I've been asked about early voting analysis.
The dilemma I have is that my platform is big enough such that being too blunt can have an effect on morale. I'll push out new states and tools out to my website soon, but won't announce them here on 𝕏.
I will be giving @realJeremyCarl my predictions a week in advance so he can hold me accountable after Election Day.
You MUST turn out and bring their friends, and brace yourself on election night. Even TX is going to be a fight.
Arthur Dent retweeted
Guy who has complained about George Soros for years has given 4x more than George Soros ever gave in a single cycle, the largest amount spent on a single election by an individual in history
Arthur Dent retweeted
Ukrainian Starshield terminals still don't work properly, multiple sources tell me. This is despite an apparent order from President Trump to Elon Musk to restore full functionality to Ukrainian Starshield terminals.
Arthur Dent retweeted
We need an Iain M. Banks conference on the changing politics of tech Utopianism & AI optimism.
Banks was a socialist who believed in what some call "fully automated space communism". His famous Culture series depicts a society that functions as a post-scarcity, anarcho-communist utopia.
But his concepts have now been exploited by Musk & other techno-capitalists, and they use his name to justify the kleptocratic and oppressive surveillance systems of tech accelerationism.
We need to map how this happened and ask whether left wing tech Utopianism is now so easily appropriated and subverted that it should be taken off the table.
This kind of behaviour only makes sense if you intend for your Party will rule permanently.
"Top officials in the State Department made clear that only candidates who voted for President Donald Trump would be eligible for the mid-to-upper level foreign service roles. They also told candidates that their campaign donation history would be examined and any donation to Democrats would be disqualifying."
Trump: We were in the midst of negotiating and a lot of stupid people said why aren’t you putting Russian sanctions—
Collins: But you said you didn’t give anything for his release
Trump: If I didn’t do that, you wouldn’t have him coming back.
Collins: So you did give something.
Trump: You don’t know anything. You’re fake news CNN.
Collins: You’re saying you lifted the sanctions in exchange for his release?
Trump: You don’t know what you’re talking about. You’re a low IQ person. You’re a dummy.
Arthur Dent retweeted
BREAKING WSJ:
Elon Musk ordered the slowdown of the military-grade version of Starlink that Ukraine relied on.
wsj.com/world/ukraine-starli…
Arthur Dent retweeted
What is scandalous is that the Secretary of State still cannot explain what happened to the throttling of Starlink for Ukraine. By now, shouldn't he be able to explain precisely what happened if it was an innocent technical issue? This vague answer does not instill confidence.
🇺🇸🇺🇦 Marco Rubio:
I saw somebody associated with the Ukrainian government say that people in Ukraine are dying because the U.S. is denying them information.
That's scandalous. That's outrageous. That's simply not true. That's not accurate.
Trump is responding to the insinuation that somehow he is doing things to deliberately harm Ukraine, which is not fair and not true.
Arthur Dent retweeted
A russian missile killed an entire Ukrainian family of ten — parents Olena and Artem Voronov and their eight children.
Today, five of the children were laid to rest in Radushne, Ukraine. Their parents and three siblings had been buried earlier.
May they all rest in peace.
With deft, bold gestures, he applied the Vegemite in a manner that would make any modernist action painter proud
This me except for R not STATA.
OTOH, I’m very glad I no longer need to hack R code — days of coding can be magicked up in minutes. I love what can be done with R, but the coding and debugging did not uplift the spirit.
Writing good STATA code was very important for my academic career. It looks like that skill is largely becoming obsolete. (Also take this is as a notice to academics who still think of AI in terms of chatbots, not agents, that a lot has changed in a year) cepr.org/voxeu/columns/letti…
A common concern is that we lose the incidental insights gathered along the way by doing mundane work. There’s truth in this, but can be easily rectified by taking a pro-active and involved approach with your agents.

































