Product Development, Growth @OddsJam | I build the tools I bet with: +EV, Projections, Live | $500k+ Since Oct '24. DMs open for partnerships
Joined December 2024
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Arbologist retweeted
i'll start posting more educational content on prediction markets
Far too much misinformation & scam pick sellers..
It's nearly impossible to live stream/tweet "good" bets for them because the odds change constantly. There's only so much liquidity available @ given price...
A sportsbook/DFS app adjust their odds *slowly*... That's why 1000x people can tail a bet at the EXACT SAME PRICE. That's what matters. A bet could be *amazing* at +600 & horrible at +400.
On prediction markets, one guy trades $10k and the price changes by 10%. That's why people who "sell picks" for them are complete scams.
Be careful out there ...
Arbologist retweeted
A real edge can still make you nothing 😶
Three things decide whether it ever shows up 🧵
It's what we do ... and the tools @OddsJam make it so simple.
What until ya'll see what's on the horizon!
Let's just say, we've gotten our hands dirty with what's to come ... our brainchildren ... accessible TO YOU @TheArbFather @stacktheunits!
If you’re a $10–$20 bettor complaining you can’t win, you’re not even trying lol. My average bet on these is like $40 or some shit, and I’m up around 500U on soft ass books like Onyx and Fanatics this year 🤣
What gets overlooked is that the books that limit you fastest are usually the easiest to beat. You might get less down, but the ROI is usually way higher than at sharper books, so sometimes it evens out.
90% of my bets are on sharper books tbh (FanDuel, Bet105, prop builders, Novig, ProphetX, etc.), but I’ll still dabble on softer books. Why not? Easy money.
I barely even try on these softer books they’re a small part of my volume. If I had to rely on them, I’d easily be up six figures just grinding out the limits.
Stop complaining about limits and grind. Grab @OddsJam (links in bio for a discount 🤑). Use the Sharp $$ tool and cross-market to prediction markets, or find live +EV bets and devig to Pinnacle. It’s literally as easy as that lol.
ANOTHER MARKET DISCREPANCY!
🏈 Makai Lemon UNDER 37.5 Receiving Yards (-114) at Props Builder 👀
Spotted this one using the @OddsJam Sportsbook Screen, and the market difference jumped off the page.
📊 Look at the UNDER lines:
🔹 Pinnacle: 34.5 yards (-114)
🔹 FanDuel: 34.5 yards (-113)
🔹 DraftKings: 34.5 yards (-110)
🔥 Props Builder: 37.5 yards (-114)
We're getting 3 EXTRA YARDS of protection at Props Builder while paying virtually the SAME JUICE as the sharper market references!
Think about that ... the broader market is pricing the UNDER at 34.5, yet Props Builder is offering us 37.5 at essentially the same price.
That's a meaningful difference in a receiving yards market.
💡 This is exactly why line shopping matters.
I'm not trying to predict whether Lemon has a big game. I'm identifying situations where the market is giving me a more favorable number without charging a premium for it.
You won't win every bet, but consistently capturing better numbers is how you position yourself for long-term profitability.
@OddsJam makes finding these discrepancies a whole lot easier.
🚨 VALUE HIDING IN PLAIN SIGHT! 🚨
George Pickens UNDER 67.5 Receiving Yards 👀
Found this one using the @OddsJam Sportsbook Screen, and the market discrepancy is hard to ignore.
📊 Look at the UNDER lines:
🔹 Pinnacle: 63.5 yards (-113)
🔹 FanDuel: 64.5 yards (-113)
🔹 DraftKings: 64.5 yards (-111)
🔥 Props Builder: 67.5 yards (-114)
We're getting 3–4 EXTRA YARDS at Props Builder compared to major market references, without paying a significant premium in juice.
That's the kind of discrepancy I'm hunting.
The goal isn't predicting whether Pickens has a good game. It's identifying where a sportsbook is offering a better number than the broader market.
Shop the number ... attack the value! 📈
@OddsJam makes spotting these opportunities a whole lot easier.
Yesterday's NHL was ugly ... zero reason to hide it ...
❌ 1–6 📉 -$674
That’s sports betting; variance doesn’t care how good your process is. Some days, the board punches you in the mouth. But one bad day doesn’t define the process, and it’s exactly why volume matters.
Zoom out:
📊 99 bets
✅ 58–41 | 58.6% win rate
💰 +$1.8K profit
📈 +12.0% ROI
💵 $15,043 wagered
The goal isn’t to avoid losing days ... that’s impossible!
The goal is to consistently find valuable volume ... enough +EV opportunities that, over a meaningful sample, variance starts getting drowned out and the edge has room to show itself.
That’s a huge part of why I use @OddsJam.
More markets ... more books ... more data = more opportunities to identify mispriced numbers and get money down when the value is there.
Yesterday: 1–6 ... fuck it, not even phased!
Overall: 58–41 and +$1.8K.
Don’t judge the process by bad days ... judge it over volume. 📈
🏈 NFL + @OddsJam continues to deliver!
This isn’t about one hot Sunday or blindly tailing picks. This is 1,400+ tracked NFL bets built around consistently identifying value in the market:
🔥 724–644 record
🎯 55.2% win rate
💰 +$12.9K NET PROFIT
📈 9.0% ROI
You don’t need to win 65–70% of your bets to make serious money. 55%+ over volume with the right prices can be incredibly powerful.
