CandyRedPill🌹 retweeted
It’s not that I’m confident or not confident.
Every state has its own terms and conditions that align with either party being able to win it. Talarico’s path to victory is exceedingly narrow. Even the most bullish left-wing modelers who make massive assumptions about how much the white vote and Hispanic vote will swing, and how high or low the turnout will be (with incomplete data at this point) only give Talarico a 4 point margin.
Trimming back their ambitions, I would think a real ceiling for him would be 1 percent or less. To get it, it would require dreadful R turnout, which isn’t true, and would require a reversion of the Hispanic vote back ten years, which won’t happen.
I’m not rooting for or cheering for anything when I post data. I clearly want the Rs to win in Texas, but I want them to win in NC Senate and I’ve been very clear that’s not going to happen.
I am just sick of panic, doom, whining, and people thinking I want to have left-wing models shoved into my comments. Texas Rs hold the keys, and if they vote, they can’t lose. It’s not mathematically possible. If they don’t show, then they can blame themselves.
Replying to @RealSKeshel
Seth why is there such a high amount of concern among people like Scott Jennings and Dana Loesch around Texas when it seems you are so confident? What data is causing this split? I agree with you that the gop is in good shape but it gives me pause how many GOPers disagree w/ us
CandyRedPill🌹 retweeted
Let me tell you what’s going to happen:
Vivek (OH) - win
Paxton (TX) - win
Donalds (FL) - win
Moody (FL) - win
Graham (SC) - win
Rogers (MI) - win
Hinson (IA) - win
Sullivan (AK) - win
Jackson (GA) - win
Collins (GA) - win
Republicans hold Senate and House
Democrats cry hard
Sorry, I’ve been off X this past week and will be next week. I’m working Early Voting. I’ll have a break before Election Day next weekend 👏🏼👏🏼👏🏼. Long hours 🥱🥱🥱
CandyRedPill🌹 retweeted
Replying to @EricLDaugh
Independent voices on X are uncovering taxpayer fraud while legacy media looks the other way.
Got a tip on fraud?
xitter.cf/TheJusticeDept/status/…
Justice Department Announces Innovative Whistleblower Rewards Program to Combat Fraud
Tipsters Eligible for up to $30,000 in Fast-Track Payments
“Protecting the American people from fraud remains a top priority for the Department of Justice,” said @AGToddBlanche. “The Fraud Whistleblower Incentive Program (WHIP) offers everyone the opportunity to be part of the solution, help expose fraud, and be rewarded quickly for their efforts. I urge all Americans to use this program and play an active role in bringing fraudsters to justice.”
🔗: justice.gov/opa/pr/justice-d…
CandyRedPill🌹 retweeted
Replying to @EricLDaugh @cogther0903
If you didn’t know by now , Somalians are thieves, pirates and liars. The whole bunch needs to be thrown out of our country.! They have robbed the great state of Minnesota. They picked it because the people there are known for their generosity! … Vote RED
CandyRedPill🌹 retweeted
🚨 BREAKING: NY Post just released a 1997 marriage certificate that lists the father of Ilhan Omar's sister as "Nur Said ELMI," the SAME last name as the man Omar married — HER BROTHER
It's over.
Omar's late father, Nur Omar Mohamed, also went by "Nur Said Elmi."
In a filing this week, the DOJ referred to the congresswoman herself as "Ilhan Nur Said Elmi."
OMAR IS NOT HER REAL NAME.
When she was asked directly whether she's related to Ahmed Elmi, she said: "Not to my knowledge" 🤡
She must forfeit her seat.
CandyRedPill🌹 retweeted
🚨 THE DEMOCRACY FILES / ILLEGITIMACY PLAYBOOK, PART 4: YES, MANY ARE AWARE OF THE GOALS 🚨
This one is a thread because there are multiple materials.
On January 15, 2026, Renew American Democracy (RAD), the strategy built around the Democracy Renewal Group's (DRG) ex-USAID democracy officers, held planning exercises for "emergency scenarios" and how it'd affect their "strategic objectives."
RAD's explicit goal is in catalyzing those so-called "emergency scenarios" to manifest "structural reform" - the rewriting of American governance which the previous drops have covered.
RAD/DRG hold the unique role within the wider blocking / protest alliance of defining what the new government looks like, presumably because they are made of ex-USAID officers who have specialized in installing new governments. As @MikeBenzCyber last night said on his stream, these DRG members come from the CIA coup parts of USAID.
