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Hedge funds just had their worst week since COVID — and almost nobody noticed.
Here's why and what you should do about it 🧵👇
Arete retweeted
Man, do people hate a confident person..
They want to drag that man or woman so much.
Yet, they're also first to stomp the person who is already struggling & full of doubts...
Don't listen to crowds.
Don't wait for support.
Just run at life.
“The world breaks everyone and afterward some are stronger at the broken places.”
— Ernest Hemingway
“The greatest glory in living lies not in never falling but in rising every time we fall.”
— Nelson Mandela
What I’m watching this week:
📊 $GOOG / $AMZN capex — the stocks are setting up like they want OUT regardless of earnings
🛢️ $XLE / energy — the only fully-aligned long in the market right now
💱 France/Germany spread + $VIX over 20 — CTAs have forced-sell models above 20
🇧🇷 Brazil election — $EWZ, $ITUB setting up for massive volatility Monday/Tuesday
Hedge funds just got annihilated at moves that statistically shouldn’t happen in a lifetime. That’s a forced de-risk, not a fundamental collapse — but it means institutions won’t be your backstop into year-end.
Trade shorter. Respect the defensives cracking. And watch that France/Germany spread.
Full breakdown on YouTube — including the sigma-move data, the earnings-trade framework on $META, and the carry-trade unwind risk.
🎥 Full video: youtu.be/AlYLxPoBhpA
"Life is not measured by the number of breaths we take but by the moments that take our breath away."
— Maya Angelou
Arete retweeted
This is a joke but underneath is the truth.
When you go on tilt, break rules, try to get back losses, etc and then at 4pm on a Friday you wake up from the devastation you’ve caused bc you broke rules. You sit in a funk all weekend hating yourself. You ever been there?
This leads to a lack of respect for yourself. I’ve always said your trading is a reflection of you. If you can’t respect yourself how is anyone else going to? Suddenly your trading has leaked into your personal life or vice versa and it’s just all bad.
All because you disrespected yourself.
It’s the past . . . It’s 4:05pm est and old me is talking to myself and beating myself up because I tried to get some $ back after drawing down. Instead of making $ I end up blacking out and tilting all day and losing 3x more than I gave back.
Disrespecting myself and leading to more and more problems in my life.






