$BTC setups, execution and trading psychology from a full-time trader.
Joined December 2024
- Tweets24.8K
- Following41
- Followers1.3K
- Likes20.2K
BullsBytes retweeted
I don't open new trades on weekends.
Liquidity is thinner, participation is lower, and with less depth in the order book, price can move much faster on relatively little volume.
That doesn't mean BTC can't start a real move on Saturday or Sunday that carries into the week. It can. But for me, the conditions are rarely good enough.
Use the weekend to reset, map the important levels and come back fresh when participation picks up again.
Enjoy the weekend!
BullsBytes retweeted
Someone can sound completely certain and still be completely wrong.
A clean chart, a long thread and thousands of followers can make an idea feel researched before you've checked anything yourself.
Learning from other people is useful. It can save you years. But their knowledge still has to become your skill.
You need enough experience in the field to test the idea, understand why it works and recognize when it doesn't.
That's how you build conviction in your own decisions, and how you learn whether someone else's knowledge is actually worth listening to.
Do the work before the trade, or the trade will end up teaching you what you should have checked first.
BullsBytes retweeted
I barely feel anything when I trade now.
A stop gets hit, fine. A trade runs without me, fine. A position goes into profit and I don't start thinking about what the money could become.
It wasn't always like that.
I had to go through the revenge trades, the frustration after losses, the urge to make it back, the overthinking and all the stupid decisions that came with it.
Eventually, a losing trade stopped making me force the next one, and a winning trade stopped making me loosen my rules.
That was the part that took the longest.
BullsBytes retweeted
$BTC traded into the 82.2K–82.8K zone I was waiting for and buyers are stepping in. I’m long from here.
$BTC is finally moving back toward the 82.2K–82.8K breakout zone I’ve been waiting for.
If price trades into the zone and buyers defend it on the 4H, I’ll start looking for a long from there.
If the zone fails to hold, I’ll stay out and reassess lower.
BullsBytes retweeted
Switching trading strategies is tempting when you’re going through a brutal losing streak.
But if you keep changing your strategy before collecting enough trades, you’ll never know whether it actually has an edge.
A few winners tell you nothing. A few losers tell you nothing either. Losing trades are part of every strategy. What matters is what happens across a meaningful sample and, ultimately, what the total PnL looks like.
Start with 25 logged trades. Not because 25 trades magically proves anything, but because it gives you something far more useful than feelings: data.
And while you’re collecting that data, something else happens. You get better at executing the same rules over and over again without letting every win or loss change your view of the strategy.
That’s the real value of keeping a trading journal.
Your feelings will tell you to change something after three losses.
Your data might tell you not to change a thing.
BullsBytes retweeted
Typical Saturday. $BTC has slowed down and moved into consolidation within the 84K–85K zone.
87K has proven to be strong resistance, while 80K is strong support below. The 82K–83K breakout zone is still an important area in between and would be the first place I’d watch if 84K gives way.
Looking at the broader structure, I wouldn’t be surprised to see BTC spend some time ranging between 80K and 87K before we get another decisive move.
If 87K breaks and holds, the 89K–90K area comes into focus next. A break below the 82K–83K breakout zone would likely put 80K back in play.
BullsBytes retweeted
Since the previous update, $BTC has added another bullish confirmation.
85K was retested on the 4H and held, flipping the level into support for now. That keeps the bullish structure intact and puts 87K in focus as the immediate resistance.
Above that, 89K is the next major level on the daily and an area I’d expect price to react around if 87K breaks.
80K remains the deeper support after its earlier retest and successful hold.
77K and 78K are still important levels, but I’m not treating them as confirmed support yet because neither has been retested as support on the 4H.
As long as 85K holds, BTC has room to keep pushing higher. Break 87K and 89K comes into play. Lose 85K on a 4H close and I’d start watching 82K–83K first, with 80K still the more important support below.
BullsBytes retweeted
You don’t need to master everything in trading.
You need to figure out what actually works for you and get really good at it. It takes time, a lot of trial and error, and probably more patience than you expect. But once you stop chasing everything and start trusting your own process, things begin to change.
That’s where consistency starts. Not by knowing everything, but by knowing what works for you and sticking with it.
BullsBytes retweeted
If a loss is still in your head, you’re not ready for the next trade. Clear your head first. Then wait for the next setup.
BullsBytes retweeted
Never lose sight of your goal.
Keep moving forward.
Some weeks bring opportunities.
Some weeks test your patience.
Both are part of the process.
Success is built when you stay consistent even when nothing exciting happens.
Keep following your plan.
Keep improving your decisions.
The results will follow.
BullsBytes retweeted
The market will not always reward you just because you followed your plan. That is part of the game. The real win is staying disciplined enough to execute your system properly when the outcome is never guaranteed. That is what keeps you consistent over time.