It's been suggested that DRG is just a fringe group within the much larger blocking/protest ecosystem. This morning's interim video mentioning Mike Smith disproved that. And PART 4 disproves that further - the wider network is well aware of DRG and that its goal is to secure a new government.
They will dress it in the language that it's Trump who will provoke it, and they're only preventing a true Constitutional crisis. In reality, there's a million ways to interpret what a "red line" is, and many ways to get Trump to cross it. Already, articles everywhere are telegraphing that Trump *will* cross it in the form of the Insurrection Act or martial law, softening us up for the coup ahead.
The materials I'm showing you are from a RAD/DRG-ran planning exercise in January 2026. Groups represented by participants include:
· National Security Leaders for America (NSL4A)
· Freedom Trainers / Beautiful Trouble
· Team Democracy
· Federal Workers Alliance for Democracy
· Civil Service Strong
· Project 2029
· Braver Angels
· Indivisible
· Better Together America
· Center for Collaborative Democracy
· Democracy Accelerator
· Paths to Understanding
· Co-Intelligence Institute
· Cohesion Strategy
· Community-Vision Solutions
One of the working groups concerned "National Deliberations" - which lays the groundwork for structural reforms post-crisis. So every single participant in this forum was well aware the end point is rewriting our governance.
Even more interesting, Tanya Alfredson of @BraverAngels participated in this particular working group - which should give pause to anyone who believes Braver Angels simply wants better dialogue.
As you watch the videos, watch out for the code language they use to hint towards the ultimate end goal.
As always, patience as I pull together the thread. 👇
CandyRedPill🌹 retweeted
🚨🚨THE DEMOCRACY FILES, PART 3: AMERICA GETS THE FOREIGN-INTERVENTION TREATMENT 🚨
At what point does this become foreign interference of our elections?
To back up: the main group that Danielle Reiff and the other ex-USAID workers belongs to, Renew To Thrive (R2T) / Renew American Democracy (RAD) have an explicit strategy document. That strategy outlines "preparing for the worst" which includes the Insurrection Act or "election meltdown," and their goal is to get "structural reform" in place by that - a polite way of saying our Constitutional Republic has to be overhauled.
In July 2026, R2T/RAD invited foreign state actors to share experience with the American community, for the express purpose of operationalizing their expertise right here in the United States. All actors had experience in international community assisted transitions (I'll let you figure out what that is a code word for).
The disturbing part, though, is that all of the foreign actors' recommendations were implemented right here in America.
You may have seen news headlines like:
- Restore trust in processes
- Increased election security, increased legal presence at polls
- Democratic officials hold tabletop exercises
- Judges prepare for post-election challenges
To be clear, this video doesn't prove that this meeting specifically caused this cascade of escalations. But what it shows is that the democracy-promotion playbook the U.S. spent decades exporting, with situation rooms, observers at every polling place, prebunking and litigation paired with street mobilization, is now being run on America's own election. The same people are running it, and they're taking advice from the foreign actors the U.S. once backed.
Now when you look at officials talking about independent watchdogs or tabletop exercises... know that it's because they are now treating the United States midterms exactly the same as they'd treat elections in a third world country.
And I think more than a small part of them are hoping that it does become a self-fulfilling prophecy as it has in so many of those countries. (For context, my book Unelected documents that so-called "election meltdowns" are precursors to transitions of power via color revolution.)
CandyRedPill🌹 retweeted
🚨🚨THE DEMOCRACY FILES, PART 2: WHEN AND HOW TO DECLARE THE FEDERAL GOVERNMENT ILLEGITIMATE 🚨
Some questioned whether a group of 200 ex-USAID officials could actually pull off their ambitions to rewrite the Constitution.
Here, they describe exactly how it works. They aren't working alone.
The videos all come from Renew to Thrive (R2T) group and associates. Danielle Reiff and Paul Zeitz play key roles within R2T.
R2T sits inside a much, much larger umbrella called United Democracy Alliance (UDA), which is an extremely hush-hush control plane of leaders from major "blocking" NGOs such as 50501 and Indivisible fulfilling various functions. UDA decides when protests get deployed, timelines, how to respond, all that.
R2T's role within UDA is concerned with "the day after tomorrow" - in other words, their function is to conceive what a rewritten American government will look like after the rest of UDA fulfills its purpose. As will be shown, Erica Chenoworth is credited with conceiving UDA in the first place under the Horizons "Big Tent" initiative.
