend spot & hold
believe we are at one of the highlighted area equivalents from August at current price.
prev move was a ~10x from the lows
my overall portfolio is extremely heavy ETH & DeFi / RWA fundamental backed coins (90%)
when looking at coins on SOL to hedge my primary conviction for this cycle , the only that stood out to me is USELESS.
why?
because all memecoins are literally $USELESS .. & it's the best chart on sol
swing long USELESS to ATHs. expecting price exploration in Q4
Unipcs (aka 'Bonk Guy') 🎒 retweeted
$SI sentiment has clearly flipped bullish over the past 7 days
Whales offset their sells with recent bids at the bottom
Smaller wallets started putting in massive buy pressure
Smallest wallets (fish) got exhausted of sell pressure
Price trend is up
If small wallets keep bidding, expect higher highs continuously
If whales flip bearish with massive sells again, expect price to stall or reverse
Track whale and small wallet flows on our web app in the replies ⬇️
Whales are betting on $SI being due another major run up
Over the past 7 days, SI moved 100% off the bottom and whales accumulated net $104K in the same time period
Smaller wallets are flipping bullish too
Majors are the only headwinds SI is facing
If BTC and SOL can start a new run up, SI is due massive outperformance
If whales flip to massive outflows again, this thesis breaks
Track whale flows live on the Sun Flow web app in the replies ⬇️
Unipcs (aka 'Bonk Guy') 🎒 retweeted
IF bitcoin has a follow up move tomorrow, you can probably blindly long $PEPE and $USELESS as the leaders currently.
Unipcs (aka 'Bonk Guy') 🎒 retweeted
$USELESS has caught up to $PEPE and is starting to outperform
outperformance about to accelerate from here IMO!
looking like it's the $PEPE <> $USELESS barbell for memecoins again from here
as happened the last few times...
i'm expecting $USELESS to catch up and aggressively outperform from here
it's fascinating how $USELESS & $PEPE started the year outperforming almost everything else
and now the exact same pattern is repeating as we approach year-end
except this time, $USELESS is up 163% from its yearly open while $PEPE is up just 14%
USELESS has outperformed PEPE by more than 10x this year
(and both memecoins have outperformed pretty much every other memecoin on a decent enough timeframe)
in a market this volatile and unpredictable, identifying the assets that consistently bounce the hardest after corrections is EVERYTHING
anyone can look like a genius during a broad market pump
but when the market gets choppy, capital starts separating the assets the market truly wants from everything else
the assets that get bid the hardest during every recovery are often the same ones that aggressively outperform when the market finally returns to a sustained uptrend
and all year long, not a single memecoin — old or new — has consistently demonstrated stronger relative performance than $USELESS
the market keeps showing you what it favors
at some point, you have to pay attention
$USELESS is THE memecoin of this cycle
and i think the gap between those who recognize it now and those who realize it in hindsight is going to be enormous
$USELESS has caught up to $PEPE and is starting to outperform
outperformance about to accelerate from here IMO!
























