NBA POTD #1🏀 (Oct. 23rd) Collab w/@SC_FFB 🐐 1. Dejounte Murray O5.5 Assists (-135) #Pelicans He opened the season with 7 assists, and now gets a matchup against one of the more favorable defenses for opposing playmakers. Utah allowed a league-high 30.7 assists per game last season and their defensive struggles have consistently created opportunities for opposing guards. Murray has taken full advantage of this matchup, clearing 5.5 assists in all 5 of his last 5 meetings against the Jazz, averaging 9.2 assists per game. His results in those matchups were 11, 9, 6, 11, and 9 assists. The minutes trend makes this play even stronger. When Murray plays at least 25 minutes against teams ranked 20th–30th defensively, he’s cleared this line in 10 of his last 10 games, averaging 8.4 assists. He’s also gone over in 19 of his last 20 games (95%) under those same conditions. His role as a primary ball handler gives him plenty of opportunities to create shots for his teammates. Against an Utah defense that has consistently struggled to limit ball movement and assists, we expect him to have another productive night distributing the basketball.

NBA POTD #1🏀 (Oct. 20th) Collab w/@SC_FFB 🐐 1. Jalen Williams O8.5 RA (-135) We really like this spot for Jalen Williams against San Antonio, especially when looking at his production in games where he gets his normal minutes. Last season, Williams cleared 8.5 RA in 15/22 games (68.2%) when playing 25+ minutes, averaging 10.3 rebounds + assists. The road split is even better, clearing this line in all 9 qualifying road games (100%). That consistency is encouraging considering OKC travels to San Antonio for this matchup. The head-to-head numbers also support this play. Williams has cleared this line in 80% of his matchups against the Spurs when playing at least 25 minutes. Looking at his last 10 meetings with San Antonio, he’s averaging 10.9 RA, with several games finishing comfortably above this number. The biggest factor here is playing time. When Williams gets 25+ minutes, his combination of rebounding opportunities and playmaking gives him multiple ways to clear this line. He doesn’t need an exceptional game in either category, just his usual involvement on both ends. With strong road splits, consistent production against San Antonio, and a line sitting below his qualifying averages, we like Williams to get to 9+ RA again.

MNF POTD🏈 (Oct. 19th) Collab w/@SC_FFB 🐐 1. George Kittle 15+ Rec Yards each half (-130) • 53.5 receiving yards per game, averaging 4.2 receptions on 5.6 targets, trailing only Mike Evans (23.9% target share, 31.5% first read target share) for 2nd on the 49ers in both target share (19.7%) and first read target share (24.7%) • 58.7 receiving yards per game playing at least 50% of the team’s offensive snaps, and/or running more than 15 routes, averaging 5.0 receptions on 6.3 targets, still trailing only Evans (27.9% target share, 36.2% first read target share) for 2nd on the 49ers in both target share (22.1%) and first read target share (25.9%) • Evans is questionable, currently leading the 49ers with a 23.9% target share and 31.5% first read target share • Deebo Samuel is out, vacating a 14.1% target share and 13.5% first read target share • 74.5 receiving yards per game in 2 career meetings against the Commanders with Brock Purdy under center, averaging 4.5 receptions on 6.0 targets, trailing only Brandon Aiyuk (31.3% target share, 33.3% first read target share), who is out, for 2nd on the 49ers in both target share (25.0%) and first read target share (28.2%) • The Commanders are 23rd in EPA per pass (0.05), 26th in DVOA against the pass (20.0%), and 31st in DVOA against tight ends (40.9%), allowing the 11th-most targets (8.2), the 7th-most receptions (6.4), and the 5th-most receiving yards (74.4) per game to the position

NFL POTD #1🏈 (Oct. 18th) Collab w/@PropKitchen 👨‍🍳 1. Kenneth Walker O19.5 Rush Atts(-104) Walker has been everything Andy Reid & Patrick Mahomes were looking for out of a running back and with two starting WRs out, we expect another high volume game for him against the Chargers. Walker has went over this line in 3/4 games, with an average of 21.8 rushing attempts per game. He has received 87 carries compared to only 16 for Emmett Johnson, giving Walker roughly 85% of the rushing attempts between Kansas City’s two primary backs. In the Chiefs’ last game, Walker handled all 22 RB carries and accounted for 23 of 24 total RB opportunities. Kansas City has been one of the more committed rushing offenses in football, ranking 11th in team rush rate while producing one of the league’s most efficient designed rushing attacks. Walker's 134.3 rushing yards per game leads the NFL & with Rashee Rice out and Kansas City coming off the bye, there’s little reason to expect them to move away from a rushing attack that has been working. The Chargers have consistently allowed opponents to build volume on the ground, ranking 30th in opponent rushing attempts, 31st in early down rush rate allowed and 28th against RB rushing attempts. Several primary backs have already cleared their individual rushing attempt lines against Los Angeles: ✅ James Cook: 24 RA (Line: 17.5) ✅ Ashton Jeanty: 21 RA (Line: 15.5) ✅ Emanuel Wilson: 21 RA (Line: 13.5) ✅ J.K. Dobbins: 18 RA (Line: 13.5) Kansas City enters as roughly a 7.5 point home favorite, giving Walker a strong path to another full workload if the Chiefs control the game. Opponents are averaging more than 31 team rushing attempts per game against the Chargers, and Walker has been taking such a large percentage of Kansas City’s backfield work that the Chiefs don’t need an extreme run heavy game for him to reach 20 carries. Walker has established himself as the clear engine of Kansas City’s rushing attack, and the matchup gives the Chiefs every reason to keep feeding him. With his backfield control and a favorable game script at home, we like KW9 to go over this line again for us!