BullsBytes retweeted
And there you have it.
$BTC is now testing the $74K HTF support region exactly as mapped throughout the previous updates.
Now the focus shifts toward how BTC reacts from this HTF support area.
The continued $BTC downside rotation on the 4H further reinforces the focus on the $74K HTF support region.
As mentioned in the previous update:
'That transition from ascending structure into descending structure is also what shifted short-side execution into focus on the 4H.'
That structural shift was the reason for entering a short position and shifting execution toward downside continuation.
Since then, BTC has continued respecting the descending channel while weakening further toward the $74K region.
The short-side target for the position is placed at $75K.
As mentioned many times before, taking profit slightly above a major HTF level increases the probability of securing the move before aggressive reactions from support occur.
Right now, as long as BTC remains below the $77K region on the 4H, probability continues favoring another test of the $74K HTF support area.
The broader HTF bullish trend is still technically intact for now, but lower timeframe momentum continues favoring downside pressure.
For now, the $74K HTF support region remains the key area in focus.
BullsBytes retweeted
Following up on the previous $BTC update.
Closing the swing long after the breakdown of the 4H ascending channel was the right decision.
Since then, BTC has continued weakening on the 4H and transitioned into a descending channel structure.
The focus on the next major HTF support region around $74K also appears to be the correct area to watch so far.
This is exactly why invalidation and adaptation matter.
The goal is always to stay aligned with structure as conditions change.
Right now, BTC remains below the broken ascending channel while respecting the descending structure on the 4H.
As long as that continues, short term momentum remains weak.
Since Monday, BTC has mostly been rotating within this structure rather than showing strong directional continuation.
That transition from ascending structure into descending structure is also what shifted short-side execution into focus on the 4H.
Not because the broader HTF trend is necessarily bearish yet, but because lower timeframe structure and momentum temporarily shifted in favor of downside continuation toward the $74K HTF support region.
The broader HTF bullish trend is still intact for now, but BTC needs to reclaim structure before continuation toward the weekly 50 EMA around $85.5K becomes likely again.
Until then, eyes remain on the $74K HTF support region.
The $BTC swing long has now been closed for just under +5%, translating into roughly +50% ROI using 10x leverage.
As outlined in the previous updates, invalidation sat on a clear 4H close below the lower boundary of the ascending channel.
That condition was triggered.
No guessing.
No hoping.
Just execution based on structure.
That does not automatically mean the broader bullish HTF trend is over.
BTC could still reclaim the channel and continue building toward the weekly 50 EMA around $85.5K from there.
For now, focus shifts toward the next major HTF support region around $74K.
If BTC delivers a strong reaction there again, another swing long opportunity could develop from that area.
BullsBytes retweeted
The $BTC swing long has now been closed for just under +5%, translating into roughly +50% ROI using 10x leverage.
As outlined in the previous updates, invalidation sat on a clear 4H close below the lower boundary of the ascending channel.
That condition was triggered.
No guessing.
No hoping.
Just execution based on structure.
That does not automatically mean the broader bullish HTF trend is over.
BTC could still reclaim the channel and continue building toward the weekly 50 EMA around $85.5K from there.
For now, focus shifts toward the next major HTF support region around $74K.
If BTC delivers a strong reaction there again, another swing long opportunity could develop from that area.
$BTC delivered a sharp flush today, but the 4H trend structure continues to hold.
Price came directly into the lower boundary of the ascending channel once again and reacted strongly from that area.
Despite the volatility and aggressive selling, buyers stepped in exactly where they needed to.
The swing long remains active.
For now, price continues respecting the channel and maintaining the broader bullish HTF structure.
This is exactly why execution should be based on structure.
Large candles and fast moves often create panic, especially on lower timeframes.
But strong trends regularly retest support before continuation.
That’s normal behavior.
The weekly 50 EMA around $85.5K still remains the next major higher timeframe resistance area.
Until the 4H structure breaks, continuation remains the primary focus.
BullsBytes retweeted
Profitable trading starts improving fast once you stop needing every trade to validate your intelligence.
BullsBytes retweeted
This is the bigger picture on $BTC.
Weeks ago, the focus was on one thing:
The weekly reclaim of the 200 EMA, which happened nearly 6 weeks ago.
That reclaim mattered because it marked a major shift in higher timeframe structure.
Since then, BTC has continued building higher.
Now price is approaching the next major area: the weekly 50 EMA.
That’s where things get interesting.
The 200 EMA reclaim marked the transition from weakness into recovery.
The 50 EMA is now the first major test of strength, currently sitting around $85.7K.
This is where momentum either continues building or starts slowing down.
That does not automatically mean bearish.
Strong trends often pause, consolidate, or pull back before continuation.
As long as BTC continues forming higher lows and holding key support levels, the broader recovery structure remains intact.
This is why context matters.
