#wisfb Playoff projections, odds, analysis, and more. wihssfan on BadgerStateBoards message board https://xitter.cf/t.co/AuU29cdL2Q
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Welcome to Badger Bracketology! Home of #wisfb playoff projections, odds, analysis and much more. You may have seen me on BadgerStateBoards message board under wihssfan. This will provide even more detailed analysis, of every team and every conference in the state. More to come!
Longest and shortest Level 2 road trips #wisfb
Longest:
1. Mayville @ Grantsburg 312 miles (5:06)
2. Brookfield Central @ River Falls 301 miles (4:25)
3. Watertown Luther Pre @ St. Croix Falls 298 miles (4:35)
4. Waukesha West @ New Richmond 295 miles (4:23)
5. Hudson @ Verona 244 miles (3:46)
6. Brillion @ Durand-Arkansas 215 miles (3:41)
7. Potosi/Cassville @ Mondovi 177 miles (3:18)
8. Spring Valley @ River Ridge 177 miles (3:18)
9. Pepin/Alma @ Iowa-Grant 166 miles (3:09)
10. Belleville @ Bonduel 164 miles (2:43)
Shortest:
1. Catholic Memorial @ New Berlin West 4.3 miles
2. Oconomowoc @ Arrowhead 9.3 miles
3. Franklin @ Muskego 10 miles
4. Kenosha Indian Trail @ Racine Case 11 miles
5. Fall Creek @ Regis 11 miles
6. Crivitz @ Coleman 12 miles
7. Wisconsin Lutheran @ Whitefish Bay 12 miles
8. Aquinas @ West Salem 13 miles
9. Marquette @ Sussex Hamilton 18 miles
10. Saint Francis @ Racine St. Catherine's 20 miles
The longest and shortest Level 1 road trips #wisfb
Longest:
1. Random Lake/Ozaukee @ St. Croix Falls 322 miles (5:13)
2. Oostburg @ Durand-Arkansaw 270 miles (4:18)
3. Amery @ Mayville 269 miles (4:21)
4. DeForest @ New Richmond 232 miles (3:26)
5. Lancaster @ Bonduel 223 miles (3:40)
6. Baldwin-Woodville @ Mt. Horeb/Barneveld 220 miles (3:23)
7. Bloomer @ New Glarus 213 miles (3:25)
8. Arcadia @ Watertown Luther Prep 199 miles (3:04)
9. Waukesha West @ La Crosse Central 196 miles (2:54)
10. Onalaska @ Plymouth 196 miles (3:06)
Shortest:
1. Milwaukee Pulaski @ Milwaukee Reagan 2.8 miles
2. Benton/SM/Shullsburg @ Cuba City 5.5 miles
3. Whitnall @ New Berlin West 8.1 miles
4. University School of Milwaukee @ Milwaukee North 10 miles
5. Milwaukee Hamilton @ Muskego 11 miles
6. Slinger @ West Bend West 11 miles
7. Milwaukee Lutheran @ New Berlin Eisenhower 13 miles
8. Brookfield Academy @ Lake Country Lutheran 13 miles
9. Wauwatosa East @ Waukesha South 16 miles
10. Pius XI Catholic @ Pewaukee 17 miles
How I did for Level 1 picks #wisfb
D1: 14/16 - Went with Chippewa Falls over Hudson. Was a 3 point game in week 9. Also went with SPASH over A North. Looks like SPASH without Breitbach really hurt them
D2: 14/16 - Picked LAX Central over Waukesha West. MVC struggling in D2 is starting to become a theme. But, the league thrives in D3.
Also picked Slinger over WBW, which in hindsight, just a bad pick. WBW has been on a mission. First ever playoff win for them, and it happens to come in their final year before merging with East.
D3: 15/16 - Went with Onalaska over Plymouth. Actually had Onalaska going to Level 3. Plymouth and the entire glacier trails looks great.
D4: 14/16 - Had Platteville over Evansville. The SWC went 0-4 and had a very down year, which is not typical for that conference. Then again, Platteville would be much better suited in D5 as they play D5/D6 teams in conference play.
Had Shoreland Lutheran over Saint Francis. SL won the first matchup this year, SF got revenge. Great season for the mariners.
D5: 16/16✅
D6: 13/16 - Picked Mineral Point over Potosi/Cassville. Great win for the Chieftans after getting bumped up to D6.
Had Wey-Fremont over Randolph/C-F. The CWC wasn't as strong as usual it seems outside of Amherst and Stratford.
Had St Mary's Springs over Belleville. Belleville came from behind in that one. Great win over a historic program.
