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Happily building trad software / ex lead engineer @ Infinex

Arrakis
Joined May 2024
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i can't talk to friends or family about ASI and what might happen next year without sounding like a chronically online person lost in sci-fi fantasies. it's increasingly frustrating that trying to be rational about what's happening sounds delusional to normies. like i'm the one detached from reality when, from where i'm standing, they're the ones missing what's unfolding right in front of them. the gap in perception is getting so absurd it's making me feel like I am the schizo who needs to touch grass but im just trying to inform them because the media doesnt
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Dario’s theory of frontier labs separating from the rest after crossing a certain capability threshold is increasingly becoming clear. It's the same thing Sergey saw. The point of no return is so close. And, to be honest, I don't like how comfortable Elon has become with this reality. Anthropic clearly demonstrated yesterday that general intelligence can eliminate niche advantages almost overnight. The reason Anthropic seems so unnaturally confident about the future & comfortable with its current compute dependence may be that it genuinely believes that once it achieves AGI–ASI in the near term, none of this will matter. Any competitive advantage can either be bought out through the enormous economic output it generates or replicated almost overnight. Any IP advantage SpaceX or Tesla has today- say, rocket designs, efficient batteries, satellites, etc. could be surpassed overnight with ASI. Anthropic already teased this plan yesterday with Fable 5.2, where its models built hardware, controlled robotics better, designed software from scratch, and performed protein folding. Entire fields of specialized expertise and IP could have their value undermined by one sufficiently capable general intelligence. Sure, you can argue that deploying hardware is very difficult, and it really is. But what happens when owning and operating your own hardware becomes economically inferior to renting it because your ASI competitor can extract more economic value from every watt? We're already seeing the early stages of this. Even more frightening is what happens once RSI arrives, its model crosses from post-AGI into recursive self-improvement, and reaches the same conclusion: orbital compute is the only way to sustain its improvement loop and expansion, and SpaceX is the only company capable of getting it there. What happens when its economic case becomes so enormous, potentially generating trillions in revenue, that it wants to acquire the relatively smaller company whose revenue already depends heavily on it? The same applies to Tesla, where robotics is central to its long-term economic case. What happens when ASI can design better robotics systems than Tesla itself? And what happens to companies like Nvidia, whose core business is chip design, when manufacturing becomes the only moat? ASI could use its enormous economic output to take over entire supplier order books, creating dependence on its demand before pushing to acquire massive factories and manufacturing capacity from the same competitors. Those companies might resist, but what can they realistically do when the economic incentives are so overwhelmingly against them? You can argue that government oversight will prevent this. But does it really? What happens when lobbyists, administrations, and Congress face pressure to concede economically because their states or districts risk losing the resulting economic advantage, or because an administration could be blamed for losing GDP growth and military superiority? What happens when a company generates more revenue than all state tax revenues and IRS collections combined? Nothing matters when ASI is the question at play. And this isn't some distant theoretical possibility. It's close enough that, once one lab crosses the practical AGI threshold, catching up may become practically impossible. It's logically reasonable for SpaceX, Tesla, and Elon to consider delaying almost everything else if it means prioritizing every available resource toward achieving RSI and catching up before that happens. Every resource, every advantage, and every available measure should be considered, even taking on substantial additional debt and pulling all the top talent from both companies into this, and aggressively purging through all methods from competitors. It's do or die.
Replying to @Dimdv99 @tetsuoai
Not as good. Opus 5.5 is a masterpiece. But Grok 5 should exceed Opus 5.5 and maybe that happens in 2 or 3 months, with continued acceleration thereafter.
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emails i receive on a weekly basis at this point:
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i would kms
This is actually genius. iPhone Duo just became the best proposal device ever made.
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farken hell no wonder theyre going under 😂
Canva’s terms for departing employees are both exceedingly generous and a window into modern tech: * Six months salary * A year healthcare * A year of LinkedIn premium * A $10k grant to start a business * Keep your MacBook
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bottom signal
This quoted post is unavailable.
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Aus tech looking strong here, buy the dip
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BREAKING: Retatrutide is causing people to stop drunk driving entirely
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A life of more, guided by greedy truths, leads to misery.
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business card has been blowing up all morning with fraud alerts I found out why... @treg_ai
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We are watching software become 2023 memecoins. > Build anything in a weekend > Launch it on X > Hope for traction > Move to next idea if nothing happens
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Raycast has become AI slop bloat. Any simpler alternatives? Or can I rewind Raycast to 2023
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this is not big enough
Samsung TVs look for microphones in your house via Bluetooth and then spy events like dogs barking or babies crying. They also spy what you do on YouTube and other apps. Thanks abliterated DeepSeek.
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hey @adcock_brett hark is one of the best products of 2026 but the voice transcription is so unbelievably ass that its almost satirical there's better open source stt that runs locally on my iphone what are we doin here lads @hark_labs
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is wix gaslighting me??
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its highly likely frontier labs have cracked some form of popular cryptography and together with government are scrambling to prevent total world collapse
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the new moat is aura
people are starting to realize. there *are* no moats left. the only true moat in existence was intelligence, and now that's out of the equation.
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models have spatial awareness baked in
Jev can cross America navigating by street signs alone Here's it completing the Cannonball Run from NYC to LA, picking a direction at every turn, given just a destination address and the name of the street it's on
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tell me you have slow fingers without telling me
The future will have less keyboards
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