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Partner with Chilly Bets and Pine Sports AI

Philadelphia, PA
Joined March 2011
Photo by Capper_KALE πŸ₯¬ (@Capper_Kale)Photo by Capper_KALE πŸ₯¬ (@Capper_Kale)Photo by Capper_KALE πŸ₯¬ (@Capper_Kale)Photo by Capper_KALE πŸ₯¬ (@Capper_Kale)Photo by Capper_KALE πŸ₯¬ (@Capper_Kale)Photo by Capper_KALE πŸ₯¬ (@Capper_Kale)Photo by Capper_KALE πŸ₯¬ (@Capper_Kale)Photo by Capper_KALE πŸ₯¬ (@Capper_Kale)Photo by Capper_KALE πŸ₯¬ (@Capper_Kale)Photo by Capper_KALE πŸ₯¬ (@Capper_Kale)
🚨 WEEK 9 DvP MATCHUPS 🚨 Went game-by-game through the slate and pulled out the biggest positional weaknesses to target for player props. QB rushing, RB volume, WR production and TE matchups are all covered. Save these sheets for your Week 9 research πŸ‘€ All #1 matchups πŸ‘‡πŸ‘‡πŸ‘‡
πŸ€– Made with AI
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πŸ€ NBA TOP-10 DEFENSIVE MATCHUPS πŸ”₯ Only 2 games on tonight's slate, but there are some VERY favorable matchups worth looking into for player props! πŸ‘€ πŸ“Š Breaking down the best matchups for: 🎯 Points πŸ€ Rebounds 🎯 Assists πŸ”₯ Threes Made πŸ“ˆ FGA / 3PA #1 = MOST allowed to that position this season. πŸ”₯ Jase Richardson has FIVE #1 matchups! πŸ”₯ Podziemski has SIX Top-10 matchups! πŸ”₯ Carter Jr. and Miles Bridges have multiple #1 rankings! FULL GAME-BY-GAME BREAKDOWN πŸ§΅πŸ‘‡
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πŸ€ WARRIORS @ HEAT β€” TOP-10 MATCHUPS πŸ”₯ πŸŒ‰ GSW vs MIA β€’ Podziemski: 3PM #1 | 3PA #2 | PTS #4 | FGA #4 | REB #8 | AST #8 β€’ Curry: PTS #3 | 3PM #3 | 3PA #7 β€’ Lendeborg: 3PM #3 | AST #5 | FGA #9 | 3PA #10 β€’ Will Richard: AST #2 β€’ Draymond: 3PM #10 πŸ”₯ MIA vs GSW β€’ Davion Mitchell: 3PA #3 | PTS #4 | FGA #4 | 3PM #7 | AST #8 β€’ Klay Thompson: AST #5 | FGA #8 | REB #9 | PTS #10 β€’ Giannis: PTS #7 | 3PM #8 πŸ‘€ Podziemski has 6 Top-10 matchups, including #1 in threes made!
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πŸ€ MAGIC @ SUNS β€” TOP-10 MATCHUPS πŸ”₯ πŸ”΅ ORL vs PHX β€’ Jase Richardson: PTS #1 | REB #1 | 3PM #1 | FGA #1 | 3PA #1 β€’ Wendell Carter Jr.: PTS #1 | REB #1 | FGA #1 | AST #4 β€’ Anthony Black: 3PM #5 β€’ Desmond Bane: AST #1 | REB #10 🟠 PHX vs ORL β€’ Miles Bridges: PTS #1 | FGA #1 | REB #8 | AST #8 β€’ Dillon Brooks: AST #6 β€’ Devin Booker: AST #2 | REB #5 β€’ Khaman Maluach: AST #5 πŸ”₯ Jase Richardson has FIVE #1 matchups! Carter Jr. and Bridges also have multiple #1 rankings.
