Center for Strategic and Budgetary Assessments: The Future of National Security - Innovative research on defense strategy, budgets, and the security environment

Washington, DC
Joined May 2013
This @CSBAdc report—written more than a decade ago and way ahead of its time—is critical background reading here csbaonline.org/resource/tren…
USAF Confirms Bombers Could Have A Major Air-To-Air Combat Role Bombers are now being viewed as another potential air-to-air asset on top of growing the fighter fleet and establishing a CCA force. twz.com/air/usaf-confirms-bo…
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Current geographic frameworks for N and NE Europe do not take full advantage of the strengths that Sweden and Finland bring to NATO. We argue that NATO instead should treat what we call the "Northeast Quadrant" as one comprehensive and holistic area of operations.
"Sweden and Finland alliance membership, increased NATO focus on deterrence and defense, and augmented NATO spending all create a more challenging security environment for Russia." -Read more in CSBA's latest by @KakiDahlstrand, @CaseyNicastro, and Jan van Tol csbaonline.org/resource/fina…
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This @CSBAdc report by @KakiDahlstrand provides some excellent background on great power competition in space and a thoughtful argument for the types of counterspace weapons the U.S. should pursue (and why): csbaonline.org/resource/secu…
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Just last week, Japan's defense minister noted that "one topic we cannot avoid is nuclear weapons.” My @CSBAdc colleague @ToshiYoshihara and I write in @lawfare about the prospect of a nuclear-armed Japan. lawfaremedia.org/article/tok…
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US adversaries collaborate globally: 🇨🇳 has major economic and security investments in Africa and South America, 🇺🇦 is fighting North Korean soldiers who have Iranian drones, 🇷🇺 has helped Tehran target 🇺🇸 forces. 🇺🇸 needs its allies. Tom Mahnken @CSBA reader.foreignaffairs.com/20…
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A new report from @CSBAdc on nuclear command, control, and communication from Amb. Edelman? Sign me up. csbaonline.org/research/publ…
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It was an honor to contribute to this report during my time working @CSBAdc. The now-released report offers a thorough dive into the history of U.S. NC3 and its implications for contemporary deterrence challenges.
Upcoming Report: "The Three-Body Problem: Nuclear Command, Control, and Communications" by Ambassador Eric Edelman on contending with the growing threat of nuclear decapitation to be published soon!
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It’s clear that the PRC and PLA remain acute threats to U.S. national security. A question I’m thinking about is how Epic Fury could affect U.S. military readiness for a great-power war. @mgerrydoyle explores this question in his latest piece @Bloomberg, including @becca_wasser @tshugart3 Peter Layton and my takes. @CSBAdc bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
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New article today in @CIMSEC Thank you to the editors, and to my co-author, @MalandrinoGreg cimsec.org/maritime-cost-imp…
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ICYMI Diamond in the Rough: The Past, Present, and Future of NATO’s ISR Force @CSBAdc report by Scoville Fellow '06 Travis Sharp and Ryan Kaufman. csbaonline.org/research/publ…
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The story of Epic Fury isn’t just the precise mass threat from Iran or the need for the US to produce more mass of its own. It’s the effort to destroy adversary production infrastructure. A new @WarOnTheRocks article from me and @CSBAdc colleagues. warontherocks.com/2026/04/th…
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Should we encourage China to emphasize global power projection (hoping it imposes some costs and creates new vulnerabilities) or discourage it (because it could undermine US influence and prestige)? I've heard both arguments for years, but it suddenly seems more relevant.
Trump ups pressure on NATO allies and China to help reopen the Strait of Hormuz. Global oil prices have surged by 40 to 50 percent due to the critical oil transport conduit being effectively closed by Iran in retaliation for the US and Israeli war against Tehran u.afp.com/SLMQ
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Eric Edelman and @EliotACohen discuss Trump's effort to replicate his Venezuela playbook and the search for an Iranian Delcy Rodríguez, the intricacies of the Iranian succession, and the potential for the regular army to seize leadership of the country. zurl.co/9Wqn5
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A new @CSBAdc report from me on reconciling the growing demands of military competition against China with legacy threats from other rivals--or, how I was thinking about all of this as of late last week😬 csbaonline.org/research/publ…
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I have been recommending this report since it came out. It's a really great read, puts in perspective the limitations of easy solution, and points to the inadequacy of stocks of precision munitions.
CSBA report on the "inadequacy of Western munition stocks" and how the "U.S. military has encountered difficulties meeting its PGM demands in nearly every campaign since their adoption". csbaonline.org/uploads/docum… It then goes through multiple scenarios to detail how bad it gets.
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