I took over the projections for @FantasyPts two years ago We track our projection accuracy across all players on the DK Main Slate each week and compare to other major projection providers across the industry I had a strong first season in 2024 but not the best After a really strong Week 18 FantasyPoints finished the NFL regular season with the highest correlation of projected DK points to actual DK points Projections are really really good throughout the industry so the edges are minor but they can make a big difference in a singular week People think projections is largely just a model that spits out numbers but there is so much subjective stuff that goes into it. Coaching tendencies, depth chart moves, transactions, etc. all require a ton of time analyzing and deciding what is real and what is just noise Hope this helps put FantasyPoints on the map as a serious DFS content and data provider

I’ve been a big believer in Laporta being the 2nd most important skill player to their offense behind Amon-Ra St. Brown

Good overview of how an expert uses and navigates the FantasyPoints Data Suite 2.0

J.K. Dobbins posted an 18% success rate on 17 carries. Next lowest for a DEN RB is his own 33% in Week 5 That is the lowest success rate on 10+ carries in a single week this season Week 6 was the first week he had a RTE % above 20% (23.3%, min 10 snaps) It was also the first week he had a target share above 10% (11.1%, min 10 routes) Data via @FantasyPtsData

There have been 7 games of a Cardinals RB with 10+ carries this season The two highest single-week RYOE per carry belong to Bam Knight (+1.32 in Week 6) and Jeremiyah Love (+0.42 in Week 4) That is also Knight's only game with 10+ carries Data via @FantasyPtsData

Falcons 76.0% (38 of 50 plays) is the highest 11-personnel share and its EPA/play is the 3rd-worst of Tommy Rees's 15 games since 2025 Next highest share 2025 W15 vs CHI 62.5% Falcons get in trouble with their WR depth when they are forced to play more 11 personnel Via @FantasyPtsData

George Kittle's 0.31 TPRR on 26 routes was the highest by a 49ers WR/TE in a game this season Next highest for a 49ers WR/TE is his own 0.28 in Week 3 His 2.44 YPRR through 6 weeks is the highest of his 5 seasons in @FantasyPtsData history His previous high was 2.07 in 2024

Brock Purdy has the highest yards per aimed attempt of any QB since 2021 at 9.23 (min 500 aimed attempts). No one else is close He has the highest EPA per dropback of any QB since 2021 at 0.245 (min 500 dropbacks). No one else is close His 80.1% catchable ball rate through 6 weeks is the highest of his 4 seasons in @FantasyPtsData history His 9.67 YPC on scrambles through 6 weeks is the highest of his 4 seasons in @FantasyPtsData history

The Rams lost Davante Adams and meanwhile Puka Nacua has a league-high 3.28 YPRR and 0.34 TPRR since 2021 (min 500 routes) His 31.3% target share this season is the highest of his seasons He has a league-high 0.36 TPRR this season (min 90 routes) Data via @FantasyPtsData

The Raiders ran 12 personnel on 63.9% of plays, the highest rate of Klint Kubiak's 68 games as a playcaller Next closest was 61.4% in 2026 Week 5 vs NE They ran 11 personnel on 1.6% of plays, the lowest rate of Klint Kubiak's 68 games as a playcaller and 4th lowest all time for any team Data via @FantasyPtsData

The Packers RBs' 3.09 YPC is the lowest in @FantasyPtsData history Next closest was the 2021 Texans at 3.16 Their 1.72 yards after contact per carry is the 3rd lowest in @FantasyPtsData history Only the 2026 Lions and 2026 Texans are lower Josh Jacobs is supposed to return in Week 7

A new tool just went up for @FantasyPtsDataData Suite 2.0! Now you can find exact usage changes exactly when a player leaves a game. Select any players final logged snap, change in score, certain drives etc. Here is the link for how I pulled this Patriots backfield stat fantasypointsdata.com/play-s…

Bucky Irving handled 90% of the designed carries for the Bucs in Week 6 His highest ever designed carry share in his career in a single game It resulted in his 2nd lowest FP total and 8th lowest XFP in his career in games he had at least 10 carries Data via @FantasyPtsData

Week 6 was the first week Tommy Tremble had a target share above 10% (10.3%, min 10 routes) Darren Waller had his lowest target share (5.1%) in a single week in @FantasyPtsData history (min 10 routes) Tremble ran 5% more routes than Waller in Week 6 Waller seemed tied to Coker a bit When Coker is off the field Waller has a 61% route share compared to 43% with him on Tremble has a 43% route share with him on the field and 37% with him off

Drake Maye has the highest CPOE of any QB since 2021 at +7.3% (min 500 dropbacks). No one else is close He has a league-high 79.9% Adjusted Completion Rate since 2021 (min 500 dropbacks) He has a league-high +9.5% CPOE this season (min 110 attempts) Data via @FantasyPtsData

There have been 18 instances of a WR/TE running 25+ routes in a game for the Jets this season The two highest single week YPRRs are owned by Week 3 Kenyon Sadiq 4.20 Week 6 Omar Cooper 3.81 That is also each players only single week of running 25+ routes Data via @FantasyPtsData

Week 6 was the first week KC Concepcion had a TPRR below 20% (17%) It was also the first week Denzel Boston had a YPRR below 1.0 (0.45) This was Jerry Jeudy's highest YPRR in a single week (2.56) since 2024 Week 15 when he had 3.0 YPRR Data via @FantasyPtsData

When Rashod Bateman left the game for the Ravens this week it was Devontez Walker who saw the biggest bump in playing time. Not Ja'Kobi Lane Walker ran 94% of routes after Bateman left while Lane went from 42% of routes to 68% While Lane was playing more prior to Bateman leaving it seems Walker may be their answer to fill Bateman's role Data via @FantasyPtsData

TreVeyon Henderson had his last snap for the Patriots at Q3 2:20 Corey Kiner had not played a snap before that. After that he played 50% of the snaps and handled 73% of the designed carries He posted a 90% success rate on 11 carries. Next highest for a NE RB is 54% by Rhamondre Stevenson in Week 4 That is the highest success rate on min 10 carries in a single week this season Data via @FantasyPtsData

Everything I do for our projections comes from here first There’s no situation you can’t dig into and find an answer to what or why it happened or will happen again

After the hot start to the season for Kalif Raymond of posting 0.53, 0.25, and 0.29 TPRR he has now posted 3 straight week of sub 0.17 TPRR 2 of the past 3 week have only aimed target shares of 6% Both those weeks are the only 2 weeks Colston Loveland has had over a 20% target share Data via @FantasyPtsData