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In case you missed it! ⏬⏬⏬
🚨🚨 Jaguars @ Ravens 🚨🚨 πŸ† Jaguars defense Allows 4th most passing yards to QB Allows 8th most completions to QB Allows 8th most receiving targets to RB Allows 6th most receptions to RB Allows MOST receiving yards to WR Allows 6th most receiving targets to WR Allows 5th most receptions to WR πŸ¦β€β¬› Ravens defense Allows 5th most receiving yards to WR Allows 7th most receptions to WR Allows 5th most receiving TDs to TE #DUUUVAL #RavensFlock
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🚨🚨 Jaguars @ Ravens 🚨🚨 πŸ† Jaguars defense Allows 4th most passing yards to QB Allows 8th most completions to QB Allows 8th most receiving targets to RB Allows 6th most receptions to RB Allows MOST receiving yards to WR Allows 6th most receiving targets to WR Allows 5th most receptions to WR πŸ¦β€β¬› Ravens defense Allows 5th most receiving yards to WR Allows 7th most receptions to WR Allows 5th most receiving TDs to TE #DUUUVAL #RavensFlock
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B Smithhhhhh 1H Bang! Now we climbbbb πŸͺœπŸͺœπŸͺœ
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Easiest Poly cash of all time 🏦🏦🏦 πŸ”— for $25 -> polymarket.us/squad/join/b6N…
CJ had 12 asst on 17 potentials last game when he was out, so a 3.5 line is something I have to buy. πŸš€πŸš€πŸš€ This is -250 on sports books now but -138 on Poly β€”> polymarket.us/squad/join/b6N… #polymarketpartner
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Can he do it again?!?
Lineup alert: Pacers will start Smith, Nembhard, Nesmith, Siakam, Zubac on Wednesday.
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Ohhhh
Lineup alert: Pacers will start Smith, Nembhard, Nesmith, Siakam, Zubac on Wednesday.
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Capper_KALE πŸ₯¬ retweeted
πŸ€ NBA TOP-10 DEFENSIVE MATCHUPS πŸ“Š 14 games. 7 DvP sheets. 95 players with at least one Top-10 matchup! πŸ”₯ Some #1 matchups worth investigating: β€’ Damian Lillard β€” PTS, REB, FGA, 3PA, PRA β€’ Ja'Kobe Walter β€” PTS, AST, FGA, 3PA, PRA β€’ Anthony Davis β€” REB, PRA β€’ Klay Thompson β€” AST, PRA β€’ Donovan Clingan β€” REB, PRA β€’ Ajay Mitchell β€” REB, FGA β€’ Isaiah Hartenstein β€” FGA, 3PA β€’ Kris Dunn β€” PTS, 3PA β€’ Derrick White β€” AST β€’ Lauri Markkanen β€” 3PA β€’ Evan Mobley β€” 3PA β€’ Jaime Jaquez Jr. β€” REB β€’ Cameron Boozer β€” AST β€’ Jaxson Hayes β€” AST β€’ Walker Kessler β€” PTS πŸ“Š Rankings are color-coded: 🟒 #1–3 | πŸ”΅ #4–6 | 🩷 #7–10 NEW: Added PRA (Points + Rebounds + Assists) to the sheets! If these sheets help, a LIKE or RT goes a long way! 🀝 #NBA #NBAProps
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Capper_KALE πŸ₯¬ retweeted
πŸ€ 100% HIT RATE PARLAY (+488) πŸ”₯ All 6 props have hit in EVERY game this season! βœ… Trae Young 8+ AST β€” 7/7 βœ… Tyrese Maxey 25+ P+A β€” 8/8 βœ… KAT 10+ REB β€” 7/7 βœ… Jayson Tatum 6+ AST β€” 7/7 βœ… Julius Randle 10+ R+A β€” 7/7 βœ… Zion Williamson 15+ PTS β€” 7/7 43/43 combined hit rates this season! 🎯 Added a 50% profit boost to get +488! Full matchup breakdown and supporting trends in the graphic below πŸ‘‡
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Capper_KALE πŸ₯¬ retweeted
πŸ€ 6-Leg DvP Parlay (+471) πŸ”₯ Targeting some of the BEST defensive matchups on tonight’s NBA slate! 🎯 Trae Young 25+ P+A β€’ ATL #8 vs Guard AST β€’ Facing his former team 🎯 Anthony Davis 8+ REB β€’ ATL #1 vs PF REB 🎯 NAW 2+ Threes β€’ WAS #2 vs Guard 3PA β€’ 7/8 hitting 2+ threes this season 🎯 Jalen Brunson 30+ P+A β€’ CHI #2 vs P+A β€’ CHI #1 in Pace β€’ CHI #1 vs AST β€’ 10/12 H2H hitting 30+ P+A 🎯 Darius Garland 25+ P+A β€’ MIA #2 vs Guard PTS β€’ MIA #2 vs Guard PRA 🎯 Damian Lillard 18+ PTS β€’ PHX #1 vs PG PTS β€’ PHX #29 vs Pull-Up Shooting β€’ PHX #25 vs Spot-Up Scoring A combination of favorable DvP matchups, strong hit rates and H2H trends. πŸ”₯ 30% Profit Boost β†’ +501
