Geopolitical Analyst | Syria, Iran, Kurdish & MENA Affairs Wrote "From Flames to Fame" - performed to 1M in Damascus @CapitolInstitut | ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ด/๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฑ | DM for media

Sverige
Joined August 2019
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๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ In a recent New York Times opinion piece, Saudi Ambassador Reema Bandar Al-Saud @rbalsaud made a striking comparison between the fight against ISIS and the challenge posed by the terrorist Houthis: โ€œISIS was defeated by local forces backed by a coalition of more than 80 nations. The Houthis can be defeated the same way. It is Yemenโ€™s fight to lead.โ€ Back in 2014โ€“2015, when ISIS was tearing through Iraq and Syria, the world didnโ€™t just throw together a military coalition. What happened was a rare alignment of self-interest. Countries that normally disagreed on almost everything recognized that the cost of doing nothing was higher than the cost of cooperating. The Houthis, a terrorist group, have demonstrated capabilities that pose regional and international security concerns, with Iranian support playing a significant role. Theyโ€™ve launched more than a thousand ballistic missiles and drones at Saudi Arabia. Theyโ€™ve threatened the Bab al-Mandab Strait, a critical chokepoint for global trade. Their activities have also raised concerns about weapons proliferation, regional militancy, and the recruitment and indoctrination of children. A disruption to Saudi energy production or export routes could raise fuel, transport, and manufacturing costs worldwide, feeding inflation and squeezing households and businesses far beyond the region. With ISIS, the death toll and refugee waves hit European and American communities hard enough to force the issue. Much of the human cost of the Houthi threat, by contrast, has fallen on Yemenis and Saudis, while many foreign capitals continue to treat it as a regional problem. Sheโ€™s not just saying we need another coalition of more than 80 nations. Sheโ€™s pointing to a lesson from the fight against ISIS: international cooperation becomes possible when enough countries recognize that the threat extends beyond any single region. By the time a major disruption to shipping drives up prices for consumers in Chicago or Hamburg, or advances in missile technology create a more immediate threat to distant countries, the cost of responding could be much higher. Saudi Arabia is working with Yemeni partners, helping counter weapons smuggling, restricting financial channels, and providing humanitarian assistance. Countries should designate the Houthis as a terrorist organization, cut off their funding, intercept weapons shipments at sea, and strengthen support for Yemenโ€™s legitimate government. Saudi Arabia has a legitimate interest in defending its people and territory and preventing Yemen from becoming a permanent platform for cross-border attacks and regional instability. At the same time, lasting security cannot be built on military pressure alone. It requires a viable Yemeni state, functioning institutions, humanitarian relief, and a political future in which Yemenis, not armed factions backed by outside powers, determine their countryโ€™s direction. Any effective response must be coordinated, grounded in international law, attentive to civilian protection, and paired with a credible path toward peace. Saudi Arabia should not have to wait for the rest of the world to feel the danger before that danger is acknowledged. Saudi Arabiaโ€™s security, regional security, Yemenโ€™s stability, global energy security, and the freedom of international navigation are inseparable parts of that challenge. PEACE IS NEVER SECURED BY IGNORING THE THREAT.
The terrorist Houthi militias have shown the world what they are capable of. Their threat extends far beyond Saudi Arabia and Yemen. In @nytopinion, I explain why the international community can no longer afford to underestimate them. nytimes.com/2026/10/27/opiniโ€ฆ
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Bedouin on the way to vote in the Negev
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๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท The Tehran visit by Saudi Defence Minister Prince Khalid bin Salman @kbsalsaud ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ, alongside Pakistanโ€™s Asim Munir ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฐ and Tรผrkiyeโ€™s Ibrahim Kalฤฑn ๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ท, is an effort to avert renewed war between the United States ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ, Israel and Iran and protect the region from its consequences. โ€” This visit supports Qatari and Pakistani mediation and gives Iran a last chance to prevent a wider war that could engulf Iran, the Gulf states and the wider region, including countries without borders with Iran. โ€” Saudi Arabia, Tรผrkiye and Pakistan will defend their people, territory and critical infrastructure. An Iranian attack on any member would trigger the Mecca Pactโ€™s collective defence commitments to safeguard their countries and regional security. โ€” I believe this visit had nothing to do with the Houthis, and they were not on the meetingโ€™s agenda. They are a terrorist militia with no value or strategic weight, even to Iran. โ€” Renewed war without a credible plan to contain escalation could send shocks through energy markets, shipping and global trade. Preventing that outcome requires serious diplomacy and a clear readiness to respond to aggression. ๐Ÿ”ด Mohammed Alhamed
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The Houthi threat to the Red Sea is more than a decade old, built with Iranian weapons and guidance. Its victims are civilian mariners of many nations, and the economies it damages include those of East Africa, Egypt, Jordan, Israel, and Europe. With Hormuz disrupted, the Red Sea is increasingly important to global energy markets; an attack there is an attack on every economy that depends on that route. This month, Houthi missiles struck Riyadhโ€™s airport, killing travelers and workers of at least eight nationalities, an American among them, and wounding hundreds more, pilgrims bound for Mecca among them. To leave this fight to Saudi Arabia alone would be a failure of collective security. There is no world order worth the name if its members will not stand together against those who attack it most violently and openly declare they will continue.
