@CP_Hunter

US-China nuclear deterrence and space security. Researcher @RitualDeter @koebenhavns_uni Ex @HyPIRUoL, Ex @KlugeCtr/@librarycongress

 Bristol, England
ritualdeterrence.eu/people/
Joined June 2015
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Replying to @WoodNathanG @bleddb
You might be the only other Hume fan to have read it. Cheers for your kind words!
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Systems that claim to be capable of advising tactical or strategic decisionmaking are asking "what comes next" based on past observations. You can see this in military AI marketing materials, like this youtube.com/watch?v=XEM5qz__… 👇
A screen grab of a Palantir promotional video showing a military AI advisor suggesting three ways to target an enemy position on a map.

ALT A screen grab of a Palantir promotional video showing a military AI advisor suggesting three ways to target an enemy position on a map.

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Couldn't resist getting into a new theatre for my hobby wargaming. Just need to find an opponent willing to play the bad guys...
The "Emu War 1932" game box from 2D6 wargaming, with a few of the tiny emu and australian models on top

ALT The "Emu War 1932" game box from 2D6 wargaming, with a few of the tiny emu and australian models on top

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Brodie considered all sorts of technological developments - mobile ICBMs, precision-guidance, faster delivery vehicles and robust BMD - and advocated for an approach that avoided treating technology as a determining factor - either optimistically or pessimistically.
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I chose Brodie to revisit because he's frequently name-checked. Yet I often have the feeling only the briefest headline version of his ideas are considered by wonks today. “It is not always true that views which have passed out of vogue deserve to be forgotten” - Brodie
A photo of Bernard Brodie

ALT A photo of Bernard Brodie

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Was another day where I felt hugely privileged to work with the @ThirdNuclearAge - @olamideDIY ran mini-UN negotiations for students, @bleddb advised the Cuban team (to victory!). Sarah Dunn was our RU SME and @LudovicaCastel5 was our MENA SME. Both were control cell powerhouses!
Dr Olamide Samuel runs a mini-simulation for HyPIR students of multilateral talks at the UN (as part of the crisis game).

ALT Dr Olamide Samuel runs a mini-simulation for HyPIR students of multilateral talks at the UN (as part of the crisis game).

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(Now twitterless?) Tom Plant deserves an award for going above and beyond on the day. Not only bringing the practitioner wisdom, he also whipped the control cell into an efficient machine and gave a masterclass to the rest of the game managers.
The room of the control cell of a crisis game. The game managers are debating how to resolve player actions.

ALT The room of the control cell of a crisis game. The game managers are debating how to resolve player actions.

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Many thanks to our very special guest, former US State Department game designer, Dr Robert Domaingue. My gratitude especially for being a practitioner voice that reassured the students this "gaming" was actually a useful real-world skill!
Dr Robert Domaingue briefs HyPIR students ahead of the crisis game.

ALT Dr Robert Domaingue briefs HyPIR students ahead of the crisis game.

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Reflecting @JuttaWeldes book (one of the best on the crisis) the scenario was designed to look very different from the simulated vantage points of Havana, Moscow and DC. The game we built was highly asymmetric - far from the superpower binary described in traditional literature
The front cover of Jutta Weldes' book "Constructing National Interests: The United States and the Cuban Missile Crisis"

ALT The front cover of Jutta Weldes' book "Constructing National Interests: The United States and the Cuban Missile Crisis"

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Pictured: accidentally setting up a @HyPIRUoL Space Policy Office in DC. With the unrivalled (twitterless) talents of Jim Howe and Sarah Dunn. Recent additions mean @HyPIRUoL now has in-house expertise on Russian space tech, nuclear propulsion, and responsibility in outer space
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It's been 15 years since the 2007 Chinese hit-to-kill test destroyed a satellite. Worth revisiting @ArmsControlWonk @gkucs and @Genevaexpat excellent scrutiny of reactions at the time. Pretty much all the key controversies of '07 are still with us in 2022 youtu.be/baMZKLq8zKk
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All the Wordle on my timeline is giving me strong TNG "The Game" vibes. Ominous.
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We've added a "Simulations" section to the project website 👇 thethirdnuclearage.com/simul… Check it out to stay up to date with our plans. Thanks to @olamideDIY for putting this together and teaching me some web design
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