Prediction market | Football https://xitter.cf/t.co/Ll2xzME40v

Joined October 2023
Focusing on prediction markets - predicting football matches from now on.
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These are my stats after 2 weeks of betting on @predofficial I like Pred because it has a good UX, especially for people like me who only want to bet on sports.
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Betting these games tonight on @predofficial Eyüpspor vs Kasımpaşa Sheffield utd vs Derby Preston vs Westbrom
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Lost ~$40 last night as Monchengladbach won their first game of the season. 💀 Fortunately, made it back with a few NBA games on @predofficial (With a small hedge on Polymarket.)
I’m betting on Málaga and Mönchengladbach not to win today on @predofficial At the same time, I’m putting a small position on Polymarket to hedge my risk.
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I’m betting on Málaga and Mönchengladbach not to win today on @predofficial At the same time, I’m putting a small position on Polymarket to hedge my risk.
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4,656
3,584
143
4,956
637,054
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5,467
5,202
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6,663
90,102
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When oil rips higher → market makers delta-hedge by buying futures → positive gamma squeeze → oil explodes even faster. Oil spike → higher energy costs → sticky inflation → hawkish Fed → stocks (especially growth/tech) get hammered.
“Here is how 1987 can repeat today. In 1987 it was portfolio insurance, which is a gamma squeeze on synthetic puts. Today it will be a gamma squeeze on oil calls because oil traders are too scared to own the futures. Then the strong inverse correlation of oil to equities…”
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I predict Brent could hit $130–160 by the end of June 2026, and I bet on it on @Polymarket A deep discussion on the Hormuz crisis, oil prices, Trump’s strategy, and Iran. Thread below 👇
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He still has time to turn it around before 2029, but if the Hormuz situation isn’t resolved cleanly soon, history may remember this period as “all talk, limited results” on the foreign policy front.
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What do you think? Will Trump escalate or cut a deal? Can Iran really outlast the US in this?
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Farming LP rewards on @Polymarket is not risk free After farming LP rewards every day for more than 2 consecutive months, I’ve stopped farming for over a month now I started trading organically instead, and if a market happens to offer LP rewards, I’ll gladly take them. And I only place one sided orders instead of 2 sides. At the end, I want my orders to get filled LP rewards are just the cherry on top when you trade organically Find your egde, and trade organic There’s nothing risk free in this space. #Polymarket
How I Almost Lost My Entire Balance Farming LP Rewards A couple of days ago I found this market: "Will Trump sign an executive order on May 18?" > $30 reward pool > Almost zero competition > Minimum just 20 shares i started farming, and throughout the day, my pool share was a whopping 100% by the end of the day i made $24 in LP rewards - my new personal record then the next day everything flipped all my buy orders got filled and I suddenly got stuck holding $120 worth of shares the buy side of the order book was almost empty - prices were 3-4x lower i literally started shaking. if i lost this money, my journey would be over, and i wouldn't have that original content for X anymore and i really didnt want to go back to my old format of just tracking other traders i had only one option: sit and wait for someone to place buy orders just to farm the pool against all odds… it actually happened i managed to sell most of my shares for $90 im still holding the rest, hoping for the best has that ever happened to you while farming LP?
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