AI Market Lab

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TRUMP-LINKED BUSINESSES PREPARE FOR POTENTIAL INVESTIGATIONS ⚠️ According to Bloomberg, several businesses and organizations linked to the Trump family are bringing in more lawyers and lobbyists to prepare for the possibility of investigations by Democrats following the midterm elections. • Names mentioned include WLFI, CZ, Polymarket, Kalshi, and 1789 Capital an investment firm linked to Trump’s son. • CZ, Polymarket, and Kalshi have reportedly moved quickly to hire people with connections to Democrats, while WLFI has also strengthened its legal team. However, any investigation could face challenges because some relevant records are held overseas. The U.S. Department of Justice has not taken further action, while all parties involved maintain that they have complied with the law.

AAVE VS MORPHO: THE TOKENIZED STOCKS RACE ON DEFI HEATS UP 🔥 Tokenized stocks are moving beyond simply buying and holding. Once integrated into DeFi, users can use onchain stocks as collateral to borrow stablecoins without selling their assets. 💠 Aave: Aave already supports tokenized stocks such as GOOGLc, NVDAc, METAc, AAPLc, and more as collateral on Base. The platform is currently offering a 3% incentive for users supplying assets to Aave V4. 💠 Morpho: Morpho has also launched vaults supporting tokenized stocks as collateral for stablecoin borrowing, helping users make their capital more productive. WHAT ARE OTHER PLATFORMS DOING? 🔹 Ondo: Allows tokenized stocks to be used as collateral for trading on Ondo Perps. 🔹 Binance bStocks: Regularly runs trading and holding campaigns with rewards on Binance and Binance Wallet. Some bStocks can also be used as margin and offer mechanisms for handling dividends. 🔹 xStocks: Can be used to earn points, provide liquidity on Raydium, or participate in lending protocols such as Kamino and Morpho. 📈 Notably, the share of tokenized stocks being used in DeFi has risen from around 1% to nearly 7% in just six months. This signals that tokenized stocks are gradually becoming usable assets within the DeFi ecosystem, rather than simply tools for tracking stock prices. Users can now hold stocks onchain while also borrowing against them, providing liquidity, or generating additional yield opening up a new direction for the RWA market. Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.

MORGAN STANLEY CONTINUES RECEIVING $BTC FROM #COINBASE 🏦 Over the past 6 hours, this major entity received a total of 51.5 $BTC (~$4.12M) from #Coinbase, bringing its total holdings to 253.15 $BTC (~$20.28M). The accumulation could continue in the coming weeks, as the entity has been withdrawing BTC from Coinbase at least once a week, averaging around 70 $BTC per withdrawal.

IS MARA SELLING $BTC AGAIN? 🧐 Around 7 hours ago, a wallet reportedly linked to Bitcoin miner MARA transferred 1,000 $BTC (~$80.19M) to #BitGo. Notably, MARA’s CEO has previously discussed shifting toward AI, as providing computing infrastructure for AI could potentially be more profitable than Bitcoin mining. Could this be another sign that MARA is reducing its BTC holdings to reallocate capital toward AI?

MARKET OVERVIEW — TUESDAY, OCT 27 🟡 Gold holds above $4,000, while U.S. stocks closed higher. BTC continues to trade sideways around $80K, while altcoins remain weak ahead of the Fed meeting on Oct 29. 🤖 Anthropic has filed for an IPO with strong business results, adding positive sentiment to the AI sector. However, its expected $2T valuation is still considered extremely high. ⏰ Key Bitcoin trading hours to watch today: 12–13h, 16–17h, and 0–1h, 8–9h tomorrow morning. 🇰🇷 South Korea is considering delaying its 22% crypto capital gains tax from 2027 to 2029, as it waits to finalize tax data-sharing arrangements with the U.S. 🔐 Keystone is destroying 18,835 unsold hardware wallets after discovering that its product authentication key had been exposed, potentially increasing the risk of counterfeit wallets entering the market. 🏦 Ripple has received final U.S. approval to establish a national trust bank, supporting its RLUSD stablecoin and crypto custody services for businesses. ⚙️ Injective ($INJ) has launched a product that allows users to go long or short on Nvidia GPU rental prices, helping businesses hedge against fluctuations in AI infrastructure costs. 🏦 INSTITUTIONAL FLOWS 🐳 Strive bought another 6,182 BTC (~$511M) at an average price of around $82.7K, bringing its total BTC holdings to approximately 43K BTC. 🟣 Bitmine continued accumulating 10,452 ETH (~$24M), moving closer to its target of holding 5% of total ETH supply, with around 60,000 ETH still needed. ⛏️ MARA was once again spotted selling 1,000 BTC (~$80M), highlighting continued selling pressure from miners.

