Research Fellow @NottsPolitics / @OpenElectionsUK. Views are personal. He/Him Cis 🖖 🇮🇪 Account not in use, moved to @aduggan.bsky.social
Maigh Eo
Joined March 2009
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Alan Duggan retweeted
Local Leaflets: Constituency Issue Messaging at the 2024 General Election
@CaitlinMilazzo @SiimTrumm @ADuggan
Part of the forthcoming general election SI edited by @po_qu SI eds @pjsloman and @colm_m
onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/…
#campaigning #candidates #communication #leaflets
Alan Duggan retweeted
Philip Dwyer was told he wasn't wanted in Ballaghaderreen this evening. He was at a vigil held by local people in support of an alleged assault victim. The locals have genuine concerns over incidents in the town. But they don't want Dwyer anywhere near their town. Well done folks
Alan Duggan retweeted
Does negative election campaigning work in Ireland? Analysis by @michelecrepaz @HAPPatQUB @QUBelfast @ADuggan @SocSciStir @NottsPolitics & Liam Kneafsey @TCDPoliticalSci @tcddublin @IrishResearch rte.ie/brainstorm/2024/1015/…
Alan Duggan retweeted
🍊 Fresh out!
🪃@ADuggan @michelecrepaz & Liam Kneafsey examine if negative campaign messaging is effective for attackers in multiparty systems? 🇮🇪
👉 bit.ly/4fS8tRd #OA
#politicaladvertising #election #surveyexperiment #Ireland #facebook
Alan Duggan retweeted
🚨 Publication Alert (1/4): @PRXjournal tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.… #OpenAccess
Liam Kneafsey, @ADuggan and I conduct a survey experiment to test the effects of negative campaigning on voting intentions in Ireland. #STV is 🤯 but great to observe complex mechanisms behind NC!
Alan Duggan retweeted
Happy Election Day from the OpenElections team! It has been a fabulous 6 wks of leaflets. As of today, we have +10k coded leaflets from 5 GEs, including +1.2k from #GE24 - and plenty more still to be coded. Watch this space for our post-election analysis!
@SiimTrumm @ADuggan
Alan Duggan retweeted
We've just added our 1,000th content-coded leaflet for #GE2024! We now have leaflets from 270 constituencies in England, Scotland and Wales.
@SiimTrumm @ADuggan
Alan Duggan retweeted
We all love* election leaflet bar charts, but what about a bar chart about election leaflet bar charts?
A brilliant survey of election leaflets by @CaitlinMilazzo shows that nearly half of all election leaflets contain a tactical voting message this time - rising to 78% of LD
Alan Duggan retweeted
As of today, @OpenElectionsUK archive includes 600+ coded leaflets, covering 221 constituencies in England, Scotland and Wales!
@CaitlinMilazzo @SiimTrumm @ADuggan
Alan Duggan retweeted
We have had lots of interest in the use of tactical messages (e.g., "X can't win here", bar charts) in leaflets. What does our latest data say about the use of these messages in #GE24 vs. previous elections?
Alan Duggan retweeted
Nothing says election spirit like leaflets! Over the next 5 weeks, the @OpenElectionsUK team will be analysing the content of your leaflets.
How can you help?
Upload your #GE2024 leaflets to @thesc or openelections.co.uk/upload-a…. You upload them, we'll code them!
Alan Duggan retweeted
Issue prevalence in our #GE24 leaflets so far:
🩺Health: 81%
💰 Economy: 75%
🍃 Environment: 68%
👩🎓 Education: 32%
🏛️ Governance: 31%
👩👩👧Social Welfare: 24%
🛬Immigration: 5%
🇪🇺 Brexit/Europe: 3%
@CaitlinMilazzo @SiimTrumm @ADuggan
Alan Duggan retweeted
🚨Countdown to General Election 2024! 🚨
We now have 59 #GE24 leaflets posted on our site! Check them out - openelections.co.uk/
Thank you to everyone who has uploaded their #GE2024 leaflets so far! Please keep uploading them at openelections.co.uk/upload-a…
Alan Duggan retweeted
Who votes by post? Research by @CaitlinMilazzo et al shows it's those with time/mobility constraints, esp the elderly. Older people tend to vote Cons so this is an 'interesting' approach to take.
Read the research in our Parliamentary Affairs journal. buff.ly/3QAoznl
Alan Duggan retweeted
🚨Countdown to General Election 2024!🚨
Check out the #GE2024 leaflets already posted at openelections.co.uk. So far, we have leaflets from four parties across 13 constituencies.
Please upload your #GE24 #GE2024 leaflets directly to our site (openelections.co.uk/upload-a……).
Looking at the underlying numbers, the 'public' backing Kate Forbes over Swinney is driven almost solely by Tory voters. Not much of an electoral asset to appeal to a section of voters that will steadfastly never endorse the SNP or independence.
Alan Duggan retweeted
Killing a man for not speaking English in Ireland, while not one of these murderers has a word of Irish.
Them and their kind call themselves 'patriots'.
Never see them do a tap for us, our language, our culture, unification.
Aye, they're patriots alright, English patriots.
Three men arrested over murder of Croatian man in Dublin irishtimes.com/crime-law/202…
Alan Duggan retweeted
🚨 Countdown to General Election 2024! 🚨
Calling all followers across Britain: We would love to have your #GE24 #GE2024 leaflets!
You can upload them directly to our site (openelections.co.uk/upload-a…).