Note here that National Security Leaders for America (NSL4A) is credited for operationalizing UDA. NSL4A is a group of 1,600 ex-military, intelligence, and diplomatic officials. They are led by Rear Admiral Michael E. Smith (Ret). NSL4A also played a key role in the "illegal orders" messaging which targeted Pete Hegseth. Zeitz is also a member of NSL4A.
It must be emphasized that the choice of a military-oriented organization to coordinate NGOs across domestic protests is an interesting one all in itself - especially in an umbrella conceived by a regime change expert like Chenoworth.
You will have a hard time finding any mentions of UDA in the public. They are extremely hush-hush and selective who they talk to.
Mike Smith himself makes a personal appearance in other calls, coordinating Insurrection Act exercises and roleplaying with R2G as one of the participants.
As the audio transcript shows, they have outlined a sequence of "redlines" in which case the federal government should be declared illegitimate. Invoking the Insurrection Act against "peaceful" protesters is one of the most discussed redlines. I will post the illegitimate criteria below, but basically, almost any effective pushback against NGOs is a measure of illegitimacy according to them.
Important to understand:
The audio shows they shopped this idea around governors, but the reality is that governors do not have to explicitly sign on to the pact to play their role in the coup. All they have to do is refuse troops in their state and let UDA / R2G do the work of dissolving the federal government.
CandyRedPill🌹 retweeted
🚨🚨THE DEMOCRACY FILES, PART 1: THE PLAN 🚨
I am working on gathering all the documents.
Now, here's something to understand about the "democracy" and protest ecosystem: almost nobody knows the 'grand plan' so to speak. They simply agree to play a role.
For example, 99% of people breaking stuff on the streets believe they're doing it out of an organic uprising. They don't see that the police have been ordered to stand down. They don't see that legal services have already been arranged for them. They don't see that foundations are paying for their bonds.
Similarly here, governors aren't participating in a pact to destroy the Constitution. Governors simply have agreed to push back on the Insurrection Act. The effect is the same: the governors end up playing a role in a grander plan.
I call this "shared epistemology" in my book Unelected. Motivations differ, people rarely agree to the big evil supervillain framing, but incentives all converge in the same end goal.
No Kings might not agree to explicitly tear down the Constitution, but they nonetheless work with DSA and will turn out millions of people if the right phone call is put in.
Here is one articulation of the plan - and crucially, since then, they have put many NGOs in their places to execute their proper role at all levels when the time is right.
Many more coming.
CandyRedPill🌹 retweeted
🚨 BREAKING: Laura Ingraham just laid out what she says is the radical left's playbook to take down federal authority.
Per Ingraham, it goes like this. Flood the streets nationwide until Trump invokes the Insurrection Act.
Claim the military is committing abuses. Get the press to amplify every clip. Then blue state governors unite to override federal authority and rewrite the Constitution.
She says former Obama and Biden staffers, ex-USAID employees and community organizers are openly discussing it.
One former USAID staffer made it sound like utopia. "We're going to have to, if we want to live in peace and deeper democracy, reform our legal frameworks,"
They call it reform. It's a power grab with a nicer name.
CandyRedPill🌹 retweeted
🚨 WOW! President Trump and JD Vance are launching a $25 MILLION fund to pay Americans who expose fraud, to be revealed in the OVAL OFFICE today — Fox
It's called the "Fraud Whistleblower Incentive Program," and it'll be run by the DOJ 🔥
Minnesota's Feeding Our Future scheme alone stole about $250 million meant for kids. Imagine how much faster that gets caught when people who KNOW are incentivized to blow the wistle
This sends shivers down the spine of fraudsters! 🇺🇸
CandyRedPill🌹 retweeted
🚨 WOW: James Talarico just held a "Muslim Texan community" meet and greet in Irving, and look who was sitting at the table.
Masoud Khayyat, the coordinator of the DALLAS PALESTINE COALITION.
In 2017, Khayyat led a Dealey Plaza protest where the crowd chanted "From the river to the sea, Palestine will be free."
The organizer's own post thanks Talarico for "a great event" and calls him "the next US Senator from Texas."
Texas, this is who Talarico sits down with.
Early voting started today. Act accordingly.





