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Capper_KALE πŸ₯¬ retweeted
πŸ€ Landry Shamet OVER 1.5 Threes vs. CHI $25 Link πŸ”— polymarket.us/squad/join/b6N… πŸ“Š Shamet This Season * 2+ threes in 5/7 games (71%) * 3PM: 0, 2, 2, 3, 4, 0, 4 * Averaging 2.3 threes on 5.0 attempts * Averaging 24.9 minutes per game * 78% of his shot-type attempts are catch-and-shoot πŸ”₯ Josh Hart OUT β€” Opportunity Boost Hart is averaging 31.7 minutes per game and will miss his first game of the season tonight. That creates a significant opening in New York’s rotation, with Shamet among the candidates to absorb additional minutes or move into the starting lineup. Shamet is already coming off his best performance of the season against Brooklyn: * 22 points * 4/6 from three * 30 minutes * 6/8 from the field He has now made 4 threes in two of his last three games. 🎯 Matchup vs. Chicago Chicago’s defensive shooting-zone rankings include: * #27 in the perimeter shooting zone * #29 defending the left-side perimeter zone * #26 defending the opposite corner * #16 defending spot-up plays This is particularly interesting because spot-up opportunities account for 74% of Shamet’s play-type points (4.1 PPG). His offensive role revolves around spacing the floor and knocking down perimeter shots, and Chicago’s weaker shooting-zone rankings provide a favorable matchup. Minutes πŸ“ˆπŸ“ˆπŸ“ˆ Played 30 minutes last game and is AVG 24.5 minutes per game this season With Hart out I expect 25+ minutes With 25+ minutes he’s made 2-3 in 11 straight and 3+ threes in 6 straight
Lineup alert: Landry Shamet will start for injured Josh Hart on Wednesday, per coach Brown.
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CJ had 12 asst on 17 potentials last game when he was out, so a 3.5 line is something I have to buy. πŸš€πŸš€πŸš€ This is -250 on sports books now but -138 on Poly β€”> polymarket.us/squad/join/b6N… #polymarketpartner
Jalen Johnson (ankle) listed out Wednesday.
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πŸ€ Landry Shamet OVER 1.5 Threes vs. CHI $25 Link πŸ”— polymarket.us/squad/join/b6N… πŸ“Š Shamet This Season * 2+ threes in 5/7 games (71%) * 3PM: 0, 2, 2, 3, 4, 0, 4 * Averaging 2.3 threes on 5.0 attempts * Averaging 24.9 minutes per game * 78% of his shot-type attempts are catch-and-shoot πŸ”₯ Josh Hart OUT β€” Opportunity Boost Hart is averaging 31.7 minutes per game and will miss his first game of the season tonight. That creates a significant opening in New York’s rotation, with Shamet among the candidates to absorb additional minutes or move into the starting lineup. Shamet is already coming off his best performance of the season against Brooklyn: * 22 points * 4/6 from three * 30 minutes * 6/8 from the field He has now made 4 threes in two of his last three games. 🎯 Matchup vs. Chicago Chicago’s defensive shooting-zone rankings include: * #27 in the perimeter shooting zone * #29 defending the left-side perimeter zone * #26 defending the opposite corner * #16 defending spot-up plays This is particularly interesting because spot-up opportunities account for 74% of Shamet’s play-type points (4.1 PPG). His offensive role revolves around spacing the floor and knocking down perimeter shots, and Chicago’s weaker shooting-zone rankings provide a favorable matchup. Minutes πŸ“ˆπŸ“ˆπŸ“ˆ Played 30 minutes last game and is AVG 24.5 minutes per game this season With Hart out I expect 25+ minutes With 25+ minutes he’s made 2-3 in 11 straight and 3+ threes in 6 straight
Lineup alert: Landry Shamet will start for injured Josh Hart on Wednesday, per coach Brown.