A trader focused only on lower timeframes during a trend sees noise.
A trader focused on higher timeframe structure during a trend sees positioning.
Without context, every pullback feels dangerous.
With context, you understand whether the market is actually weakening or continuing to trend.
BullsBytes retweeted
Follow up on the $BTC swing long shared earlier.
The plan hasn’t changed.
And neither has the execution.
After the clean retest at $74K, the position was opened.
Since then, price has continued to trend higher.
From entry, the trade has now pushed over +8%.
That’s the result of letting a trend play out.
No rushing to take profits.
No overmanaging the position.
Just following structure.
Price continues to respect the uptrend and build on strength.
As long as that continues, there is no reason to close the position.
This is the key shift most miss.
Catching the move is one thing.
Holding through the trend is another.
Execution here stays simple.
As long as the 4H trend remains intact, the BTC swing long stays open.
If structure breaks, that’s where decisions get made.
Until then, it’s about sitting back and letting the market do the work.
This is what adapting to the environment looks like.
Range: scalp, take profits at key levels.
Trend: hold, let structure guide the exit.
Same market.
Different conditions.
Different execution.
That’s the edge.
Non-negotiable.
A few weeks ago I pointed out that a weekly close above the 200 EMA on $BTC would mark a key higher timeframe shift.
That is exactly what played out.
BTC reclaimed the 200 EMA and has been holding above it, confirming strength on the higher timeframe.
Now look at how that translates into BTC price action.
On the 4H, price broke out of the range and shifted into a clear trend, forming higher highs and higher lows.
That is the transition.
From range → into trend.
The $74K level, which previously acted as major resistance, has now been broken and flipped into support.
That’s the key shift in structure.
Price has already delivered a clean retest of that level, confirming acceptance.
That retest is where the long was opened.
This is the shift in execution.
In a range, I take profits into resistance.
In a trend, I hold positions as long as structure holds.
As long as price continues to respect the rising channel and form higher lows, the position remains open.
Invalidation sits on a clear 4H close below its lower boundary.
As long as $74K holds on a higher timeframe, the broader bullish structure remains intact.
The next key area sits higher, with the daily 50 EMA around $82.5K acting as potential resistance.
That defines the current path.
Strength above support
Continuation toward higher resistance
But if $74K fails on a higher timeframe, the trend weakens and price can rotate back toward the prior range.
BullsBytes retweeted
You don’t quit because you can’t do it.
You quit when it feels like nothing you do matters.
Losses stack.
Doubt kicks in.
You start questioning everything.
That’s the phase where people walk away.
Not because they’re far…
but because they’re closer than they think.
The ones who make it?
They just stay a little longer.
That’s it.
BullsBytes retweeted
The charts are closed.
But the work isn’t.
Review your trades.
Refine your plan.
Reset your focus.
Most traders only show up when price is moving.
That’s why they stay stuck.
Progress comes from what you do outside the trades.
That’s where discipline is built.
Non-negotiable.
BullsBytes retweeted
A few weeks ago I pointed out that a weekly close above the 200 EMA on $BTC would mark a key higher timeframe shift.
That is exactly what played out.
BTC reclaimed the 200 EMA and has been holding above it, confirming strength on the higher timeframe.
Now look at how that translates into BTC price action.
On the 4H, price broke out of the range and shifted into a clear trend, forming higher highs and higher lows.
That is the transition.
From range → into trend.
The $74K level, which previously acted as major resistance, has now been broken and flipped into support.
That’s the key shift in structure.
Price has already delivered a clean retest of that level, confirming acceptance.
That retest is where the long was opened.
This is the shift in execution.
In a range, I take profits into resistance.
In a trend, I hold positions as long as structure holds.
As long as price continues to respect the rising channel and form higher lows, the position remains open.
Invalidation sits on a clear 4H close below its lower boundary.
As long as $74K holds on a higher timeframe, the broader bullish structure remains intact.
The next key area sits higher, with the daily 50 EMA around $82.5K acting as potential resistance.
That defines the current path.
Strength above support
Continuation toward higher resistance
But if $74K fails on a higher timeframe, the trend weakens and price can rotate back toward the prior range.
$BTC has delivered a key higher timeframe signal.
The weekly closed back above the 200 EMA.
Reclaiming it shifts the broader outlook toward strength and opens the door for continuation this week.
But context is everything.
Price is still trading within the same range I have been mapping and trading for weeks.
$69.5K remains the key resistance that needs to break to shift this structure.
Until that level is broken on the 4H with acceptance and follow through, this remains a range environment.
And range conditions require a different approach, as I have shown many times.
That is why trades continue to be treated as scalps within the range.
Execution stays focused on mapped LTF support and resistance.
If $69.5K breaks and holds on HTF, the environment shifts and we can start thinking beyond scalps.
Until then, I continue to respect the range.
