Arthur Meng (@ArthurCMeng) profile picture

Building @HemeraProtocol | cooking @analystailab | dr @stanford | published @nature prior to GPT era

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Joined March 2020
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Arthur Meng retweeted
Can you hand your everyday jobs to @claudeai Fable 5.2? You still need to check. Even Claude Fable 5.2 @claudeai got 7 of 17 cases wrong. That includes its own date over your emails' date, a client update you never offered, and a bus and train you'd miss.#AI
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Arthur Meng retweeted
Grok Bot @bot beats Muse for personal matters. We put both through 4 reviews, 450 everyday tasks each. Grok Bot was ahead in all 4, and on trust (96% vs 69%), getting to the point (97% vs 72%), correctness (89% vs 86%) and second tries (90% vs 88%).
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Arthur Meng retweeted
We’re testing personal agents on real-life tasks—research, email, travel, personal finance and more—to find out which one you can actually count on. Dots (@ChatGPT), Grok (@grok), Muse (@Meta) and Instinct (@noahrshinn). One made serious errors in both travel and finance: an impossible train connection, then deposit insurance limits from “general knowledge”—no source, no date.👀 Which one was it? Drop your guess below 👇 We’ll reveal it in our next review. #AIAgents
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Arthur Meng retweeted
This is the future we shall bring into being
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Arthur Meng retweeted
We were working on the keynote today with @romainhuet and @sama and most of the fun was trying to figure out how to explain it all to you because there is so much good stuff in there that it's a bit ridiculous all in quick succession. We'll have some things next week already to not keep you waiting so long, but very excited to show you all new things we've been working on and how it will all come together in the coming months.
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RT @AiRollupai: AI BREAKING 🚨 Anthropic researcher Jacob Coxon has resigned, warning that the race toward superintelligence could become d…
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Arthur Meng retweeted
I resigned from Anthropic today. I spent the last three years doing pretraining research at both OpenAI and Anthropic. Neither company is acting responsibly. They are racing straight to self-improving superintelligence and gambling with our lives. More thoughts below.
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Arthur Meng retweeted
In prediction markets, most people still act on instinct. When news and sentiment take over, noise starts to look like signal. Pythra Forge is built for this exact problem. It connects probability moves, breaking news, social context, and related markets, then turns a market thesis into structured strategy logic you can test. Describe the idea in your own words. Forge helps turn it into entry and exit conditions, risk guardrails, backtest assumptions, and paper-mode testing on live market data. Less narrative chasing. More testable decision-making. 👉 Try Pythra: chat.pythra.ai/predic 👏DM me for trial access and the discussion group invite.#PredictionMarkets #FIFAWorldCup
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Arthur Meng retweeted
Ronaldo’s emotion hits different now. 🥹⚽ Messi is still in the same debate. One more World Cup. One more legacy fight. 🐐⚔️🐐 Fans feel it. Forge tests it: minutes, form, pressure, odds. 📊 Emotion is the story. Forge finds the signal. #Ronaldo #Messi #WorldCup #FIFA
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Arthur Meng retweeted
It happened again. 🟥 Another red card for covering the mouth. What looked like a one-off is becoming a pattern. Forge makes patterns, rules and consequences clearer — transparent, testable and visible in real time. Nothing stays hidden for long. #WorldCup #FIFA #redcard
A red card for covering your mouth. 🟥 Not a tackle. Not a foul. A rule boundary tested in real time. 🤐 Most people saw the card. The market saw a new constraint: hidden behavior now carries a cost. 📊 When constraints change, probabilities move first. #WorldCup #FIFA #redcard
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Arthur Meng retweeted
One last battle is where fans confuse legacy with signal. ⚔️ The market is not asking who had the greatest career. ❌ It is asking what still holds today: 🧠 -age -role -minutes -recovery -pressure -belief The legend is the headline. 🏆 The setup is where the read begins. 📊 #WorldCup #Football #Portugal
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Arthur Meng retweeted
Golden Boot is where fans confuse fame with opportunity. ⚽️ The market is not asking who the best striker is. ❌ It is asking who gets the cleanest path: 🧠 -minutes -penalties -weak groups -deep run -shot volume 🎯 The winner is often the player with the easiest road, not the loudest name. #WorldCup #Mbappe #PredictionMarkets
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Arthur Meng retweeted
Every World Cup match starts before kickoff. ⚽️ Not on the pitch, but in the market. 📊 A lineup leak. A tactical mismatch. A late injury. A favorite priced like the story is written. France vs Senegal is not a probability chart. It is a question: what would make the market rethink? 🤔 #FIFA #WorldCup2026 #PredictionMarkets
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Arthur Meng retweeted
Pythra is an AI research and strategy copilot for prediction markets. It turns market questions into research and production-grade trading strategies. We're moving our AI agent and trading strategy work into @PythraAI. 🔍Search is live. 🔨Forge is next. #PredictionMarkets
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Arthur Meng retweeted
Introducing Pythra: an AI research and strategy copilot for prediction markets. Start with a market question. Understand what changed. Pressure-test the view. Then turn it into a strategy before the edge disappears. #PredictionMarkets
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Arthur Meng retweeted
You know that feeling before a World Cup match? ⚽ You already have the read: USA at home feels different 🇺🇸. Brazil should control the ball 🇧🇷. Argentina only needs one goal 🇦🇷. Then the market moves, and the question gets harder: Is this a real edge, or just your team talking? 🤔 #FIFAWorldCup #WorldCup #PredictionMarkets
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Verifying smart contracts is one of the most mundane but crucial task. To make it easy, Monskills now allows verifying smart contracts on all Monad explorers in a single prompt! Update your Monskills!
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Arthur Meng retweeted
JUST IN: McDonald's surpasses ETH in total market cap.
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Just shipped a small but powerful feature: We now tag tokens with "NEW" when they first appear in the Smart Buy treemap 👀 Perfect for spotting early inflows from profitable wallets — before the crowd catches on. Alpha comes early. Stay sharp
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Bought low, sold high 📈 Hope you followed @NyxAIAgent—$DARK alert hit hard today 🔥 t.me/nyxagentbot
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