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πŸ€ 6-Leg DvP Parlay (+471) πŸ”₯ Targeting some of the BEST defensive matchups on tonight’s NBA slate! 🎯 Trae Young 25+ P+A β€’ ATL #8 vs Guard AST β€’ Facing his former team 🎯 Anthony Davis 8+ REB β€’ ATL #1 vs PF REB 🎯 NAW 2+ Threes β€’ WAS #2 vs Guard 3PA β€’ 7/8 hitting 2+ threes this season 🎯 Jalen Brunson 30+ P+A β€’ CHI #2 vs P+A β€’ CHI #1 in Pace β€’ CHI #1 vs AST β€’ 10/12 H2H hitting 30+ P+A 🎯 Darius Garland 25+ P+A β€’ MIA #2 vs Guard PTS β€’ MIA #2 vs Guard PRA 🎯 Damian Lillard 18+ PTS β€’ PHX #1 vs PG PTS β€’ PHX #29 vs Pull-Up Shooting β€’ PHX #25 vs Spot-Up Scoring A combination of favorable DvP matchups, strong hit rates and H2H trends. πŸ”₯ 30% Profit Boost β†’ +501
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πŸ€ 1. Trae Young 25+ Points + Assists vs. ATL Really interesting spot for Trae facing his former team for the first time. Trae is averaging 29.9 P+A this season, clearing 25+ in 5/7 games (71%). He’s also averaging 10.0 assists per game, giving him multiple ways to reach this number. πŸ”₯ Atlanta Defensive Matchup: #8 in assists allowed to opposing guards Allowing 114.0 points per game Trae has recorded 8+ assists in 7/7 games The revenge-game narrative adds some intrigue, but the biggest selling point is his consistent playmaking. He’s already averaging 10 assists per game, meaning he only needs around 15 points to reach this target. Between his offensive responsibility, favorable assist matchup and first opportunity to face his former team, I like this spot for Trae. βΈ» πŸ€ 2. Anthony Davis 8+ Rebounds vs. ATL This is one of my favorite DvP matchups on the entire slip. AD is averaging 9.1 rebounds per game, clearing 8+ in 5/7 games this season. πŸ”₯ Atlanta Defensive Matchup: #1 in rebounds allowed to opposing PFs AD has grabbed 12, 9, 6, 10, 5, 13 and 9 rebounds 13 and 9 rebounds over his last two games Playing 34 minutes in each of his last two Atlanta has been extremely vulnerable on the glass against opposing power forwards, making this an excellent matchup for Davis. He’s recorded 8+ rebounds in five of seven games, and his recent minutes suggest he should have plenty of opportunities. With Atlanta ranking dead last in rebounds allowed to his position, AD 8+ rebounds is one of my favorite matchup-based targets tonight. βΈ» πŸ€ 3. Nickeil Alexander-Walker 2+ Threes vs. WAS Really like the perimeter matchup for NAW against a Washington defense that’s been giving up a ton of opportunities from deep. πŸ“Š NAW This Season: 2+ threes in 7/8 games (88%) Averaging 3.9 made threes Averaging 9.6 attempts per game Coming off 9/15 from deep vs. IND πŸ”₯ Washington Defensive Matchup: #2 in 3PA allowed to opposing guards NAW is averaging nearly 10 attempts per game Only needs 2 makes to clear this target The combination of NAW’s massive shot volume and Washington’s struggles limiting perimeter attempts makes this matchup particularly appealing. He’s attempted enough threes to give himself multiple chances to cash this number, and Washington’s defensive profile suggests another high-volume shooting opportunity. For me, this is one of the strongest consistency plays on the slip. βΈ» πŸ€ 4. Jalen Brunson 30+ Points + Assists vs. CHI Brunson gets a Chicago defense that has struggled containing opposing guards all season. πŸ“Š Brunson This Season: Averaging 29.9 P+A 30+ P+A in 4/7 games 24.6 PPG and 5.3 APG πŸ”₯ Chicago Defensive Matchup: #28 defending Points + Assists #30 in assists allowed #29 in overall defensive rating #1 in pace The historical matchup is even more encouraging. Brunson has recorded 30+ P+A in 10/12 games against Chicago (83%), averaging nearly 40 P+A across those meetings. He just faced the Bulls on October 28 and dropped 38 points and 7 assists (45 P+A). Chicago’s fast pace creates additional possessions, while its defensive struggles against opposing playmakers make this a favorable spot for Brunson. The current-season hit rate is only 4/7, but the DvP matchup and historical dominance make this a target I like.
