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its crazy how almost ever poll put out today has the exact same result of 57-35 or so
Hope you don't mind but I used your plentiful regionals to model this out (they don't show here, just the broader regionals I have - chart would be too long otherwise). #bcpoli
Okay, 7 green seats is actually insane but anyways
(Models Available For Subscribers)
British Columbia Provincial Polling:
CON: 43% (-1)
NDP: 37% (-8)
GRN: 17% (+9)
ONE: 2% (New)
CNBC: 1% (New)
Mainstreet / October 23, 2026 / n=1043 / MOE 3% / IVR
(% Change With 2024 Election)
Check out @338Canada here: 338canada.com/bc
Another Conservative majority
(Models Available For Subscribers)
British Columbia Provincial Polling:
CON: 45% (+1)
NDP: 39% (-6)
GRN: 12% (+4)
Others: 4%
Pallas / October 22, 2026 / n=702 / MOE 3.7% / IVR
(% Change With 2024 Election)
Check out @338Canada here: 338canada.com/bc
(Models Available For Subscribers)
British Columbia Provincial Polling:
CON: 43% (-1)
NDP: 37% (-8)
GRN: 17% (+9)
ONE: 2% (New)
CNBC: 1% (New)
Mainstreet / October 23, 2026 / n=1043 / MOE 3% / IVR
(% Change With 2024 Election)
Check out @338Canada here: 338canada.com/bc
(Models Available For Subscribers)
British Columbia Provincial Polling:
CON: 45% (+1)
NDP: 39% (-6)
GRN: 12% (+4)
Others: 4%
Pallas / October 22, 2026 / n=702 / MOE 3.7% / IVR
(% Change With 2024 Election)
Check out @338Canada here: 338canada.com/bc
Polling Canada retweeted
Polling Canada Final British Columbia Model:
🔵 CON: 57 - (46-68 Likely Seats)
🟠 NDP: 34 - (23-45 Likely Seats)
🟢 GRN: 2 - (2-3 Likely Seats)
- October 23, 2026 -
Full model here: canadianpolling.com/p/ebys-e…
Polling Canada Final British Columbia Model:
🔵 CON: 57 - (46-68 Likely Seats)
🟠 NDP: 34 - (23-45 Likely Seats)
🟢 GRN: 2 - (2-3 Likely Seats)
- October 23, 2026 -
Full model here: canadianpolling.com/p/ebys-e…
In Island News
cbc.ca/news/canada/prince-ed…
(Models Available For Subscribers)
British Columbia Provincial Polling:
CON: 42% (-2)
NDP: 37% (-8)
GRN: 13% (+5)
ONE: 4% (New)
CNBC: 3% (New)
Pollara / October 21, 2026 / n=1950 / Online
(% Change With 2024 Election)
Check out @338Canada here: 338canada.com/bc
Conservative majority
(Models Available For Subscribers)
British Columbia Provincial Polling:
CON: 44% (-)
NDP: 39% (-6)
GRN: 13% (+5)
ONE: 2% (New)
CNBC: 1% (New)
Ipsos / October 22, 2026 / n=1260 / Online
(% Change With 2024 Election)
Check out @338Canada here: 338canada.com/bc
(Models Available For Subscribers)
British Columbia Provincial Polling:
CON: 44% (-)
NDP: 39% (-6)
GRN: 13% (+5)
ONE: 2% (New)
CNBC: 1% (New)
Ipsos / October 22, 2026 / n=1260 / Online
(% Change With 2024 Election)
Check out @338Canada here: 338canada.com/bc
Polling Canada retweeted
Mark Carney on Elon Musk throttling Starlink: "I search for the right adjective to describe whoever took this decision or group of people took this decision against a country that is literally fighting for the lives of the citizens against naked aggression."
Mississauga - Mayoral Polling:
Crombie: 31%
Tedjo: 29%
Parrish: 26%
Damerla: 12%
Abacus / Oct 18, 2026
New Abacus #cdnpoli poll out on Sunday, back to our usual timing.
Carney government supports hits a new high
Federal - Rosemont-La Petite-Patrie Projection:
🔴LPC: 36% (-2)
🟠NDP: 33% (+3)
⚜️BQ: 23% (-1)
- October 17, 2026 -
(% Change With Previous Model Update)
canadianpolling.com/p/record…