@OddsJam has become a huge part of the process:
🔎 Find market discrepancies
📊 Compare prices across books
🧠 Track sharp money & movement
💰 Identify value and attack the best number
We’re not going to win every bet; nobody does. The goal is to consistently get money down at better numbers on the right side of the market and let that edge compound over hundreds of bets.
Find the edge ... get the best number ... repeat ...
+$12.9K and climbing. 📈
Let’s keep attacking NFL. 🏈🔥
Giving the process … will you take it?
I’ve earned over $500k @OddsJam … learned from ground up, now I’m legitimately building the tools I bet with!
Let’s ride!
P1 and limited accounts alone are up almost $150K this year, thanks to @OddsJam
My personal favorite is the SHARP $ tool. Stop overthinking what you should or shouldn’t take..tail the sharps and print long term: oddsjam.com/lp/ads/arbfather…?
Or use Platinum to find live +EV bets and rip cross market opportunities against Pinnacle, Kalshi etc. That’s literally the same strategy I use: oddsjam.com/lp/ads/arbfather…?
Both links get you an awesome discount! DM me if you got questions which better fits you 📲
Sweet!
🚨 BIG NEWS 🚨
I’m officially starting a sports betting podcast with my guy @C0llins_Billy called Sharp-Ish 🎙️🏈
We’re talking EVERYTHING sports betting! Our biggest wins, worst losses, strategies, lessons we’ve learned, betting tips, and all the biggest news happening in the space.
And we’re starting Episode 1 with a BANGER…
Billy breaks down the insane story behind turning a $5 parlay into $5,400 😭💰
🎙️ Sharp-Ish — Episode 1
🗓️ Tuesday
⏰ 9 AM ET
We’ve got a lot planned for this one. Tap in 🤝🔥And of course shoutout for sponsor @OddsJam 🤝
Arbologist retweeted
As much as we’re all competing to grab the same lines and liquidity before they’re gone, I still love “Pikkit Day” on the 1st of the month. Everyone sharing how things are going..good or bad lol
It’s humbling and motivating. People are making money with all kinds of strategies! Or using a combo of the same ones but attacking them from a different angle 🧠
Very cool seeing so many people in this niche community turn betting into side hustle money or even a full time income. We’re all blessed 😇
Made $22k on just P1s this month so basically a limited FanDuel, prediction markets, etc all tracked on @pikkitsports More with partners of course 💰
A little glimpse at the category of bets that did the best from Pikkit results:
🏈 NFL prop model (testing this thing out with @stacktheunits … hopefully the results stay hot lol)
💰 @OddsJam Sharp $ tool mainly FanDuel tbh..but great for a lot of limited accounts if you aren’t scared to grind behind the screen
Best books: FanDuel & Novig 📚
Best sports: NFL & MLB 🏈⚾️
55% doesn’t sound sexy ... until you understand sports betting. 📈
Over the last 30 days using @OddsJam
🎯 8,612 bets
✅ 4,706–3,807
📊 55.3% win rate
💰 +$26,646.98
A lot of bettors think you need to hit 60–70% to make serious money ... You don’t!
At standard -110 pricing, break-even is roughly 52.4%. Sustaining 55% at similar pricing over a large sample represents a significant long-term edge.
And that’s the key: sample size; anybody can run hot for 50 bets. Maintaining 55.3% across 8,600+ bets in 30 days is a completely different conversation.
Professional betting isn’t about winning every bet or posting some ridiculous win percentage; it’s about finding small, repeatable edges, getting enough volume down, managing risk, and letting the math work over thousands of bets.
55.3% over 8,612 bets ... that’s the number I’m proud of!
The +$26,646 is what happens when the process behind it works. 📈
NCAAF props were cooking AGAIN this week. 🔥🏈
Week 4: 26-12 | 68.4% WIN RATE
💰 +$2,256 PROFIT
For Season: 380-260 | 59.4% WIN RATE
💰 +$7,590 PROFIT
A lot of these opportunities start with @OddsJam; their tools help identify where the market is moving, where books are hanging different numbers, and where potential value exists ... but the tools are only part of the equation.
My group combines OddsJam data with our own proprietary methods and filtering to decide which opportunities actually make the cut; you don't need to bet everything you see.
Collect the data ... find the edge!
@OddsJam 🤝 The Arbologist 🤝 @TheArbFather
reposting; damn useful ...
Yo @TheArbFather
Every PB limit in one sheet. 52 markets, four leagues.
The part worth knowing: the caps are to win, and max bet is $300. So the real ceiling is whichever binds first.
Shortcut — divide the to-win cap by 300 and that's the price you need:
$150 → −200
$250 → −120
$500 → +167
@OddsJam
Yupppp! Cross market opportunities usually mean someone doesn’t know what the fuck they’re doing 😂
They tend to be easier to spot in major markets..moneylines, spreads and totals because you have more books to compare.
You can see the side I locked in, then the side I circled (the books I could’ve arbed against). But when multiple sharp books like Pinnacle and the PM’s are all aligned, I’d rather take on a little variance than lock in a 1–2% arb.
More risk in the short term, but a much higher ROI over the long run just hitting the “EV side” @OddsJam
