Mathematician. Formerly Cambridge & UCLA faculty - specialized in the then-obscure subject of epidemic models. More recently financial stuff. Risk.

London, England
Joined March 2017
Alan Stacey retweeted
Replying to @JoeyMannarino
Yesterday, sweetie, while you were busy shitposting - which shows how much you know about any of this. And every other senior politician in Brazil, including his leading supporters, on Sunday night. xitter.cf/JoeyMannarino/status/2…
Apparently, Flavio Bolsonaro has accepted the results of the elections in Brazil now. I hope I’m hearing fake news and he didn’t actually accept that obvious steal…
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Alan Stacey retweeted
Insofar as the good guys won.
Brazil elections remind me of Arizona elections.
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Florida Dems are falling for the same mistake that cost the election to many leftist parties in Latin America: When asked if a dictatorial country is a dictatorship, just say "Yes, absolutely, a despotic regime", anything else will be seen as weak, dishonest or whitewashy.
#FloridaSenate Angie Nixon on whether Cuba is a dictatorship in interview with CBS News: "That is what people have told me. I have never been to Cuba, and so I will have to take their word for it."
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Alan Stacey retweeted
It actually had 12, which shows exactly how much you know what you're talking about. Evidently just because someone is "right-wing" they're not prepared to vote for a fascist. My grandmother-in-law is 96 and hell will freeze over before she votes for anyone called Bolsonaro.
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Well that was very on target. AGH blocked me for asking this question. And just now I noticed this, which means what it says. Ordinarily intelligent(ish) people are being bamboozled people they follow telling toxic lies for money. @OneLag @MonpotLeDevin @AnImminentKing
Replying to @AGHamilton29
Who is paying you to post this pathetic garbage?
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Alan Stacey retweeted
You keep at it, champ. You’re doing great.
Talarico is a far left extremist
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Long after everyone relevant in Brazil has accepted the outcome, the true MAGA toady still believes in the conspiracy theory. Not to worry. You're not completely alone. The Kraken is on your side.
He did not win. Get your facts straight morons.
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When major crime families run for office and you're not allowed to charge candidates during the election campaign so you have to wait, yes.
Is it normal democracy to immediately take away the passport of someone and investigate them?
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Alan Stacey retweeted
You're very confused. "Statistically impossible" doesn't mean "BWAAAH AAAAH AAAH! I didn't like the results and I think I'm going to cry!".
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Alan Stacey retweeted
Hey so this was completely made up.
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This is manifestly ridiculous given that Lula won the city of São Paulo which generates a huge amount of wealth, despite narrowly losing the state. You're still not getting the plutocracy you crave, but you can have an entry in the very large book of Pathetic Bolsominion Cope.
Lula won 51% of the popular vote but only 27% of the GDP presented from the states he won. Incredible The people that contribute the least to the society decide the future of the… 5th largest economy in the world. That’s as democratic as it gets
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Last time around Team Bolsonaro caused three months of chaos blocking roads and trying to bring the entire country to a standstill because they were having a tantrum. They then attempted a violent coup. You're the thug, dude. Absolutely disgraceful.
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I'm sure he is feeling humiliated because he'll be drowning his sorrows in a motel by renting someone else's foot for an astronomical sum of money and getting its owner to call him a puny white f****t .
Glenn Greenwald is feeling too humiliated to tweet since claiming that “Bolsonaro is the favorite but not a guarantee.”
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Alan Stacey retweeted
From that article, translated. This is not difficult if you get your news from Brazil. "THERE'S NOTHING TO DISPUTE" - Bolsonaro's own approved Senate leader.
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You are promoting far-right conspiracy theories without even the slightest attempt at verification to try to destabilize a democracy. It's disgraceful and you should delete these tweets and apologize @JacobALinker .
The legislature has right of center super majorities and the left of center President just won re-election via what the opposition is not-wholly-unreasonably calling a judicial coup and stolen election. Hot hot hot mess.
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The prediction markets changed because (a) Polymarket is full of chuds who get things wrong in the first place (b) these chuds are not so stupid that they carry on getting things wrong when the vote comes in. It changed during the vote count, not after the court decision.
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There were some minor changes in the prediction markets earlier - nothing dramatic - but they arose because BOLSONARO WAS REQUESTING EXTENSIONS. Nothing to do with Lula. Nothing to do with the decision. And very small change, but Bolsonaro's request suggested he was less confident of victory than had been assumed. These are mere minor details though. The central claim here is a lie. Stop trying to give it traction.
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