"Good people are good because they've come to wisdom through failure." 🇺🇸

Tahoe, CA
Joined October 2023
No expiration date for Success there is! $FNMA $FMCC
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$FNMA $FMCC Fannie Mae & Freddie Mac Chairman @pulte lookin' fresh on Air Force One ahead of Trump's Michigan rally today. Sound up!😊
Ladies and gentlemen, I think we may have found the new White House Press Secretary! @NICKIMINAJ
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Lumi Casanova retweeted
Replying to @chamath
Pretty much. As of the past few weeks, debt markets have almost entirely shut off access to money for any company that doesn’t have substantial revenue independent of AI data centers. SpaceX closed $40B of debt for GPUs, but we’re investment grade and have Starlink & launch revenue. That means the 200+ neoclouds are going to see guppy-level death and consolidation. Some will make it through, but not many.
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Lumi Casanova retweeted
Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac have more than repaid taxpayers through dividends yet remain the only major bailout recipients still locked in conservatorship more than 18 years later. ProPublica’s tracker shows the GSEs received roughly $191.5 billion in draws and have returned well over $300 billion in dividends, producing a large net gain for the Treasury, while nearly every large bank and AIG repaid in full with profits and were released.​ Companies that left taxpayers with permanent losses were allowed to restructure and operate freely. Keeping Fannie and Freddie under unique, indefinite government control after superior repayment is inconsistent and unwarranted. Companies and what they still owe: General Motors ~$11.3 billion Wells Fargo ~3.4 billion JP Morgan Chase ~3.2 billion CalHFA ~2.4 billion Bank of America ~2.3 billion Check for yourself: projects.propublica.org/bail… CIT Group ~$2.3 billion Chrysler ~$1.2 billion
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Lumi Casanova retweeted
LOWERING COSTS AND EXPANDING ACCESS TO HOMEOWNERSHIP: Today, President Donald J. Trump signed an Executive Order to lower the costs of single-family homeownership and mortgages and promote innovation throughout the housing market. •The Order directs the Director of the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) to create a pilot program to cancel borrowers’ mortgage insurance premiums proactively once they have satisfied their equity requirements based on the current market value, which will eliminate a large monthly expense for qualifying Americans across the country.   •The Order establishes the Task Force on Manufactured Housing Innovation to increase the quality of and lower the cost of building a home by facilitating the use of modern manufacturing methods in the production of factory-built housing eligible for federal housing programs. •The Order directs the FHFA Director to reduce homeowners’ refinancing costs by expanding the FHFA’s title insurance waiver pilot into a permanent program to allow more borrowers to utilize cost-friendly alternatives to title insurance and to reduce the closing costs of refinancing and monthly expenses associated with homeownership.  •The Order directs the Secretary of Agriculture and Secretary of Veterans Affairs to reduce interest rates on single-family home loans made by their respective Departments. RESTORING THE AMERICAN DREAM OF HOMEOWNERSHIP: President Trump is removing unnecessary red tape and making homeownership more affordable for all Americans. •Homeownership is a vital pillar of our great Nation, and President Trump and his Administration are working tirelessly to cut burdensome costs and red tape to make the American dream of homeownership more affordable for all Americans.  •Unnecessary regulations and outdated mortgage processes have made homeownership unaffordable and driven up closing costs.
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Lumi Casanova retweeted
Pershing Square CEO Bill Ackman reiterated his bullish stance on Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, of which he is large shareholder in. “These stocks will go up tenfold. and that’s you know, that’s the most asymmetric investment I’m aware of in the stock market,” Ackman told CNBC’s “Squawk on the Street” on Thursday. “These entities have fully rebuilt their capital. What’s not, I think, well understood is Fannie and Freddie today have five times the capital they had historically.” Watch the full interview: cnb.cx/4BldcoT
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Lumi Casanova retweeted
$FNMA $FMCC @BillAckman great interview! Thank you!
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Lumi Casanova retweeted
A good summary.