Today's #MustRead from the Saudi ambassador to the United States: "The Houthis have no red lines. There is no limit to what they will inflict on those they call enemies. They compel students as young as 10 to chant 'Death to America' and send thousands of children into combat. The radical indoctrination must be stopped." nytimes.com/2026/10/27/opiniโ€ฆ
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Britainโ€™s Foreign Office has updated its travel advisories for 15 countries, including Israel, Iran, Iraq, Syria, Saudi Arabia, the UAE and Qatar, warning of Iranian, US- and Israeli-linked strikes, Saudi-Houthi strikes, and risk of sudden flight cancellations and widespread travel disruptions.
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The terrorist Houthi militias have shown the world what they are capable of. Their threat extends far beyond Saudi Arabia and Yemen. In @nytopinion, I explain why the international community can no longer afford to underestimate them. nytimes.com/2026/10/27/opiniโ€ฆ
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Damascus really needs to calm things down! Syria cannot afford a needless confrontation with Jordan, especially while ISIS and other jihadist networks remain a threat! There is far too much misinformation flying around about Mondayโ€™s airstrikes. First of all, look at the pictures published by Syriaโ€™s own state media, SANA. They show destroyed buildings and houses, alongside tents and temporary shelters. The strikes hit structures and buildings, not simply tents as some claims suggest. We need to look at the actual targets and establish the facts. Jordan says it killed around 20 ISIS militants. Other reports claim that children and a woman were among those killed. These are serious allegations, and we still need a clear picture of how many civilians were killed and how many ISIS members were eliminated. But letโ€™s be precise. The civilian casualties must be investigated, but they do not automatically mean the entire operation was unjustified! And here is the double standard: when Jordan struck Israeli-backed drug cartels in Suwayda, many applauded. Now, after a deadly attack on Jordanโ€™s Christian community, Jordan launches an anti-terror operation against suspected ISIS targets, and suddenly the Kingdom is being portrayed as Syriaโ€™s enemy?! Think about that for a moment! I have far more confidence in Jordanian intelligence than in Syriaโ€™s at this stage. Syria is still rebuilding after years of war, with fragmented security structures, organized crime and jihadist networks. What Damascus has achieved so far is impressive, but establishing real state control and reliable intelligence takes time. Jordan is not Syriaโ€™s enemy, and it has no interest in becoming one! It did not send its air force into Syria simply because it could. It was an anti-terror operation following a major terrorist attack against Jordanโ€™s Christian community. That does not mean civilian casualties should be brushed aside. Investigate what happened, establish the facts and address any failures. But do not turn this into a political crisis that benefits jihadists and those who want to destabilize the region! Syria and Jordan need cooperation, not hostility. They need stronger border security, better intelligence-sharing and a united front against jihadism! Damascus should be working to make that happen- not inflaming tensions with a neighbouring Kingdom that has every reason to want a secure and stable Syria!
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"Arabs vote same as Israelis" - Who will tell him?
Today is election day in Israel, which is a national holiday. All voting is in person, ID required. No mail-in or absentee ballots. Arabs vote same as Israelis. Contentious process, but it's a democracy-not many of those in this region!