D7: 14/16 - Picked Webster over Melrose-Mindoro. Didn't trust anyone outside of the top 2 in the Dairyland. Was proven wrong.
Picked Shiocton over Osseo-Fairchild. I doubt many picked this upset. Probably the only true shocker of the weekend. At least I only had Shiocton going to level 2.
Total: 100/112 89.3% Only 1 level 3 pick eliminated.
Badger Bracketology retweeted
You reveal yourself to be quite the asshole if you look at the Level 1 scores and cherry-pick one conference's results when it was blowout city almost everywhere. #wisfb
I rarely ever comment on officials since I recognize it is a very difficult job, especially in the current landscape of high school and youth sports, but what the heck is this? Have none of the officials, coaches, AD, etc. seen an OT game in high school or college in the last 15 years? Did everyone just want to see the end of the Brewers game that badly?
It's been 15(!) years since the NFHS adapted the 25 yard line as the starting position in OT. Yet it goes to the 10 yard line in OT here, and somehow a 3 minute game clock????
#wisfb
Forgot to tweet it out before the games tonight, but my title picks for each division:
D1: Bay Port
D2: Notre Dame
D3: Catholic Memorial
D4: Freedom
D5: Darlington
D6: Mondovi
D7: Coleman
#wisfb
With the 11-player playoffs kicking off tomorrow night, let's take a look at how things stand for the Tournament Performance Factor. #wisfb
As a reminder, if a team receives a total of 6 points over the 3 previous seasons, then they are to be moved up a division in the following year. Teams can continue to get moved up, if they continue to perform well in an elevated division (Stratford is the main example, as they are a D6 enrollment team, but now have played their way up to D4.)
Here's how you receive points:
State championship = 4 points
State runner-up = 3 points
Level 4/state semi-finals = 2 points
Level 3/sectional finals = 1 point
Here are the teams that are elevated for the 2026 season:
* = enrollment already D1
Bay Port* D1
Muskego* D1
Waunakee* D1
Badger D1 - elevated from D2
West De Pere D1 - elevated from D2
Notre Dame D2 - elevated from D3
Grafton D2 - elevated from D3
Rice Lake D2 - elevated from D3
Catholic Memorial D3 - would've been elevated from D4, but enrollment already puts them in D3
Baldwin-Woodville D3 - elevated from D4
Winneconne D3 - elevated from D4
Wrightstown D4 - Would've been elevated from D5, but enrollment already puts them in D4
Northwestern D4 - elevated from D5
Aquinas D4 - elevated from D5
Stratford D4 - double elevated from D6
Grantsburg D5 - elevated from D6
Darlington D5 - elevated from D6
Kenosha St. Joe's D6 - elevated from D7
Edgar D6 - elevated from D7
Potosi/Cassville D6 - elevated from D7
Here is how results from this postseason can affect each of those teams for the 2027 season:
Waunakee (2 seed) - Needs to reach Level 4 to for sure stay in D1, though their enrollment likely keeps them in D1 either way.
Badger - They needed to reach the state title game to stay D1, but did not make the playoffs, so they will go back to D2, unless their enrollment were to be high enough for D1.
West De Pere (1 seed) - They will stay D1 no matter what
Notre Dame (1 seed) - A state title game appearance moves them to D1. Anything short of that keeps them in D2. They cannot drop back to D3.
Grafton (6 seed) - They need to reach at least Level 3 to stay in D2. Otherwise, they will go back to D3.
Rice Lake - They did not make the playoffs and will go back to D3.
Catholic Memorial (5 seed) - They need to reach at least Level 3 to go to D2. Otherwise, they could drop back to D4, but their enrollment could keep them in D3 either way.
Baldwin-Woodville (5 seed) - They need to reach Level 3 to stay in D3. Otherwise they drop back to D4.
Winneconne (2 seed) - They will stay in D3 no matter what.
Wrightstown (6 seed) - They need to reach the state title game to for sure stay in D4. Otherwise, they could drop to D5, but their enrollment may keep them in D4.
Northwestern (2 seed) - They need to reach Level 3 to stay in D4. Otherwise, they'll drop back to D5.
Aquinas (3 seed) - They need to reach the state title game to go to D3. Otherwise, they'll go back to D5. They will not be in D4 again next year. It'll either be D3 or D5.
Stratford (2 seed) - They will stay in D4 no matter what.
Grantsburg (2 seed) - They need to reach Level 4 to stay in D5. Otherwise, they go back to D6.
Darlington (1 seed) - They need to reach Level 4 to stay in D5. Otherwise, they go back to D6.