This is a fantastic interview with such great content. For anyone who didn't listen in the key points were: 1. It is imperative the release happens soon. These companies and their profits cannot become political weapons. 2. The current $FNMA and $FMCC valuations are absurd. The stocks are trading roughly where they were when the companies had essentially no capital and no retained earnings. 3. A practical pseudo guarantee can be locked in by converting the SPS into a paid backstop/LOC with a modest commitment fee. Couple that with the already fortress balance sheets and spreads will only get tighter. 4. Bill's simple plan remains the cleanest path: proper accounting for the amounts already repaid to Treasury + NYSE relisting. And critically, even if the midterms don’t break the administration’s way, this can still be executed entirely through executive action. High 40s to $50 remains the base case on a straightforward process. Most asymmetric setup in the market. Appreciate Bill's continued advocacy.
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Lumi Casanova retweeted
Replying to @BillAckman
@BillAckman on CNBC this morning, full transcript: (part 1) Host: Speaking of disappointment in the short term, Fannie and Freddie have been a drag, and I know you’ve had high hopes that the Trump administration is going to finally make a move here to privatize. It’s taken longer than expected. I did get some comments from Secretary Bessent in a podcast this week saying, I think he said ’27 or ’28. They still want to go forward. “I would imagine next year or the year after we will be tackling the ownership structure.” Do you still have high conviction that this is going to happen? Are you still bullish? Bill Ackman: Yes, very bullish. And actually, to point out, our relative underperformance this year in large part is driven by Fannie and Freddie. These are stocks that went from $3 to $15 or so last year and went from $15 to $3 this year. You know, they became fairly sizable positions. We own well north of 200 million shares combined of the companies. So this was a very big sort of headwind for us. Now, why did we hold it when the stock was up 5x? Because we again believe our view of what’s going to happen here. Look, actually, what’s not talked about: it’s actually absolutely politically critical for Fannie and Freddie to be released from conservatorship before the end of the Trump administration. Why is that the case? Because this is an enormously cash-flow-generative asset that in the hands, for example, of a Democratic administration could be used in a manner that is politically very threatening to the Republican Party—the control of who gets access to mortgages. There were issues during the Biden administration where there were mortgages being granted to people on favorable terms because of skin color and other such initiatives. It’s a tool that can be used in a very political manner. So, having met with the administration about this topic, I think they view it as absolutely mission critical that they’re both released from conservatorship. We’ve put forth a very straightforward plan that will get it done more efficiently. Actually, it’s really important that the stock is in the hands of institutional investors and is privatized to protect this from becoming a politically controlled asset. That is well understood at the highest levels of the Trump administration. I think the administration toyed with some other alternative approaches to taking these companies public. There was an initiative, I understand, where Fannie and Freddie would be combined under a new holding company—I don’t know if you saw the tweet from the president about something called the Great American Mortgage Company—where Fannie and Freddie would stay in conservatorship and there would be this new holding company put on top. You know, it is not a viable structure. The simplest outcome here that creates the most value for the American taxpayer is just simply accounting for the $300 billion of payments that have been made by Fannie and Freddie to the Treasury, fully repaying the $191 billion that was advanced during the financial crisis, and then an uplisting to a major exchange like the New York Stock Exchange. And the president rings the bell, announces a major hundreds of billions of value creation for the American people, and then he tasks the Treasury Secretary and Director Pulte with resolving the conservatorship, which is a process of finalizing the capital rules.