Readers added context they thought people might want to know
The Arab voters are Israeli citizens. Listing them in contrast to Israelis is misconstruing the facts. en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Arab_citiโ€ฆ cfr.org/backgrounders/โ€ฆ
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"We have seen a range of incidents in recent months โ€‹that we believe have been directed by the โ€‹Iranian state โ and, as the Director General of MI5 said just the other week, we are working together to intervene, identify and respond to that threat." reuters.com/world/uk/uk-prosโ€ฆ
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Iranโ€™s tentacles reach deep into the Gulf! Kuwaitโ€™s Criminal Court has sentenced Hussein Abdullah Al-Matouq, Hassan Abdulhadi Hajieh and Abdulreza Haidar Dehqani to death over a plot to assassinate Kuwaitโ€™s First Deputy PM and Interior Minister, involving espionage for Iran and links to Hezbollah. Six suspects confessed to espionage and terrorist activities, including assassination training. Five were Kuwaiti citizens. Another 14 suspects were identified abroad, including Kuwaiti, Lebanese and Iranian nationals. This is not just Kuwaitโ€™s problem. Iranโ€™s intelligence networks and proxy militias threaten the sovereignty, security and stability of the entire Gulf. The region cannot afford to underestimate this threat.
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Jordanian Communications Minister: We regret the civilian casualties in the airstrikes on ISIS sites in Syria
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Jordan has bombed Syria in the name of counterterrorism following Fridayโ€™s horrific attack on Christian mourners in Karak. Nine people were killed and dozens injured. Nobody should minimise that atrocity. But the response raises serious questions that cannot be ignored. Jordan says the terrorists behind the Karak massacre were connected to terrorist networks in southern Syria and that its airstrikes were coordinated with Damascus. The Syrian government says otherwise: no prior coordination took place, and the strikes killed civilians, including children. These conflicting accounts matter. Fighting terrorism cannot become a justification for ignoring Syrian sovereignty or the lives of innocent people. Letโ€™s be honest about the bigger picture. Damascus still struggles to establish effective control over southern Syria, where armed factions, smuggling networks and criminal groups exploit the security vacuum. Israelโ€™s expanding military footprint and its support for separatist armed actors and drug cartels are part of this equation. A fragmented, unstable southern Syria is far easier to manipulate than a sovereign state capable of securing its own borders. Israel benefits strategically when Syria remains divided and unable to establish full control over its territory. We must also recognise how extremist Salafi networks can be manipulated by outside actors. When ideological fervour takes precedence over strategic interests, groups become vulnerable to anyone who speaks their language and exploits their convictions. We have already seen how ideological narratives are weaponised on social media! These dynamics cannot be ignored. The answer is not more chaos. It is stronger Syrianโ€“Jordanian security cooperation! Intelligence-sharing, coordinated border operations and a serious crackdown on terrorism and smuggling are essential. Damascus and Amman must build trust, establish clear mechanisms for joint action and prevent outside actors from exploiting the security vacuum to advance their own agendas. Jordan has a legitimate responsibility to protect its citizens. Syria has an equally legitimate right to protect its sovereignty and its people. These interests should reinforce one another, not become another source of conflict. My thoughts and prayers are with the innocent children killed in the Jordanian airstrikes, their families and everyone affected. They should never have paid the price for the failures, rivalries and ambitions of others. Southern Syria needs security, sovereignty and stability- not another cycle of violence.
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ู…ุดู‡ุฏ ู…ุจูƒูŠ ูˆู…ุคุซุฑ: ุฃุจ ู…ู† ุชุนุฒ ูŠุนูˆุฏ ุฅู„ู‰ ุฃูˆู„ุงุฏู‡ ููŠ ุงู„ู…ุฏูŠู†ุฉ ุจุนุฏ ุฃู† ุญุงุตุฑุชู‡ ู…ูŠู„ูŠุดูŠุงุช ุฅูŠุฑุงู† 21 ูŠูˆู… ูˆูŠุฌู‡ุด ุจุงู„ุจูƒุงุก ูˆู‡ูˆ ูŠุญุชุถู† ุฃุทูุงู„ู‡.