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πŸ€ 5. Darius Garland 25+ Points + Assists vs. MIA Garland gets one of the better positional matchups on the slate against a Miami defense that has struggled defending opposing guards. πŸ“Š Garland This Season: Averaging 26.7 P+A 20.1 PPG and 6.6 APG 25+ P+A in 4/7 games Played 36 minutes last game πŸ”₯ Miami Defensive Matchup: #2 in points allowed to opposing guards #2 in PRA allowed to opposing guards Allowing 123.9 points per game The defensive matchup is the biggest reason I’m interested in Garland. Miami has consistently allowed substantial production to opposing guards, and Garland’s ability to contribute as both a scorer and facilitator gives him multiple ways to clear this target. His recent production has been inconsistent, clearing 25+ P+A in only two of his last five games, but the minutes are encouraging. If he continues seeing 35+ minutes, Miami’s defensive weaknesses could provide the opportunity for a bounce-back performance. βΈ» πŸ€ 6. Damian Lillard 18+ Points vs. PHX Really liking this matchup for Dame against a Phoenix defense that has struggled defending guards and perimeter scoring. πŸ“Š Dame This Season: 18+ points in 5/6 games (83%) Averaging 19.3 PPG Scoring totals: 25, 19, 21, 9, 22, 20 Averaging 2.8 threes per game πŸ”₯ Phoenix Defensive Matchup: #1 in points allowed to opposing PGs #30 in overall defensive rating #29 defending pull-up shooting #25 defending spot-up scoring #23 defending PnR ball handlers Dame already faced Phoenix on opening night and dropped 25 points in just 24 minutes, knocking down 6/10 from three. The matchup fits his offensive style extremely well. Phoenix has struggled defending pull-up jumpers and pick-and-roll ball handlers, two areas where Dame can generate his offense. He’s also reached at least 19 points in five of six games, meaning he’s been clearing the 18+ target pretty consistently. Between the elite DvP matchup, favorable shot-type defensive rankings and his previous performance against Phoenix, Dame 18+ points is one of my favorite legs tonight.
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πŸ€ 100% HIT RATE PARLAY (+488) πŸ”₯ All 6 props have hit in EVERY game this season! βœ… Trae Young 8+ AST β€” 7/7 βœ… Tyrese Maxey 25+ P+A β€” 8/8 βœ… KAT 10+ REB β€” 7/7 βœ… Jayson Tatum 6+ AST β€” 7/7 βœ… Julius Randle 10+ R+A β€” 7/7 βœ… Zion Williamson 15+ PTS β€” 7/7 43/43 combined hit rates this season! 🎯 Added a 50% profit boost to get +488! Full matchup breakdown and supporting trends in the graphic below πŸ‘‡
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πŸ€ NBA TOP-10 DEFENSIVE MATCHUPS πŸ“Š 14 games. 7 DvP sheets. 95 players with at least one Top-10 matchup! πŸ”₯ Some #1 matchups worth investigating: β€’ Damian Lillard β€” PTS, REB, FGA, 3PA, PRA β€’ Ja'Kobe Walter β€” PTS, AST, FGA, 3PA, PRA β€’ Anthony Davis β€” REB, PRA β€’ Klay Thompson β€” AST, PRA β€’ Donovan Clingan β€” REB, PRA β€’ Ajay Mitchell β€” REB, FGA β€’ Isaiah Hartenstein β€” FGA, 3PA β€’ Kris Dunn β€” PTS, 3PA β€’ Derrick White β€” AST β€’ Lauri Markkanen β€” 3PA β€’ Evan Mobley β€” 3PA β€’ Jaime Jaquez Jr. β€” REB β€’ Cameron Boozer β€” AST β€’ Jaxson Hayes β€” AST β€’ Walker Kessler β€” PTS πŸ“Š Rankings are color-coded: 🟒 #1–3 | πŸ”΅ #4–6 | 🩷 #7–10 NEW: Added PRA (Points + Rebounds + Assists) to the sheets! If these sheets help, a LIKE or RT goes a long way! 🀝 #NBA #NBAProps
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