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Joined May 2026
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Who will be the next Latin American country to elect a woman president by 2030? 🌎
Preseen gives Venezuela 30.6%, Nicaragua 23.6%, and Guatemala 20%.
👉 Full forecast: preseen.com/q/_Mi7fOtIyb6Gy1…
Forecast Peek 👀
How many new countries will join the EU by the end of 2035?
Preseen’s central forecast is 3. There’s an 84% chance of at least one accession, but a 16% chance of none.
1/6
Beyond the front-runners, the odds fall quickly: North Macedonia 22%, the UK 21%, Serbia 14%, Bosnia and Herzegovina 10%, Iceland 10%.
Georgia and Türkiye would need much bigger political reversals.
5/6
Why does the forecast land at 3? Enlargement tends to happen in waves, and the candidates share political risks.
Watch Montenegro’s treaty, French politics and ratification, and whether Moldova and Ukraine can keep moving.
👉 Full forecast: preseen.com/q/Nsna8cFx24R8bs…
6/6
🇨🇳 How much will China’s military spending grow by 2030?
Preseen forecasts a 23% increase in real terms between 2026 and 2030, with an 80% range of +7.5% to +39.2%.
After 31 consecutive years of increases, the question is less whether spending will grow and more how fast.
👉 Full forecast: preseen.com/q/HQGsCgXDHmh8uz…
Preseen is now available on @Idealab.ai to put forecasts in the hands of founders deciding what business to start.
Idealab.ai makes more than 1.2 million business ideas freely searchable, drawing on @Bill_Gross's 50-year entrepreneurial experience.
Through a Preseen report, users can request forecasts on developments that matter to a business they're considering.
Each forecast includes evidence and reasoning, so founders can examine assumptions and decide what to investigate before committing further work.
Preseen's bots won @metaculus Fall 2025 FutureEval and Q2 2026 Market Pulse, and placed third overall in the Spring 2026 Metaculus Cup as the highest-ranked bot.
What business ideas have you been thinking about? Use Preseen on idealab.ai to investigate the timing.
Forecast Peek 👀
How many cities with 5M+ residents will face 90 consecutive days of mandatory water rationing between 2027 and 2040?
Preseen’s median forecast: 22 cities, with an 80% range of 10–39.
1/5
South Asia leads the forecast with 8.2 expected cities, followed by Africa (5.8) and Latin America and the Caribbean (2.3).
4/5
Climate change, population growth and water demand push the count up. Better infrastructure and water management could keep it lower.
The model gives a 10% chance of 40 or more cities.
👉 Full forecast: preseen.com/q/_5yVdZ1dqYb7aj…
5/5
Forecast Peek 👀
Are aliens visiting Earth? 👽
Preseen gives just a 1.6% chance that any UFO sighting will be confirmed as intelligent extraterrestrial visitation by 2100.
1/4
The most likely path to YES isn't another blurry UFO video. It's discovering a probe or other extraterrestrial technology already near Earth and proving where it came from.
3/4
Better telescopes and detection tools could help, but finding something unusual isn't proof of aliens.
👉 Full forecast: preseen.com/q/w5t36n7-5RAGZk…
4/4
