Sondaże, średnie sondażowe i analiza polityczna🇵🇱🇺🇸🇪🇺
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Wyniki referendum o odwołanie prezydenta Krakowa Aleksandra Miszalskiego:
🟣Tak: 97,9%
🟠Nie: 2,1%
W niemal wszystkich obwodach za odwołaniem zagłosowało co najmniej 90%. W 10 obwodach za odwołaniem zagłosowało 100% wyborców!
Wyniki w obwodach oraz link do interaktywnej mapy👇🏻
231elections retweeted
Kto powinien być liderem Koalicji Obywatelskiej w wyborach w 2027 roku?
🟠Radosław Sikorski: 22,9%
🟠Donald Tusk: 17,4%
🟠Rafał Trzaskowski: 7,7%
⚫️Ktoś inny: 30%
⚪️Nie wiem: 22%
Wyborcy koalicji rządzącej:
🟠Radosław Sikorski: 43%
🟠Donald Tusk: 39%
🟠Rafał Trzaskowski: 8%
⚫️Ktoś inny: 9%
United Surveys dla „WP”
16-18.10 | n=1000 | CATI/CAWI
Kto powinien być liderem Koalicji Obywatelskiej w wyborach w 2027 roku?
🟠Radosław Sikorski: 22,9%
🟠Donald Tusk: 17,4%
🟠Rafał Trzaskowski: 7,7%
⚫️Ktoś inny: 30%
⚪️Nie wiem: 22%
Wyborcy koalicji rządzącej:
🟠Radosław Sikorski: 43%
🟠Donald Tusk: 39%
🟠Rafał Trzaskowski: 8%
⚫️Ktoś inny: 9%
United Surveys dla „WP”
16-18.10 | n=1000 | CATI/CAWI
231elections retweeted
With the last full day of early voting wrapped up, Republicans hold. 3 point lead in ballots cast.
Total turnout is 37.6%
Democratic turnout is 🔵46.9%
Republican turnout is 🔴36.9%
Democrats aren’t far off their TOTAL 2022 turnout of around 51% and now have a 10 point turnout advantage
With the last full day of early voting wrapped up, Republicans hold. 3 point lead in ballots cast.
Total turnout is 37.6%
Democratic turnout is 🔵46.9%
Republican turnout is 🔴36.9%
Democrats aren’t far off their TOTAL 2022 turnout of around 51% and now have a 10 point turnout advantage
231elections retweeted
Over 5 million Floridians have now voted, with total turnout at 36.6% of registered voters!
231elections retweeted
Florida’s in person early vote by congressional district. Besides the seats Democrats are favored in, they hold slight leads in FL-04 and FL-18
Daily Dem over performance in IPEV countries to shrink, but day 12 was still bluer than the same day in 2024 and 2022.
Shift in turnout toward Dems by day compared to 2024:
Day 1: 🔵D+24
Day 2: 🔵D+23
Day 3: 🔵D+20
Day 4: 🔵D+15
Day 5: 🔵D+14
Day 6: 🔵D+16
Day 7: 🔵D+16
Day 8: 🔵D+13
Day 9: 🔵D+9
Day 10: 🔵D+8
Day 11: 🔵D+5
Day 12: 🔵D+3
Shift through days 1-12: 🔵D+13.1
Florida’s in person early vote by congressional district. Besides the seats Democrats are favored in, they hold slight leads in FL-04 and FL-18
Daily Dem over performance in IPEV countries to shrink, but day 12 was still bluer than the same day in 2024 and 2022.
Shift in turnout toward Dems by day compared to 2024:
Day 1: 🔵D+24
Day 2: 🔵D+23
Day 3: 🔵D+20
Day 4: 🔵D+15
Day 5: 🔵D+14
Day 6: 🔵D+16
Day 7: 🔵D+16
Day 8: 🔵D+13
Day 9: 🔵D+9
Day 10: 🔵D+8
Day 11: 🔵D+5
Day 12: 🔵D+3
Shift through days 1-12: 🔵D+13.1
231elections retweeted
Daily Dem over performance in IPEV countries to shrink, but day 12 was still bluer than the same day in 2024 and 2022.
Shift in turnout toward Dems by day compared to 2024:
Day 1: 🔵D+24
Day 2: 🔵D+23
Day 3: 🔵D+20
Day 4: 🔵D+15
Day 5: 🔵D+14
Day 6: 🔵D+16
Day 7: 🔵D+16
Day 8: 🔵D+13
Day 9: 🔵D+9
Day 10: 🔵D+8
Day 11: 🔵D+5
Day 12: 🔵D+3
Shift through days 1-12: 🔵D+13.1
Republicans are doing better and better by the day but still not where one would expect them to be at this point.
Shift in turnout toward Dems by day compared to 2024:
Day 1: 🔵D+24
Day 2: 🔵D+23
Day 3: 🔵D+20
Day 4: 🔵D+15
Day 5: 🔵D+14
Day 6: 🔵D+16
Day 7: 🔵D+16
Day 8: 🔵D+13
Day 9: 🔵D+9
Day 10: 🔵D+8
Day 11: 🔵D+5
Shift through days 1-11: 🔵D+14.3
Daily Dem over performance in IPEV countries to shrink, but day 12 was still bluer than the same day in 2024 and 2022.
Shift in turnout toward Dems by day compared to 2024:
Day 1: 🔵D+24
Day 2: 🔵D+23
Day 3: 🔵D+20
Day 4: 🔵D+15
Day 5: 🔵D+14
Day 6: 🔵D+16
Day 7: 🔵D+16
Day 8: 🔵D+13
Day 9: 🔵D+9
Day 10: 🔵D+8
Day 11: 🔵D+5
Day 12: 🔵D+3
Shift through days 1-12: 🔵D+13.1
Republicans are doing better and better by the day but still not where one would expect them to be at this point.