Kenosha St. Joseph (2 seed) - They will stay in D6 no matter what.
Edgar (1 seed) - They need to reach the state title game to go up to D5. Otherwise, they stay in D6. They cannot drop back to D7.
Potosi/Cassville (5 seed) - They need to reach Level 3 to stay in D6. Otherwise they go back to D7.
Now for teams that are not currently elevated, but could be next year depending on their finish:
Homestead (D2 2 seed) - They need to reach the state title game to go to D1.
River Falls (D2 6 seed) - They need to win state to go to D1.
Slinger (D2 6 seed) - They need to reach Level 4 to go to D1.
La Crosse Logan (D3 1 seed) - They need to win state to go to D2.
Mt. Horeb/Barneveld (D3 4 seed) - They need to win state to go to D2.
Reedsburg (D3 2 seed) - They need to reach the state title game to go to D2.
Whitefish Bay (D3 2 seed) - They need to win state to go to D2.
Wisconsin Lutheran (D3 3 seed) - They need to win state to go to D2.
Freedom (D4 1 seed) - They need to win state to go to D3.
Little Chute (D4 1 seed) - They need to reach the state title game to go to D3.
Racine St. Catherine's (D4 1 seed) - They need to reach Level 3 to go to D3.
Columbus (D5 8 seed) - They need to reach the state title game to go to D4.
Lake Country Lutheran (D5 3 seed) - They need to reach the state title game to go to D4.
Mayville (D5 3 seed) - They need to reach Level 3 to go to D4.
Belleville (D6 4 seed) - They need to reach the state title game to go to D5.
Bonduel (D6 1 seed) - They need to reach the state title game to go to D5.
Cedar Grove-Belgium (D6 3 seed) - They need to win state to go to D5.
Lomira (D6 2 seed) - They need to reach Level 4 to go to D5.
Manitowoc Lutheran (D6 1 seed) - They need to win state to go to D5)
Mondovi (D6 1 seed) - They need to win state to go to D5.
Prairie du Chien (D6 8 seed) - They need to win state to go to D5.
Regis (D6 3 seed) - They need to win state to go to D5.
Boyceville (D7 3 seed) - They need to reach the state title game to go to D6.
Cochrane-Fountain City (D7 1 seed) - They need to reach the state title game to go to D6.
Coleman (D7 1 seed) - They need to win state to go to D6.
Lourdes Academy (D7 2 seed) - They need to reach the state title game to go to D6.
How would the 2026 #wisfb playoff field look under old qualification rules (Pre 2025)?
badgerstatesports.boards.net…
I have a full breakdown over on BadgerStateBoards, link attached, including an attempt to sort out the groupings/sectionals in all 7 divisions of what it could have looked like. In short, there would've been 16 different teams in the playoff field.
The 16 teams who did NOT make it under the current rules, but would have under the old rules are:
Eau Claire North (D1)
Fond du Lac (D1)
Janesville Craig (D1)
Madison La Follette (D1)
Oak Creek (D1)
Menomonie (D2)
Altoona (D4)
St. Croix Central (D4)
Oconto Falls (D4)
Waupun (D4)
Gale-Ettrick-Trempealeau (D5)
Obama SCTE (D5)
Northland Pines (D5)
Auburndale (D6)
Oconto (D6)
Markesan (D6)
The 16 teams who did make it this year, but would NOT have under old rules:
Menomonee Falls (D2) 5 seed
Burlington (D2) 7 seed
Brookfield Central (D2) 7 seed
South Milwaukee (D3) 8 seed
Kettle Moraine Lutheran (D3) 6 seed
Catholic Memorial (D3) 5 seed
Waukesha North (D3) 8 seed
Denmark (D4) 8 seed
Columbus (D5) 8 seed
Wittenberg-Birnamwood (D5) 7 seed
Spencer/Columbus Catholic (D5) 7 seed
Brookwood (D7) 8 seed
Pecatonica/Argyle (D7) 7 seed
Elmwood/Plum City (D7) 7 seed
Osseo-Fairchild (D7) 7 seed
Waterloo (D7) 8 seed
There also would've been a number of teams to be in a different division:
Chippewa Falls D2 (D1)
Wausau West D2 (D1)
Sun Prairie East D2 (D1)
Milwaukee Reagan D2 (D1)
Janesville Parker D2 (D1)
La Crosse Central D3 (D2)
Wausau East D3 (D2)
Menasha D3 (D2)
Delavan-Darien D3 (D4)
Ripon D5 (D4)
Campbellsport D5 (D4)
Durand-Arkansaw D6 (D5)
Brillion D6 (D5)
Regis D7 (D6)
Randolph/Cambria-Friesland D7 (D6)
Fall River/Rio D7 (D6)
Cuba City D7 (D6)
Mineral Point D7 (D6)