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Syrian civilians have been killed in Jordanโ€™s airstrikes on ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡พ's Daraa. Conflicting accounts of prior coordination are troubling between close neighbors with regular engagement at the highest levels. Both governments need to clarify what happened. 1/5
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"ู…ุณูƒู†ุงู‡ู… ูˆู‡ุฐู‡ ู„ูŠุณุช ุงู„ู†ู‡ุงูŠุฉ".. ุงู„ู…ู„ูƒ ุงู„ุฃุฑุฏู†ูŠ ุนุจุฏุงู„ู„ู‡ ุงู„ุซุงู†ูŠ ูŠูˆุงุณูŠ ุงุจู†ุฉ ุงู„ู…ุญุงุถุฑ ุงู„ุฃูƒุงุฏูŠู…ูŠ ุนุงุตู… ุจุฑู‚ุงู† ุฃุญุฏ ุถุญุงูŠุง ุงู„ู‡ุฌูˆู… ููŠ ุงู„ูƒุฑูƒ
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ุงู„ูŠูˆู… ุชู… ุฅุบู„ุงู‚ ู…ุนุจุฑ ู†ุตูŠุจ ุงู„ุญุฏูˆุฏูŠ ู…ุน ุงู„ุฃุฑุฏู† ุงู„ุญูุงุธ ุนู„ู‰ ุงู„ุนู„ุงู‚ุงุช ุงู„ุณูˆุฑูŠุฉ ุงู„ุฃุฑุฏู†ูŠุฉ ุทุฑูŠู‚ู‡ ูˆุงุถุญ.. ุงู„ุงุนุชุฑุงู ูˆุงู„ุชุญู‚ูŠู‚ ูˆุงู„ู…ุญุงุณุจุฉ ูˆุงู„ุงุนุชุฐุงุฑ ูˆุถู…ุงู† ุนุฏู… ุงู„ุชูƒุฑุงุฑ
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Quite a constructive proposal... But is it doable? Is it too late? Have the Houthis become too radicalized?
ู…ุนู„ูˆู…ุงุช ู…ุชุฏุงูˆู„ุฉ: ุชู‚ุฏู… ุงู„ูŠูˆู… ุงู„ุณููŠุฑ ุงู„ุนู…ุงู†ูŠ ููŠ ุฃู†ู‚ุฑุฉ ุจู…ู‚ุชุฑุญ ุทู„ุจ ูˆุณุงุทุฉ ุชู‚ุฏู…ู‡ ุชุฑูƒูŠุง ู„ู„ุฌุงู†ุจ ุงู„ุณุนูˆุฏูŠ ูŠุชู…ุซู„ ุจุงู„ุงุชูŠ : 1/ ุงู†ุณุญุงุจ ุงู„ุญูˆุซูŠูŠู† ุฅู„ู‰ ุตุนุฏุฉ ู…ู† ุฌู…ูŠุน ุงู„ู…ุญุงูุธุงุช 2/ ุชูƒูˆู† ุตุนุฏุฉ ุชุญุช ุฅุฏุงุฑุชู‡ู… ูˆุชุตุฑูู‡ู… 3/ ูŠุนุชุจุฑ ุงู„ุญูˆุซูŠูŠู† ู…ูƒูˆู† ุณูŠุงุณูŠ ู„ู‡ 30% ู…ู† ุงู„ุฅูŠุฑุงุฏุงุช ุงู„ุญูƒูˆู…ูŠุฉ ูˆุงู„ู…ู†ุงุตุจ ุงู„ูˆุฒุงุฑูŠุฉ 4/ุจุฑู†ุงู…ุฌ ุงุนุงุฏุฉ ุงุนู…ุงุฑ ุฏูˆู„ูŠ ู„ู„ูŠู…ู† ุจุฑุนุงูŠุฉ ุฎู„ูŠุฌูŠุฉ 5/ุชูˆู‚ู ุงู„ุญูˆุซูŠูŠู† ุงูŠ ู‡ุฌู…ุงุช ุนู„ู‰ ุงู„ู…ู…ู„ูƒุฉ
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Yesterday, I received some harsh reactions to my post about Syriaโ€™s โ€œnewโ€ curriculum. So let me explain where Iโ€™m coming from. I want whatโ€™s best for Syria. I want the country to become part of a modern, prosperous world, with progress, opportunity and dignity for all Syrians! Education is fundamental to that future. And honestly, I struggle to see how the new curriculum, with its emphasis on religious indoctrination, represents meaningful progress. Thatโ€™s my opinion. But let me be clear: Syriaโ€™s future belongs to Syrians. Outsiders like myself can express our views, but ultimately it is the Syrian people who must decide what kind of country they want to build. As @ReemRifai_ points out, this is an internal Syrian debate. And the fact that Syrians can now challenge government decisions and criticise the curriculum without automatically facing the kind of torture and repression associated with the Assad regime is, in itself, real progress. That freedom matters. It must be protected. Yesterday, I also argued that Syriaโ€™s pluralistic society is a strength. Let me explain why I believe that. The Assad regime exploited sectarian and ethnic divisions to maintain power. It used Alawites and other minorities within its system of rule to help suppress the Sunni Arab majority. At the same time, the regime also targeted minorities when it suited its interests. The Arab Belt policy in Kurdish areas is one example. The result was a country in which mistrust and division became deeply entrenched. Look at Syriaโ€™s ethnic and sectarian geography, including in major cities such as Damascus, and you can see how communities often became concentrated in different areas. These patterns have multiple historical causes, but the conflict, repression and displacement of the Assad era further damaged the