
Algo trader. Daily market takes. I follow @ProfitsTaken: 20+ yrs in markets, ex-licensed broker & options specialist. What I use š (affiliate link)
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Seeing a lot of buzz around $LULU here is my take:
yes technicals are saying oversold, but there is a reason its oversold. The margin compression and market share loss it has seen in the US is killing it.
LULU used to stand alone in the space and held a monopoly. Now you have ALO, Athleta, Fabletics, Vuori, Gymshark.
Here is how I would trade this. Let it report earnings on 9/3 after the bell. Make sure they dont miss again too avoid another drawdown. If they show that they are making ground back in the US market then I would start to scale in and hold for the longterm.
The numbers:
$LULU ~$123
Not RSI-oversold today (RSI ~53).
The oversold case is the DRAWDOWN.
⢠52w: $104 ā $226
⢠Down ~45% from the high
⢠Still 20% under the 200-day (~$154)
⢠Death cross intact (50-day ~$118 / 200-day ~$154)
⢠Base building $104ā$120
⢠Short interest ~10% of float
Valuation is the real washout:
~10x trailing earnings. ~11x forward.
~$11B sales. ~56% gross margin. ~31% ROE.
Street used to pay a growth multiple. Now it prices āgrowth is dead.ā
Next line in the sand: $104.
First real repair: reclaim $154.
Earnings Thu 9/3 AMC ā that print decides if this base holds.
Education only. Not advice.
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Ohh shit thats cool! Thanks @Unc_GPT and @Mr_Derivatives
Ok now i am actually signing off for the weekend lol š
Sunday night I will reopen X and the 500 verified goal will be hit!
Donāt let me down. Meeting with the board on Mondayā¦
Ok guys itās the weekend make sure you:
Touch grass
Touch a human
Call your mom/ dad
Go to a sporting event
Hang with friends
Laugh
Get family together
Cook a meal
Get off X for a beat and remember whatās important!
Super intelligence leads to abundance
SpaceXās Arizona data center, per a county supervisor: āWe could be reducing property taxes across the board in Cochise County, the entire county, by 20%ā
Frank Antenori, whose district includes the site, brought up the countyās tax math during a live Q&A:
āHereās just something to just chew on. Arizona has an expenditure limit requirement that is placed on counties. If we exceed that expenditure, we have to rebate back to the taxpayers a certain amount.ā
āSo, if weāre receiving revenue in from SpaceX, by law, we have to offset that to the taxpayers. We have the potential to reduce, based on the projected revenue theyāre creating, as much as 20%.ā
āLet me just say it again. We could be reducing property taxes across the board in Cochise County, the entire county, by 20% to offset for the revenue here, because we canāt spend all that money. So, we have to give that money back to the taxpayers. The law says we have to.ā
āSo, you could see a potential significant impact to local property taxes. What that is, I donāt know. Weāre going to have to do the math on it. But the law, if we have this large increase in property tax revenue, we have to balance those rates. So that will reduce dramatically the property tax burden of every resident in the county.ā
āThe construction sales tax, which also is the TPT, the transaction privilege tax, the retail tax, and the jail excise tax. So that will be part of the construction tax. We could literally use that money to pay the jail off in 2 to 3 years, as opposed to the 13 to 20 years.ā
āSo this could be a revenue to eliminate the half-cent sales tax in 2 to 3 years. We can get rid of that half-cent sales tax.ā
AlgošJeff retweeted
Will trump strike Iran š®š· over the weekend?
38%Yes
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16 votes ⢠7 hoursHow am I gaining followers with no impressions?
Whoās targeting me?
Probably will get a dm soon asking for money to boost my account
I guess I should have kept the hedge instead off a $250 profit I would have a $2000 profit š but what I was hedging we sold deep green so shoulda woulda coulda

















