Independent Thought, Creative Insights, Relentless Discovery. Not investment advice. [email protected] https://xitter.cf/t.co/BmHjJLItKG

Joined January 2017
$ANT Anthropic is making $ 250bn+ non-cancellable compute commitments with Google, Amazon, and Microsoft through 2033, and semis trade like we are about to drive off a cliff next year
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$GFL Today's story updated just now with additional background on rollover equity. #mergers #wastemanagement #corpfin #infrastructure #privateequity
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We were very lucky to have a long chat with James Davolos. Lots of good insights from him about why inflation and rates are likely to be structurally higher, the business types that will benefit from higher rates, and then some specific examples of companies.
Episode 38! We got to interview James Davolos, Portfolio Manager and Director of Research of Horizon Kinetics. James gives an overview of Horizon’s contrarian value approach, we then discuss the broad topic of inflation, and then move on to some specific companies that are in the portfolio of Horizon’s Inflation Beneficiaries ETF ($INFL).
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Shared an update on Hermes' Q3. Stock is down significantly today even after strong growth in leather. I go over... 1. The numbers 2. The most important qualitative aspects 3. What I think about the current situation 🔗 in the next post! $RMS.PA
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😭😭😭😭😭
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What does the future hold for Venezuela? 🇻🇪 I’m interviewing Francisco Amador @SleepwellCap, who was born and raised in Venezuela, about the country's future, investment opportunities, and risks. Subscribe to @IdeaBrunchEmail so you don't miss his interview this Sunday!
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BREAKING: Rep. Gilbert Cisneros bought $50K to $100K of $LB on Nov 20. LB is up 38% since. Landbridge is down 6% today, now $82.43. The trade was disclosed 25 days later.
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$LB water royalties were 0.63 million bpd in Q2 2024 to a 1.5 million+ bpd average in 2025. Contracts run $0.10–$0.25 per barrel. New deals are about $0.15 ( and expected to keep rising according to management) . Each incremental 100,000 bpd is guided at $4–6 million of annual royalty revenue.
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$PBT article coming tomorrow. Revisiting the restructuring, where I still see opportunity and where expectations should be lowered.
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This graphic is another telling sign of the tale of two cities in senior living While median margins are close enough to pre-COVID, the lowest quartile is a much wider range. Theres still a lot of unviable properties out there that need to be purged $SNDA vs $BKD
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These numbers are burning hot $SNDA (sorry bkd - no tags for you until occupancy improves)
Some interesting data on senior housing. Occupancy hit 89.9% in Q2, the highest level since 2015. Meanwhile, new inventory grew just 0.4% year over year, with fewer than 16,000 units under construction across the 31 largest U.S. markets. Demand continues to grow, and almost nothing new is being built.
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We have not had a public execution since 1936. Now is not the time to restart this dehumanizing practice. Conservatives who are foolishly defending this: how will you feel when the Left holds federal power again? Remember: Terrorists aspire to martyrdom — he will be another martyr for them. Repent and stop the bloodlust.
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Some needs to explain to me. Why is some blow joe on Youtube is making Bond movies i want to see and Hollywood isnt. youtube.com/watch?v=egqaEYX5…
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Apollo’s credit team trying to get IC approval to lend billions to SpaceX with no data room access and only a picture of space with an arrow pointing to a random spot saying they’re going to build data centers “somewhere in the universe”
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If you want to know what Byron and Erika Donalds are really all about watch my full interview w Kelly Mason.
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Ivy is a 4-year-old Steelers fan who brought her Terrible Towel to every cancer treatment. She is a cancer survivor in remission, now.
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I’m leading an SF/Silicon Valley trek for my wonderful HBS team 10/31-11/1. I’d love to meet up with entrepreneurs and investors interested in exchanging notes on LEO economy, AI infrastructure, compute, etc. Please DM me if it makes sense to connect.
Working on a cool project this semester with a great crew at HBS ... a first pass at the valuation causal map beyond just vibes ...
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what was the volume spike on $GFL?
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