Badger Bracketology retweeted
🏈FRCC North Division Football🏈
🏅All-Conference Teams Selected
🏈Offensive POY: Andrew Greisen - West De Pere
🏈Co-Defensive POY: Cayden Cavanaugh - De Pere and Braylon Stegall - West De Pere
🏈Coach of the Year: Keegan Wirtz - West De Pere
🔗 frccathletics.com/sports/foo…
The longest and shortest Level 1 road trips #wisfb
Longest:
1. Random Lake/Ozaukee @ St. Croix Falls 322 miles (5:13)
2. Oostburg @ Durand-Arkansaw 270 miles (4:18)
3. Amery @ Mayville 269 miles (4:21)
4. DeForest @ New Richmond 232 miles (3:26)
5. Lancaster @ Bonduel 223 miles (3:40)
6. Baldwin-Woodville @ Mt. Horeb/Barneveld 220 miles (3:23)
7. Bloomer @ New Glarus 213 miles (3:25)
8. Arcadia @ Watertown Luther Prep 199 miles (3:04)
9. Waukesha West @ La Crosse Central 196 miles (2:54)
10. Onalaska @ Plymouth 196 miles (3:06)
Shortest:
1. Milwaukee Pulaski @ Milwaukee Reagan 2.8 miles
2. Benton/SM/Shullsburg @ Cuba City 5.5 miles
3. Whitnall @ New Berlin West 8.1 miles
4. University School of Milwaukee @ Milwaukee North 10 miles
5. Milwaukee Hamilton @ Muskego 11 miles
6. Slinger @ West Bend West 11 miles
7. Milwaukee Lutheran @ New Berlin Eisenhower 13 miles
8. Brookfield Academy @ Lake Country Lutheran 13 miles
9. Wauwatosa East @ Waukesha South 16 miles
10. Pius XI Catholic @ Pewaukee 17 miles
Badger Bracketology retweeted
WIAA Conferences with Multiple 1 seeds in Football:
FRCC-North: West De Pere, Bay Port (Notre Dame is a 1 seed from the FRCC-South as well)
Parkland: Pewaukee, NB West
NEC: Little Chute, Freedom
SWAL: Darlington, New Glarus
Shoutout NE Wisconsin HS football
@TravisBOUND
Ended up with 223/224 teams correct in the field (I had Colby instead of LWL).
217 teams correctly seeded (Colby/LWL, Reagan/KIT, MAS/Amery, SF/Fuller)
90/112 first round matchups correct (80%)
#wisfb
So a little worse than last year. Would really be nice to get my hands on the official mileage charts lol.
All the seeding/teams in the field discrepancies except for Reagan/KIT comes down to how the Catholic Central/Kenosha Christian Life Co-op games were treated.
Quick look at things, I believe I got 223/224? Only miss was having Colby instead of LWL. Definitely some forfeit/replacement game discrepancies.
And maybe a few seeds off? Reagan/Indian Trail is one I know of.
Handful of matchups flipped. #wisfb
Finally got a chance to take a peak of where I got it wrong regarding Living Word Lutheran/Colby.
#wisfb
It comes down to the newly formed Catholic Central/Kenosha Christian Life Co-op. This co-op is part of the Midwest Classic (same conference as LWL). The co-op was formed outside of normal timing for creating one, so how points against them were to be counted had to be figured out.
All throughout the season on LaVoy's site and on the WIAA's mid season official standings, all games against CC/KCL were automatically given a forfeit win for the opponent, for playoff purposes. This was technically a win against a ghost Catholic Central team, which is D7.
So, Catholic Central was treated as a winless team, and that's how I was treating that as well.
Somehow, the WIAA, decided to change this interpretation on the final night of the season.
Wins over CC/KCL were now treated as a D6 win, and as a win over a team with a 1-7 record. While it may not seem like much, that is the difference between Living Word Lutheran being in, compared to Colby being in.
And why a 1-7 record? CC/KCL went 2-7 on the field and it appears their win over Johnson Creek (or even the game itself) does not exist. If that game would've been accounted for, then every team who played CC/KCL, their PQS score would be slightly higher, which could change seeds, brackets, etc.
This is also the reason why Racine Lutheran got the number 1 overall seed over Darlington. I had Darlington over RaLu #wisfb
Haven't seen this float around yet. Please be sure to fill out this form for all complaints about why the WIAA and the entire state hates your favorite team #wisfb
