Towards Real-World Causal Intelligence Founded by @huang_biwei

Joined April 2026
The cat has a theory about that button, but the bowl has a limit. Each press adds food. Causal reasoning follows that chain to one decision. Pull the plug. #CausalIntelligence #MachineLearning
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What does causality mean when AI acts? As our founder @huang_biwei puts it, “Causality is the ability to understand the rules that govern how actions change the world, and to reason about their consequences before acting.” The result of one action shapes the next decision. #CausalIntelligence
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The path to Aether AI began long before the company itself. Causal learning taught us to look beyond mere patterns and unlock the mechanisms that drive outcomes. Foundation models made it possible to do this at scale. We’re building the infrastructure for Causal Intelligence, with a horizon that includes physical AI, computer use, forecasting, and scientific discovery.
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We asked CRIS-0 to tidy the living room. Some cans were empty. Others still had drinks in them. CRIS-0 kept track of their states, threw away the empties, and set the unfinished drinks aside.
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In the real world, the right next action changes as conditions change. A metal can is left on a plate. CRIS-0 removes it before heating. A hand enters the microwave door's path. It stops, waits, and continues when it's safe.
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This is CRIS-0, Aether AI's first causal robotic intelligence system, operating in a real home. It reasons about how its actions will change the world, checks what actually happened, and adapts when reality doesn't go as expected.
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Today's AI is remarkably good at recognizing patterns. But in the real world, patterns can only take us so far. When a robot acts, every action changes its environment. To operate reliably, it needs to understand not just what to do next, but what its actions will cause and how to adapt when reality doesn't go as expected. At Aether AI, we're building AI that reasons about cause and effect. We started with robotics, where causality is tangible and every action has a clear consequence. But the ideas we're developing extend far beyond the physical world. Check out our new brand film which tells the story!
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A domino falls. An avalanche begins. Different scales. Different phenomena. Yet beneath the surface, similar chains of cause and effect unfold. Look beyond the surface. Discover what drives it.
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That’s a wrap on #IROS2026! Huge thanks to everyone who stopped by our booth for the sharp questions, thoughtful challenges, and deep conversations about Causal Intelligence. Plenty for us to unpack, and so many conversations we can't wait to continue. What a ride. Let’s keep the momentum going! @ieeeiros #IROS #CausalAI
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Early errors can snowball in long-horizon robotic tasks. If a small deviation goes undetected, the robot may continue acting on an incorrect state estimate, causing later decisions to drift further from reality. We address this with our "causal brain", which predicts how actions should change task-relevant state variables over time. After each action, it compares the predicted transition with what actually happened. These discrepancies provide a continuous calibration signal, helping the system discover new causal factors and relationships, update outdated knowledge, and adapt as the physical world evolves. #CausalIntelligence
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We’ll be at #IROS2026 in Pittsburgh, Sept 28 to 30! At Booth #116, we’ll be sharing our work on causal intelligence and the question of how AI can reason about actions and their consequences in the physical world. Come meet the team and tell us what you’re building. See you there! @ieeeiros
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A robot sees a coffee cup, shadows, and clutter. But what actually matters for its next move? We’re building causal intelligence to represent what matters for action and reason about how actions change the world. It’s a tricky problem, but we’re just getting into the good stuff. Stay tuned! #CausalIntelligence #PhysicalAI
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CausalWM takes the No. 1 spot on TriWorldBench! By bringing Causal Chain-of-Thought into future video prediction, it makes intermediate physical variables part of the generation process. The same interface can also accept visually rendered control signals. With limited fine-tuning, simulator-rendered robot trajectories can guide the generation of future videos consistent with those trajectories. Explore more details👇
Thrilled to share CausalWM, our causal world model v1 built based on Causal Chain-of-Thought (CoT). It currently ranks No. 1 on TriWorldBench and the robot domain of PAI-Bench. Many world models predict the future frames directly from current observations with language or action conditions. This can produce visually convincing videos at first glance, while still getting many subtle but important physical details wrong. Because the underlying physical variables remain entangled in implicit representations, it is difficult to tell whether the model has truly captured the relevant physical mechanisms or is merely relying on shortcuts that produce plausible-looking results. With CausalWM, we bring Causal CoT into future video prediction. The model follows an explicit sequence: Optical Flow → Geometry / Pointmap → Future RGB Each step in the causal CoT captures a meaningful intermediate transition, allowing the model to progressively capture causal dependencies underlying physical evolution. One result I find especially interesting is the in-context control interface created by Causal CoT. Because our CausalWM has learned to use new visual signals in causal CoT. With limited fine-tuning, any useful features (e.g., simulator-rendered robot trajectories) can be added as in-context control, to guide it to generate consistent future videos. This in-context learning ability gives us a practical way for physical reasoning and causal intervention. Links in the thread below.
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Our founder @huang_biwei spoke at AI Infra Signal in Sunnyvale last weekend and shared some of our work on causal intelligence💡 For us, causality is about understanding how actions change the world and reasoning about their consequences before acting. This matters as AI systems begin to act in changing environments. Thanks to the organizing team, speakers, and everyone who attended. The wide range of perspectives made the broader AI infrastructure picture much more concrete!
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Ice cream sales and drowning accidents rise at the same time. Does eating ice cream cause people to drown? Of course not. Warmer weather drives both: people buy more ice cream, and more people go swimming. Temperature is the confounder. The same trap appears in model evaluation. “A new prompt improved performance by 15%.” But did the prompt actually improve, or did the test set just get easier? Real-world evaluations involve countless, often unobserved variables, making perfectly controlled experiments difficult or impossible. A change in query difficulty, distribution, or context can easily look like a model improvement. This is why causal evaluation matters. Instead of asking what changed together, it asks what the intervention actually caused. By accounting for confounders, we can distinguish genuine improvements from changes in the evaluation environment and make better downstream decisions. How does your team account for confounders across evaluation runs? #CausalAI #CausalWorldModels
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Catch our founder @huang_biwei at AI Infra Signal hosted by OpenStages on Sep 12! She'll talk on “Causal World Models for the Next AI Paradigm” and explore how causality can help AI reason about how actions change what happens next. See you there!
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“What if I do this action? What will happen?” That’s the core of counterfactual reasoning in Physical AI. Our founder @huang_biwei joined @CharlieFink and @VirtualTedS on @AIXRPodcast to talk 10+ years of causal AI research, how it’s shaping our causal world models, and why Physical AI is our first proving ground. Check out the full episode in the comments.
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