@Charteddaily

Insights & visualisations on politics, economics and business.

 New Zealand
Joined January 2024
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2KMedia
Imagine how furious he must have been at the voter suppression in 2008, when not a single advance voting place in the country was open at any point over the Labour Day weekend! None were open on the Sunday before the election either. Just 11% (270k) of people voted early in 2008.
Charted Daily
@Charteddaily12h
Voting place opening hours at this election will be the third-highest of any NZ election ever, even with Labour Day's limited hours. Voting should also be smoother this year, with no enrolments while voting. Note that 2020 had special Covid measures and two extra days of voting.
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Worth noting that despite the terrible suppression, the 2008 election had the highest enrolment rate of the past 45 years (95.3%) and a voter turnout rate of 79.5% (vs 78.2% in 2023).
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The Stuff article the comments are from: stuff.co.nz/politics/3610511…

Former Speaker alleges Trump-style ‘voter suppression’ in NZ

Trevor Mallard says the Government is undertaking Trumpian “voter suppression”, with fewer polling stations and an early cut off for enrolment.

stuff.co.nz
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Very interesting results! It’s great that people are sharing their NZ election models and projections publicly (eg @Overhang_AoNZ and @dpfdpf). It must take a lot of work, and inevitably people will criticise you afterwards for the things you get wrong.
The Overhang@Overhang_AoNZ9h
Some of you aren't going to like this one:
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Voting place opening hours at this election will be the third-highest of any NZ election ever, even with Labour Day's limited hours. Voting should also be smoother this year, with no enrolments while voting. Note that 2020 had special Covid measures and two extra days of voting.
Trevor Mallard@WainuiTrevor13h
I always vote on the first day. Today is the first day of voting so I went to the Wainuiomata advance voting place at the hall. It is closed. A disgrace. Along with early roll closing it is looking like the voter suppression you expect from Trump or Hungary not here in Aotearoa.
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The Politician comic from The Press (via PapersPast), published 2 weeks before the 6 Nov 1993 election. It was an election involving a 1st-term govt, the same Labour & National leaders facing each other for the second election in a row, and controversy about an early roll cutoff.
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Driving through Mid Canterbury in 🇳🇿 can be a bit dull because it's so flat and mostly just farmland, but viewed from above, it's a constantly changing kaleidoscope of colours and shapes.
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Prior to the 2017 general election, you couldn't even lodge your enrolment form at an advance voting place, so there was little incentive to wait until the last minute to enrol. 2017 was administratively challenging, but election-day enrolment really ramped up the risks & costs.
Richard Hills@RichardHills_Oct 25
He fails to mention that for 40 years, New Zealanders have been able to enrol right up until midnight before election day. The last two elections we could even enrol on election day. It’s a massive backwards step that many people won’t know about until they try vote.
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The risks of allowing e-day enrolment were clearly articulated in this 2019 regulatory impact statement, and most subsequently materialised. The tens of millions in additional funding required to implement it in 2020-23 could otherwise have been spent on hospitals or schools.
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The number of NZ Super recipients will hit the one million milestone within the next nine months. Treasury projects that it will take less than 40 years to reach two million... For context, expenditure on NZ Super (net of tax) was NZ$20.6B in the year to June 2026.
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The enrolment rate at the 🇳🇿 election has already matched the final 2017 rate of 92.4%. It may exceed 93% since people can still enrol this weekend, and there'll be a backlog of enrolments to process. Youth enrolment is now at 69.9%, so could still pass the 72.3% level of 2017.
Charted Daily
@CharteddailyOct 12
There's still plenty of uncertainty, but the final overall enrolment rate at this NZ election looks like it could end up between 92% and 93%, similar to 2014 and 2017. The lowest final enrolment rate in the past 40 years was 91.1% in 1999, and the highest was 95.3% in 2008.
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The table is available at this page from the Electoral Commission providing daily enrolment updates: vote.nz/2026-general-electio…

Enrolment updates

Enrolment for the 2026 General Election closes at midnight, Sunday 25 October. It will take time to process all the enrolments and updates received by the deadline, including forms that arrive in the...

vote.nz
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Despite the cost of fuel, the number of regular bikes being imported to NZ remains well below the levels seen before 2023. E-bike and e-scooter imports continue to recover from their 2025 low, but the 62k units imported in the year to September were still well down on 2022.
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And it's a very similar story when looking at the rolling annual value of imports.
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It's interesting that Te Puni Kōkiri, the Ministry of Māori Development, still has a 2021 video on its website featuring gang leaders encouraging vaccination. Then-Minister Willie Jackson said "... they have a love for their people. It's good to see."
Charted Daily
@CharteddailyOct 22
New data shows 58% of gang-affiliated prisoners in NZ released in 2023/24 were reimprisoned within two years, much higher than the 39% of non-gang-affiliated prisoners. Meanwhile, Police report that over 25,000 charges were laid against gang members in the 20 months to June 2026.
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Screenshot from: tpk.govt.nz/en/mo-te-puni-ko…
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New data shows 58% of gang-affiliated prisoners in NZ released in 2023/24 were reimprisoned within two years, much higher than the 39% of non-gang-affiliated prisoners. Meanwhile, Police report that over 25,000 charges were laid against gang members in the 20 months to June 2026.
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Almost half of the prison population in NZ as of 30 June were either convicted of or charged with offences in one of these categories: - sexual assault and related offences (20%) - acts intended to cause injury (20%) - homicide and related offences (8%)
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The pattern looks like it’ll be very similar at the 2026 election, judging by this 1News chart based on 183k Vote Compass responses. The Māori electorates and the two Wellington city electorates stand apart from all other electorates. The Wellington bubble is alive and well.
Charted Daily
@CharteddailyAug 22
NZ's regional political leanings have been quite consistent in recent elections - starting from the most left-leaning: Māori electorates Wellington Chch & Dunedin Auckland NI urban (excl Welly & Auckland) SI rural NI rural TOP & Greens do especially well in Welly, Chch & Dunedin.
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An article with more detail about the analysis of the Vote Compass data is at: 1news.co.nz/2026/10/22/some-…

Some electorates lean a long way left or right – see where yours sits

New analysis from Vote Compass shows the political contrasts across the country - and why a party stronghold doesn’t tell the whole story.

1news.co.nz
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