It makes me feel so good to hit "sleazebags" back -- much better than seeing a psychiatrist (which I never have!)

Coastal Arizona
Joined August 2009
The world isn’t ready for the fact that Mark Carney is about to lead the Libs to a snap election victory.
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Kansas Hates Roger Marshall
🚨 @JuddLegum finds Roger Marshall purchased stock in an obscure pharmaceutical company DAYS before its drug received FDA approval for testing!!!! Marshall currently has oversight over the FDA in the Senate! What else is he hiding?
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KJ 🐵 retweeted
🚨 @JuddLegum finds Roger Marshall purchased stock in an obscure pharmaceutical company DAYS before its drug received FDA approval for testing!!!! Marshall currently has oversight over the FDA in the Senate! What else is he hiding?
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It just keeps getting worse. Gotta wonder whether those reinforcements are ever getting off the couch.
Low propensity Republicans are completely missing from the Nevada (Clark) electorate. Is the Red Army going to invade on Election Day?
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This seems like it had to be happening. Thanks to doc for quantifying.
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The problem for Republicans has worsened as early voting continues. Older, high-propensity Republicans are finally turning out this week. But younger Republicans remain largely absent, and the shift gap (where 18-44 voters shift more toward Dems than 45+ voters) keeps widening.
Polls showed weak GOP support among young voters and dismal Trump approval. But few expected turnout to collapse among Republicans 44 and younger, not just those under 30. Young Democrats are turning out at a pretty solid midterm pace; young Republicans are barely showing up.
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If you believe the NYT version of the universe where Hinajosa is running 3 behind Talarico, it is pretty difficult to see why Texas is not a tossup for Governor.
CRYSTAL BALL: With a week left, 5 statewide rating changes: #FLSen: Safe R -> Likely R #NCSen: Leans D -> Likely D #SCSen: Likely R -> Leans R #AZGov: Leans D -> Likely D #VTGov: Likely R -> Leans R Plus 16 changes in the House. From @kkondik and me: centerforpolitics.org/crysta…
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Real
POLL INCOMING: @azhighground poll of record shows a double-digit margin between @katiehobbs and @andybiggs4az. Similar margins exist down the ticket. Driven mainly by independent voters supporting Democrats at 3 to 1. Governor 🔵 Hobbs 52 🔴 Biggs 39 Secretary of State 🔵 Fontes 50 🔴 Kolodin 38 Attorney General 🔵 Mayes 52 🔴 Petersen 41 Treasurer 🔵 Mansour 47 🔴 Norton 41 Superintendent of Public Instruction 🔵 Leyba Ruiz 47 🔴 Yee 43
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Low propensity Republicans are completely missing from the Nevada (Clark) electorate. Is the Red Army going to invade on Election Day?
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Man prediction markets are awesome we should totally incorporate this into polling in order to predict things 👍
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I'd argue on a macro level that religious voters becoming so republican-leaning has had an especially bad outcome for society.
The Democrats can't wait out God. From me, on the disastrous suggestions of the failed 2010s school of thought that said "just wait and change nothing, and enough atheists will emerge". This was always a stupid strategy. theargumentmag.com/p/the-dem…
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A message from Adam to the Vice President.
On November 3, Kansans get the last word.
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I’m analyzing how my counterparties are analyzing my analysis.
Early vote analysis is a waste of time. Don't even look at it. But looking at how your counterparties' are analyzing the early vote is an enormous signal.
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The people united will never be defeated! Congratulations, President Lula.
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Yes. And it will be good.
Are you going to let the democrats do to US what happened in Brazil?
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Congratulations, President @LulaOficial, on your re-election in Brazil. The relationship between Canada and Brazil has flourished under our partnership. Let’s seize this opportunity to make it even stronger, together — to create major new trade opportunities, protect the environment, and build greater prosperity for both our peoples.
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President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva came from behind to win Brazil’s runoff election, halting a right-wing wave sweeping Latin America and defying predictions that the 80-year-old political veteran had finally reached the end of his extraordinary career. bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
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Thank you to @Kalshi for the Falcons tickets! Great way to spend some time with @carnitastaco. Have been wanting to visit Mercedes-Benz Stadium since it opened. Did not disappoint!
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KJ 🐵 retweeted
Lots of people are asking me where to give their money - if you can only do one race, I’d give what you can to @MaryPeltola Several reasons: 1) It’s a small state, so your money goes further per expected senate vote 2) Direct donations buy 19x ads per dollar than committees due to the unit rule - this also frees up the DSCC and SMP to put their money on states with smaller IE/coord ad price spreads and frees them up to spend more on digital 3) it’s likely going to be close! It’s not too late! Any money you send today will get spent immediately and will provide real relief to an overworked campaign workers across a bunch of orgs! secure.actblue.com/donate/mp…
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Trump on the Iran war: "I made that decision and I have no second guess. Somebody said, 'If you had it to do again...' I said, 'Are you kidding?' I thought gas would be double or triple. And it's a small price to pay for taking a nuclear weapon away from maniacs."
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