RED WEEK 🔴 Bitcoin -4.1% 🔴Ethereum -5.4% 🔴 S&P 500 -1.2% 🔴 Gold -2.3% 🔴 Silver -3.5%

🐳 ETH ICO WHALE STARTS MOVING? A whale who participated in the Ethereum ICO in 2015 reportedly raised around $31,000 to purchase 100,000 ETH at just $0.31 per ETH. A few hours ago, this whale suddenly transferred 1,500 ETH to exchanges: • 1,000 ETH → Binance • 500 ETH → Bybit The move could signal that the whale is preparing to take profits after holding for more than a decade. 👀 But here’s what’s more interesting: The whale’s intermediary wallet still holds 48,500 ETH, worth around $112.3M. If the remaining ETH continues moving to exchanges, potential selling pressure could be worth watching. On-chain data only. Not financial advice.

🐳 A WHALE IS SHORTING OVER $1.2B — AND HAS ALREADY MADE MORE THAN $350M Two wallets identified by Lookonchain as being linked to Abraxas Capital currently hold around $1.29B in short positions on Hyperliquid, with unrealized profits of more than $353M. The short positions mainly include: • 5,144 BTC • 172,000 ETH • Around 30 other altcoins Notably, the total position has dropped from a peak of $1.57B to $1.29B. This could suggest that Abraxas is gradually reducing its positions and taking profits after its massive short. 👀 The whale may have entered long before the rest of us noticed. At least now, we know which direction they're betting on. Not a trading signal. Just on-chain data for reference.

Trump Threatens to Strike Iran Again Ahead of the Election After saying last night that the U.S. could soon end the war, Trump has once again left the door open to launching another attack as part of Operation Epic Fury, though he has not specified when or on what scale. According to Reuters, Iran has prepared plans to retaliate if the U.S. and Israel launch another attack. Potential targets could include undersea telecommunications cables in the Gulf and secret military bases.

BRENT SURGES ABOVE $114, U.S. STOCKS PLUNGE, CRYPTO TURNS RED Brent crude hit $114 per barrel, its highest level since May, amid reports that the U.S. and Israel are planning to launch another attack on Iran following the election. Trump said the U.S. is no longer negotiating with Iran, while accusing Iran of fabricating reports of attacks on ships to drive oil prices higher. Wall Street was hit hard. The Nasdaq fell 2.6%, marking its worst session since June. AI stocks faced heavy selling pressure. Nvidia’s CEO said demand for AI infrastructure remains extremely strong, but funding is struggling to keep up with the pace of growth. And the pressure didn’t stop there. A critical vulnerability was discovered in PHP, the programming language used by around 70% of websites worldwide. The flaw could allow hackers to gain access to servers without a password. Many websites have had to temporarily shut down to patch the vulnerability, raising concerns about system security in the AI era, as AI tools become increasingly capable of detecting and exploiting vulnerabilities. The crypto market was no better. Gold moved closer to breaking below the $4K level, while BTC fell to $81K, dragging major altcoins lower: teapawt.net/notifications • $STRK: -20%, down 40% for the week • $STX, solana:HZ1JovNiVvGrGNiiYvEozEVgZ58xaU3RKwX8eACQBCt3: -13% • $ZRO, $LIT: -10% • $AKE: bucked the trend with a +40% gain A day of rising oil, falling stocks, and a sea of red across crypto markets are becoming more sensitive than ever.

JPMorgan Predicts Bitcoin Will Deliver the Highest Returns Over the Next 10 Years JPMorgan once reportedly said it would fire any employee caught trading Bitcoin. Now, the U.S. banking giant is taking a much more favorable view of BTC in its latest report: • Bitcoin is expected to generate around 10% annualized returns, outperforming U.S. large-cap stocks (7.5%) and gold (5.5%). • In return, BTC is expected to remain significantly more volatile. Its projected volatility stands at 55%, roughly 3.2 times that of gold. • However, JPMorgan still cannot include Bitcoin in its core portfolio allocation model, as BTC's correlation with other asset classes remains inconsistent — sometimes moving in the same direction, sometimes charting its own course. Bitwise's Chief Investment Officer was quick to take a jab: “They used to ignore Bitcoin and laugh at it. Now, they’re forecasting it to be the best-performing asset of the next decade.”

Microsoft, Google, and Goldman Sachs Oppose Tokenized Stocks on OKXICE The number of companies refusing to allow their shares to be tokenized and traded on OKXICE, a joint venture between crypto exchange OKX and ICE, the parent company of the NYSE, has risen to 16. The companies have not yet disclosed specific reasons for their objections. The situation highlights how stock tokenization still faces resistance from the companies themselves, despite the U.S. having established regulatory frameworks for testing tokenized assets.

