My NBA POTD for Wednesday ☢️ Joel Embiid 32.5 PR "O" -114 FD Drop a ❤️⬇️if tailing! this is a dream matchup for Embiid! the pacers are allowing the 8th most points under the net where embiid generates 31% of his points, allowing the 5th most paint points where embiid generates 20% of his points, and the 5th most mid range points where embiid generates 29% of his points. embiid is facing a bottom 10 DVP matchup in spots where he generates 80% of his points! the pacers are allowing the 6th most points and 4th most rebounds to the C position the pacers allow the 5th most free throws (22% of embiids points) allow the most P&R (16% of embiids points) and the 13th most post up points (19%) we haven't really seen any official centers play against the pacers but we have got to see average centers overperform vs the pacers including Kelel Ware 30 PR on a 17.5 line Derrick Queen 20 PR on a 13.5 line Yves Missi 27 PR on a 14.5 line now we are getting to see a top 5 center in the league against this poverty defense, im buying in.

The Best Over in the NBA on Tuesday💵 Karl-Anthony Towns 18.5 Points "O" -132 FD Drop a ❤️⬇️if tailing! Jalen Duren is OUT & Ausar is questionable Kat has been on a tear to start the season going over this projection in 3/3 games averaging 21 points on 12.3 FGA per game the Pistons allow the MOST free throws where KAT produces 20% of his points and without Duren they are going to have to foul even more to try and stop him. H2H last season when Kat got at least 5+ FGA he was over in 1/1 game dropping 21 points on 14 FGA (a game where Jalen Duren was not present) last season we got to see Towns play this team twice without Duren - game 1 towns only plays 23 minutes in a blowout loss where he only attempted 4 FGA game two 21 points on 31 minutes 14 FGA KAT managed to dominate even after only getting 2 points first half. bottom line i don't think Reed can compete with a player like towns in the paint or even at the 3 this is a lock.

My NBA POTD for Tuesday☢️ Ja Morant 5.5 Assists "O" -125 FD Drop a ❤️⬇️ for the 2nd prop! this line doesn't make any sense... Ja Morant was traded to the Blazers in the offseason. Nori has consistently framed him as the primary ball-handler/point guard who pushes pace, attacks the paint, and sets up others (especially Damian Lillard and Deni Avdija), rather than a pure high-usage scorer. in the first two games of the season Ja has went over this line in 2/2 games getting 8 assists and 7 assists averaging 8.5 potentials per game (8 potentials in a blowout game vs the suns and 15 potentials against the kings in a semi competitive game) the lakers are a bottom 10 DVP in games vs a bottom 10 DVP last season Ja was over this line in 8/9 games averaging 8.8 assists on 28.1 minutes this season hes docked 23 and 27 minutes (one game being a blowout) we can pinpoint Ja to get at least 28-32 minutes vs the lakers tomorrow considering the 3 point spread and just how both teams have been playing. in their two games last season (Ja on the grizzlies) Ja went over in 2/2 games dropping 7,11 assists on 14 and 19 potentials (31 minutes both) the lakers allowed Collier and George to both moon over their assists projections in the lakers last game. now you have Ja a very good ball handler with weapons like Deni and Dame this is easy...