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Lumi Casanova retweeted
$FNMA $FMCC Fannie and Freddie shareholders are on the lips of @SecScottBessent once again. Lloyd in New York: "Thanks so much for hosting and having the secretary on the program. I think it's fantastic. As you guys had mentioned, one of the issues confronting all Americans, young, old, Democrats, Republicans, is housing and affordability. Critical, critical issue. On the campaign trail and over the course of the last eight years, if not 10 years, the president's referenced on many occasions the critical role that Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac play within the economy and the mortgage market and has acknowledged their success. Yet for 18 years, they remain in conservatorship and for over 14 years, they've been subject to the net worth sweep that was implemented by the Obama administration and deemed illegal by the decision in the Fairholme case. The taxpayers would benefit, the shareholders would benefit, the economy writ large would benefit from an exit from conservatorship. And I'm wondering if there is a plan to address this issue and take the shareholders out of purgatory and benefit all people within the economy in the process." Host: "Lloyd, thank you. Mr. Secretary, this is such a complicated one because the status quo ain't great but change is difficult with Congress and some of the debt and other issues. So how do you all see that these issues?" Treasury Secretary Bessent: "Yeah, and and look, our North Star on this will be, and it's unclear why homeowners or mortgage holders would benefit [from] a change in the arrangement of the shareholder structure. So whatever we do is going to be guided by making sure that the spread on mortgages, on agency mortgages over the Treasury does not increase. So that that's our North Star and you know, I would imagine that next year, [or] the year after, we we will be tackling the ownership structure."
$FNMA $FMCC God bless "Lloyd from New York" for pressing @SecScottBessent so directly this A.M. on the Fannie Mae & Freddie Mac saga & advocating for shareholders. Lloyd, you're a legend! Take some notes, legacy media. Bessent & the administration are still focused on keeping mortgage spreads in check, so the holding pattern continues. Not exactly the answer we wanted to hear from Scotty B. But the housing situation is fluid and nuanced. IMHO, F2 remains to be a focal point for DJT as the groundwork continues to be laid for our path forward & eventual release. Ever bullish. GLTA. Link attached. youtube.com/live/a3tbSNWI__Q…
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I believe now more than ever that similarities do indeed exist between Anthropic and Theranos! We will find out when it’s too late. $80 bn loss is an indication of something much worse being hidden in my humble opinion.
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$FNMA $FMCC The longer this day has gone on, the more encouraged I am by this exchange between the legendary @SolomonPageGrp (Lloyd Solomon - give this hero and fellow shareholder a follow!!!) & @SecScottBessent. I don’t recall another time when the Secretary has publicly fielded a direct question with so much intentional advocacy for long suffering Fannie Mae & Freddie Mac shareholders. I can’t imagine a scenario where (even though it was a live feed) Scotty B didn’t know what questions were coming. There’s too much risk not to take those precautionary measures. If that’s the case, Lloyd was permitted to frame a question highlighting these key points: 1. The housing crisis. 2. The pivotal role F2 plays in the US housing market & overall economy. 3. The excessive length of the conservatorship. 4. The theft of the net worth sweeps. 5. The Fairholme case. 6. How well F2 has been rehabilitated along with Trump‘s repeated acknowledgment of that. He then brought it all home by expressing his belief that a release from conservatorship would benefit the country as a whole and pressed Bessent on the progress of a plan to get us out of “purgatory”. I know...Bessent deflected. We didn’t get the desired response of an immediate SPSPA write off & uplist tomorrow. And I believe he’s naturally going to sandbag on the timeline...especially after the administration couldn’t follow through on the expectations they created last year. But we did get the blessing of an advocate painting a very vivid picture of the shareholder plight to the Secretary of the Treasury to his face in front of the world and challenging him on releasing us. That's pure gold, Lloyd! Well done, Sir! If only legacy media would be so bold. GLTA
$FNMA $FMCC God bless "Lloyd from New York" for pressing @SecScottBessent so directly this A.M. on the Fannie Mae & Freddie Mac saga & advocating for shareholders. Lloyd, you're a legend! Take some notes, legacy media. Bessent & the administration are still focused on keeping mortgage spreads in check, so the holding pattern continues. Not exactly the answer we wanted to hear from Scotty B. But the housing situation is fluid and nuanced. IMHO, F2 remains to be a focal point for DJT as the groundwork continues to be laid for our path forward & eventual release. Ever bullish. GLTA. Link attached. youtube.com/live/a3tbSNWI__Q…
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