😀😃😄 GOOD MORNING – October 19, 2026 🔥 FRANCE GRIPPED BY POLITICAL UNREST, CHINA’S GDP BEATS EXPECTATIONS 🌟 Key International Highlights > 🇫🇷 France faces major unrest: Protests involving more than 550,000 people against public spending cuts have escalated into some of the worst unrest in years. President Macron has pledged a “no-tolerance” response and granted local authorities greater power to ban gatherings, putting further pressure on the government ahead of Tuesday’s budget vote, with economic losses reaching hundreds of millions of euros. > 🇨🇳 China’s economy gains momentum: China’s Q3 GDP growth unexpectedly accelerated to 4.5%, supported by strong export activity and beating the more pessimistic forecasts from analysts. 💲 Bitcoin & Crypto Market > 🔴 As expected, the strong support zone at $80,000–$81,500 continues to hold, helping Bitcoin bounce from the lows and recover slightly this morning. > 🔴 Buying interest around $80K is providing a solid psychological floor, while the market awaits clearer signs of larger capital entering as Western markets open. 💬 What’s your view for this week? Could the $80K support zone become the launchpad for Bitcoin to break back toward $85K–$90K?

ETF FLOWS – OCT 16 🪙 BTC ETF: -$82.4M, with BlackRock selling -$71.8M 🪙 ETH ETF: -$69.7M, led by BlackRock 🚀 Altcoin ETFs: SOL -$12.7M, XRP -$2.5M, NEAR +$2.6M

GOOD MORNING – OCT 16, 2026 🔥 BRENT HITS $110, GOLD STALLS BELOW $4,200, BITCOIN ETFs GO QUIET 🌍 GLOBAL MARKETS 🇺🇦 Ukraine: Trump denies the White House ordered restrictions on Starlink in Ukraine, as tensions over the service continue. ⚔️ Russia–Ukraine: The proposed “energy ceasefire” has collapsed as Ukraine says it will continue targeting Russian oil infrastructure. ₿ BITCOIN & CRYPTO 🔴 Spot Bitcoin ETFs saw just +$5.1M in net inflows, showing weak institutional demand amid ongoing macro and geopolitical uncertainty. 💰 GOLD 🔴 Gold closed around $4,167.90/oz, failing to break $4,200 as rising oil prices and bond yields revive inflation concerns. 🛢 OIL & ENERGY 🔴 Rising tensions around the Strait of Hormuz, attacks in the region, and risks to Russian refining pushed Brent above $110/barrel. 🇻🇳 VIETNAM STOCK MARKET VN-Index closed at 1,705.91 (+7.56), holding above 1,700 despite foreign investors selling over VND 3 trillion. 👀 WATCH TODAY: Hormuz tensions and the Russia–Ukraine conflict. 💬 Your view: Could $110 oil trigger a new inflation wave, or will Bitcoin surprise with a recovery?

⏰ US SEPTEMBER CPI DATA SET TO BE RELEASED TONIGHT The US September CPI report will be released at 19:30 tonight (Vietnam time). According to a survey of 14 investment banks, headline CPI is expected to rise to 3.6% YoY, up from 3.4% previously, mainly driven by a sharp increase in energy prices. - Core CPI is expected to rise 0.2% MoM, easing slightly from the previous reading. This is the figure markets are watching most closely, as the impact of higher energy prices on headline CPI has largely been priced in. - Forex markets remain choppy as traders await the data, while the USD has edged slightly higher against the JPY. ⚠️- The biggest risk: Core CPI comes in higher than expected. This could shift expectations for the Fed's interest rate policy and provide further support for the USD. 👉 All eyes on 19:30 tonight the CPI report will reveal the next market direction.

IS JPMORGAN MAKING A BIGGER BET ON CRYPTO? JPMorgan estimates that around $50 billion has flowed into the crypto market since the start of 2026, driven mainly by strong inflows into spot crypto ETFs and a significant increase in crypto futures positions during Q3. Notably, the report came as JPMorgan posted quarterly earnings below expectations for the first time in nearly three years. Could crypto and ETFs be emerging as one of JPMorgan’s bright spots amid growing pressure on its traditional business?

On October 12, 2026, U.S. spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs recorded total net outflows of approximately $150.8 million, including $65.4 million from Bitcoin ETFs and $85.4 million from Ethereum ETFs. Notably, all Bitcoin ETF outflows came from BlackRock’s IBIT, while the other Bitcoin funds recorded no net flows. Meanwhile, spot Ethereum ETFs continued to experience outflows for the fifth consecutive session. Most of the withdrawals came from BlackRock’s ETHA and Grayscale Mini ETH, while other funds saw relatively little activity. 🤔 ETF outflows are continuing, but the pressure is concentrated in a few major funds. Is this just a short-term correction, or a sign that investor sentiment is shifting?