@BlueBullet1981

Father, Oilers and Esks fan, Blogger and analyst on hockey prospects & the NHL draft. @bluebulletbrad.bsky.social

 Spruce Grove, Alberta
bluebulletbrad.substack.com/
Joined April 2009
  • Tweets14.1K
  • Following361
  • Followers1.8K
2.2KMedia
Go check out my NHL entry draft rankings. Brand new model for 2026.
Blue Bullet Brad@BlueBullet1981Jun 22
BLUE BULLET 2026 NHL ENTRY DRAFT FINAL RANKINGS open.substack.com/pub/bluebu…
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Potential final version Hyman-McDavid-Savoie Podkolzin-Draisaitl-X Dach-Dickinson-Frederic Howard-Nuge-Joseph
Blue Bullet Brad@BlueBullet1981Oct 27
Podkolzin-McDavid-Draisaitl Howard-RNH-Joseph Dach-Dickinson-Frederic Formenton/Hallander-Michaels-Kapanen
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Connor Murphy must relish the 11% of his 5x5 time that he gets to play with the big boys.
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Same with Walman and his 17%.
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Podkolzin-McDavid-Draisaitl Howard-RNH-Joseph Dach-Dickinson-Frederic Formenton/Hallander-Michaels-Kapanen
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Dach-Dickinson-Frederic shows promise
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The 6 forwards and 3 defencemen for the Oilers below replacement level per Hockeystats Box WAR
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The 10 forwards and 4 defencemen for the Oilers above replacement level per Hockeystats Box WAR
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Hockeystats Box WAR
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Advanced analytics had Seider as the best d-men for the Red Wings. This is a prime example that a tracking informed model appears stronger than a boxscore aggregator.
Seider Truther 🦅@5SeidersOct 27
Mo Seider’s rating for this game is a prime example of the limitations of “advanced” analytics. #LGRW
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Blue Bullet Brad retweeted
Blue Bullet Brad@BlueBullet1981May 13
Top 10 AHL SV% for goalies born 2002-2005 (min 15 GP) Postava .937 (2002) Lindbom .926 (2003) Murashov .919 (2004) Fowler .916 (2004) Cossa .915 (2002) Blomqvist .913 (2002) Merilainen .909 (2002) Milic .905 (2003) Kokko .901 (2004) Gerasimyuk .901 (2003)
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Blue Bullet Brad retweeted
Blue Bullet Brad@BlueBullet1981Jun 10
Only 5 AHL goalies born in 2002 had a .900+ SV% in 25-26. As you can see from the chart, the goalies that end up as 1A/1B NHL netminders tend to be showing strong signs by age 23, if not already in the NHL. Postava .937 Cossa .915 Blomqvist .913 Merilainen .909 Commesso .901
Blue Bullet Brad@BlueBullet1981Jun 9
How Cossa's AHL stats at age 23 compared with current NHL goalies.
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Remember folks, there is data out there that will save you from looking the fool. Don't make the mistake and be one like Adam.
Adam@TOSportsAdamOct 25
Replying to @2003nicko
Until 10 minutes into the game and they’re back on the same line. They’ve always played together.
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Oilers All Strengths score adjusted ranking per hockeystats GF/60 - 1st GA/60 - 18th G+-/60 - 2nd xGF/60 - 16th xGA/60 - 5th xG+-/60 - 8th GAx/60 - 1st GSAx/60 - 26th G+-Ax/60 - 2nd
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Since Oct 2:
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Sabremetrix📊@SabremetrixOct 21
Lol
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Per hockeystats, the Oilers score adjusted All strength metrics G+-/60: 1.72 (1st) xG+-/60: 0.6 (8th) GAx/60: 1.5 (1st) GSAx/60: -0.3 (24th) G+-Ax/60: 1.1 (2nd)
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Per hockeystats, the Oilers score adjusted 5x5 metrics: G+-/60: 1.44 (2nd) xG+-/60: 0.3 (15th) GAx/60: 1.3 (2nd) GSAx/60: -0.1 (21st) G+-Ax/60: 1.2 (3rd)
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Adjusted 5x5 GF/xGF (per hockeystats) for Frederic and Howard
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I find searching my own name and the person that blocked me can sometimes reveal why the block occurred in the first place.
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Put down the pitchforks. The injuries are addressed in the article.
dom 📈@domluszczyszynOct 15
16 Stats 📊📈📉 The Oilers came into the season wanting to forge a new identity as more than a three-man team. Early on, though, the divide between 97-29-2 and the rest of the team has never looked bigger. nytimes.com/athletic/7690868…

16 NHL stats: The Edmonton Oilers’ biggest problem is getting worse despite their hot start

The gap between McDavid, Draisaitl and Bouchard compared to the rest of the team has never looked wider throughout Edmonton's strong start.

nytimes.com
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