Tilo Jung retweeted
Only in Israel is the idea that Arab parties should be treated the same as Jewish ones radical. Only one Jewish party has this view.
Tilo Jung retweeted
Regierungspressekonferenz von heute:
youtu.be/odNCODBQ8i8
#BPK #Israel #Brasilien #USA – at Berlin, Germany
Tilo Jung retweeted
In the streets of Jerusalem now a car with Likud flags and loudspeakers blaring the Muezzin call to prayer and “Get out of your homes now. Arabs are voting. You need to save our home!”
Tilo Jung retweeted
#BehindTheScenes of @JungNaiv
Live: @TiloJung interviewt die Soziologin & Klimaforscherin Anita Engels
Hans notiert die besten Zuschauerfragen aus dem Livechat:
youtube.com/live/v-kDsUcZlRU – at Berlin, Germany
Tilo Jung retweeted
Eine tatsächlich auch unter Journalisten verbreitete Einbildung. Wird in ein paar Jahrhunderten nach dem Modell des Hexenwahns erforscht werden.
Tilo Jung retweeted
Holy shit.
Dutch intelligence has uncovered Jared Kushner’s role as a Mossad agent.
Regierungspressekonferenz von heute: Naive Fragen zu Lula-Sieg/Wahl in Brasilien, Serbien, Audi-Chef bei Trump/Audi-Werk in USA, Anti-Vergesellschaftungspläne der Regierung sowie fehlende völkerrechtliche Bewertung der Maduro-Entführung/Venezuela youtu.be/-TLYhBqE_aI
Tilo Jung retweeted
BREAKING: Lula wins re-election as Brazil's president, beating Flávio Bolsonaro, Datafolha projects
Tilo Jung retweeted
Lula overtakes Flávio Bolsonaro with about half the votes counted. Polymarket now gives him a 95% chance of winning. As recently as last night, traders put his odds at around 17%. If he holds on, it would rank among the most remarkable comebacks in Brazilian electoral history.
Tilo Jung retweeted
The ugly truth about France and some of the other European countries currently in turmoil - and which none of the politicians want to admit because it'd be political suicide - is that you can't solve the problem by going after immigrants (as the right asserts) or the rich (as the left asserts), but you could solve it by going after the old.
One extraordinary statistic for you: people over 60 in France, a quarter of the population, own 60% of France's wealth, non-financial and financial (ofce.fr/pdf/revue/2025/3-192…).
And here is another crazy statistic:
that same quarter of the population, those above 60, receive nearly two-thirds of all social spending by the French government (previssima.fr/actualite/prot…) - which is famously among the highest in the world (France's government spending is an insane 57.3% of GDP).
Last statistic: they make up about 40% of voters because they're a third of registered voters (insee.fr/fr/statistiques/266…), and they turn out far more than anyone else (franceinfo.fr/elections/sond…).
Put our 3 statistics together and there's almost a bit of an apartheid situation here: the old own most of the country's wealth, collect most of the social spending and have the political power to keep it that way.
Which makes them a de-facto rentier class, living off assets and transfers paid for by younger generations.
And, of course, at the risk of stating a truism, the future is built by the young. Yet France keeps effectively taking money away from them to give it to those whose working lives are already behind them - and need the money far less since they already own the country's wealth.
What about inheritance, I hear you ask? That's the funniest/saddest aspect: given that life expectancy has kept rising, the French now inherit a home at 54 on average. The most common case is someone in their 80s leaving it to heirs in their 50s, in effect the very old transferring wealth to the about-to-be old (insee.fr/fr/statistiques/fic…).
You can add this to our earlier apartheid statement: on top of all the rest, even when the old finally let go of their wealth, it stays within their own "camp".
That's my personal situation, incidentally: I'm 42, my father is 71 and he is starting to look at ways to pass things on to me and my siblings, when our professional lives are already well settled, so it'll arrive when it changes things the least, which is pretty much the French system in a nutshell.
Now, I get that there'd be some unfairness in going after them: they paid into the system their entire working lives, playing by the rules of a social contract that told them if they paid up they'd collect at the end. Changing the rules now means breaking that promise, which is admittedly unfair.
But there's no magic wealth tree in any society: you can only take it where it is. That's the way most major societal transformations end up happening. They're often triggered by a catastrophic event (the so-called "four horsemen": mass-mobilisation war, revolution, state collapse, plague) BUT what really drives change is a transfer: wealth gets pried from the privileged class who've been sitting on it and handed to those who'll build what comes next.
So, in theory and in an ideal world, you can do without the catastrophic event and directly proceed with the transfer...
The fact that in France, and elsewhere in Europe, it's the youth protesting is probably no coincidence - even though they don't frame it as a generational fight. And even though, cruel irony, the left politicians many of them march behind promise to bring the retirement age back to 60 (lcp.fr/actualites/legislativ…), which would make the situation even worse.
Let's say they understand intuitively that the system is stacked against them, even if they haven't yet figured out how. And politicians are obviously doing what politicians do, meaning pandering to the people who actually vote, while pointing the young towards easier - and politically convenient - scapegoats.
To be clear I'm not saying it's the only problem in France, VERY far from it. I'm also not saying that all old people in France live a lavish lifestyle at the expense of younger generations: there are also plenty of very poor retirees who, if anything, would deserve more.
What I am saying is that it's probably the biggest elephant in the room: everyone can see it, nobody dares mention it - no politician, from any side, wants to run on cutting grandma's pension - and it makes every other problem harder to fix.
OBAMA on IRAN WAR: Meanwhile, you've got the defense secretary who's squarely focused on the jawlines and testosterone levels of our troops. How much time do you think this Defense Secretary spends looking at himself in the mirror in the morning?
Tilo Jung retweeted
Vergesellschaftung wirkt. Sehr gut!
Good Morning from Germany, where one of Europe’s biggest landlords calls the country “uninvestable.” Heimstaden is withholding fresh capital over Berlin’s expropriation plans. It owns 20,000 apartments in the city worth ~€5bn and estimates a potential €1bn loss. Its hybrid bond has plunged from ~98 cents in August to 82.5. The irony: a policy meant to tackle the housing shortage risks driving away investment without building a single new home. bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
Tilo Jung retweeted
Heute in Marseille - zum erneuten Großdemotag.
Werde Euch berichten.
Wer verstehen möchte, wieso heute in Frankreich Drohnen fliegen, 70.000 schwer bewaffnete Polizisten patrouillieren und sich alle fragen - was passiert als Nächstes? -meine Analyse ⤵️
zeit.de/politik/ausland/2026…
Tilo Jung retweeted
#BehindTheScenes of @JungNaiv
Live: @TiloJung interviewt die Sozioökonomin & Ungleichheitsforscherin Miriam Rehm
Hans ist gespannt auf eure Zuschauerfragen im Livechat:
youtube.com/live/PjSv4icgWus – at Berlin, Germany
















