Shift in turnout toward Dems by day compared to 2024:
Day 1: 🔵D+24
Day 2: 🔵D+23
Day 3: 🔵D+20
Day 4: 🔵D+15
Day 5: 🔵D+14
Day 6: 🔵D+16
Day 7: 🔵D+16
Day 8: 🔵D+13
Day 9: 🔵D+9
Day 10: 🔵D+8
Day 11: 🔵D+5
Shift through days 1-11: 🔵D+14.3
231elections retweeted
Yesterday was one of Republicans better days. It saw the largest number of in person votes cast and they were R+11.6
The next two days will likely see fewer votes and be better for Democrats than the past few days
Just 16 counties are open for IPEV on Sunday and are much friendlier territory for Democrats
Yesterday was one of Republicans better days. It saw the largest number of in person votes cast and they were R+11.6
The next two days will likely see fewer votes and be better for Democrats than the past few days
Just 16 counties are open for IPEV on Sunday and are much friendlier territory for Democrats
231elections retweeted
Czyje zwycięstwo w wyborach do Kongresu USA wolą Polacy?
🔵Demokratów: 43%
🔴Republikanów: 25%
⚪️Żadnej z partii: 32%
Polling Europe
21-30.09 | n=421 Polaków
Who would Europeans like to see win the US midterm elections?
🔵Democrats: 58%
🔴Republicans: 18%
⚪️Neither party: 24%
By country/region:
🇮🇹 Italy: 🔵D+50
🇫🇷 France: 🔵D+46
🇩🇪 Germany: 🔵D+42
🇪🇸 Spain: 🔵D+33
🇵🇱 Poland: 🔵D+18
Northern Europe: 🔵D+47
Southern Europe: 🔵D+42
Central/Eastern Europe: 🔵D+26
Polling Europe
21-30.09 | n=5067 | CAWI
231elections retweeted
Who would Europeans like to see win the US midterm elections?
🔵Democrats: 58%
🔴Republicans: 18%
⚪️Neither party: 24%
By country/region:
🇮🇹 Italy: 🔵D+50
🇫🇷 France: 🔵D+46
🇩🇪 Germany: 🔵D+42
🇪🇸 Spain: 🔵D+33
🇵🇱 Poland: 🔵D+18
Northern Europe: 🔵D+47
Southern Europe: 🔵D+42
Central/Eastern Europe: 🔵D+26
Polling Europe
21-30.09 | n=5067 | CAWI
Czyje zwycięstwo w wyborach do Kongresu USA wolą Polacy?
🔵Demokratów: 43%
🔴Republikanów: 25%
⚪️Żadnej z partii: 32%
Polling Europe
21-30.09 | n=421 Polaków
Who would Europeans like to see win the US midterm elections?
🔵Democrats: 58%
🔴Republicans: 18%
⚪️Neither party: 24%
By country/region:
🇮🇹 Italy: 🔵D+50
🇫🇷 France: 🔵D+46
🇩🇪 Germany: 🔵D+42
🇪🇸 Spain: 🔵D+33
🇵🇱 Poland: 🔵D+18
Northern Europe: 🔵D+47
Southern Europe: 🔵D+42
Central/Eastern Europe: 🔵D+26
Polling Europe
21-30.09 | n=5067 | CAWI
231elections retweeted
Kobiety:
🟢Podpisać: 65%
🔴Zawetować: 9%
🟡Skierować do TK: 8%
Mężczyźni:
🟢Podpisać: 56%
🔴Zawetować: 17%
🟡Skierować do TK: 12%
SW Research dla „Onetu”
Sejm uchwalił ustawę, która ponownie dopuszcza legalne przerwanie ciąży w przypadku ciężkich wad płodu. Co Pana/i zdaniem powinien zrobić z nią prezydent Nawrocki?
🟢Podpisać ustawę: 60,8%
🔴Zawetować ustawę: 12,5%
🟡Skierować do TK: 9,6%
⚫️Nie znam założeń ustawy: 8,8%
⚪️Trudno powiedzieć: 8,3%
SW Research dla „Onetu”
27-28.10 | n=800 | CAWI
Who would Europeans like to see win the US midterm elections?
🔵Democrats: 58%
🔴Republicans: 18%
⚪️Neither party: 24%
By country/region:
🇮🇹 Italy: 🔵D+50
🇫🇷 France: 🔵D+46
🇩🇪 Germany: 🔵D+42
🇪🇸 Spain: 🔵D+33
🇵🇱 Poland: 🔵D+18
Northern Europe: 🔵D+47
Southern Europe: 🔵D+42
Central/Eastern Europe: 🔵D+26
Polling Europe
21-30.09 | n=5067 | CAWI
231elections retweeted
W podziale na grupy wiekowe:
•18-24:
🟢Podpisać: 63%
🔴Zawetować: 19%
•25-34:
🟢Podpisać: 59%
🟡Skierować do TK: 13%
🔴Zawetować: 8%
•35-49:
🟢Podpisać: 57%
🔴Zawetować: 14%
🟡Skierować do TK: 12%
•powyżej 50:
🟢Podpisać: 64%
🔴Zawetować: 12%
🟡Skierować do TK: 8%
Sejm uchwalił ustawę, która ponownie dopuszcza legalne przerwanie ciąży w przypadku ciężkich wad płodu. Co Pana/i zdaniem powinien zrobić z nią prezydent Nawrocki?
🟢Podpisać ustawę: 60,8%
🔴Zawetować ustawę: 12,5%
🟡Skierować do TK: 9,6%
⚫️Nie znam założeń ustawy: 8,8%
⚪️Trudno powiedzieć: 8,3%
SW Research dla „Onetu”
27-28.10 | n=800 | CAWI