bonds between communities. You cannot build a unified nation by perpetuating the divisions that helped destroy it. Every Syrian should be equal before the state, regardless of ethnicity, religious belief or sect. That means building a shared Syrian identity based on citizenship, common responsibility and national belonging. This is why I believe Damascus should put far greater emphasis on civic patriotism and Syrian national identity, and far less on religious indoctrination in schools! A curriculum that elevates one religious identity above others risks creating a hierarchy in which Sunni Islam becomes the default national identity and everyone else is treated as somehow less Syrian. That would be a serious mistake! It would risk replacing one sectarian power structure with another rather than breaking the cycle altogether. Syria does not need a new version of the old system, with different people at the top and the same divisions underneath. It needs modern textbooks that teach critical thinking, science, history and mutual respect. It needs schools that prepare children for the world they will actually live in, not indoctrinate them into a narrower ideological identity. Above all, it needs a government that sends a clear message to every child in Syria: the era in which the state exploited sectarian and ethnic divisions to maintain power must be over. This is a new chapter, and it belongs to all Syrians - Sunni, Alawite, Druze, Christian, Kurd, Arab, Assyrian, Turkmen and everyone else. I know this will not happen overnight. Rebuilding trust after decades of authoritarian rule and years of war will take many years of serious work. But if Syria genuinely wants to heal, rebuild and prosper, it must create a country in which no child is taught that their sect makes them more Syrian than their neighbour. That is the kind of Syria I want to see. Not a Syria defined by religious or ethnic divisions, but a confident, modern nation in which diversity is a strength and citizenship unites everyone. That is my humble opinion. And I believe it is a debate worth having.
Should be clarified for opportunists that want to exploit this for their agendas, this is an internal Syrian debate. One we are allowed to have for the first time. One we are allowed to criticize and not be thrown into a torture chamber. A Syrian internal discussion is not an opportunity for anyone to push their own agendas while Syrians suffered indescribably and were abandoned for agendas. A note from a Syrian refugee child many years ago:
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I have so much respect for Bishop Mar Mari Emmanuel. In a time where so much of Christianity has devolved into partisan politics and or shallow, commercialized fluff, his sermons hit with the raw, uncompromising weight of the Early Church Fathers. He speaks truth without apologizing, and thatโ€™s why so many of us are drawn to him. Thatโ€™s why seeing this news today made me genuinely happy: St. Georgeโ€™s Parish in Jรถnkรถping, Sweden (Ancient Church of the East) has officially affiliated with Christ The Good Shepherd Church under Bishop Mar Mariโ€™s spiritual guidance. What I respect most about this move is that it isnโ€™t about chasing novelty. Their ancient liturgy, doctrine, and holy feast days remain 100% untouched, while maintaining full respect for Patriarch Mar Gewargis III Younan.
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๐Œ๐ข๐œ๐ก๐š๐ž๐ฅ ๐€๐ซ๐ข๐ณ๐š๐ง๐ญ๐ข retweeted
ููŠ ู‚ุงุฆุฏ ุจูŠูุฑู‚ ุนู† ู‚ุงุฆุฏ.. ูˆููŠ ุญูƒูˆู…ุฉ ุจุชูุฑู‚ ุนู† ุญูƒูˆู…ุฉ.. ูˆููŠ ุงุฌู‡ุฒุฉ ุงู…ู†ูŠุฉ ุจุชูุฑู‚ ุนู† ุงุฌู‡ุฒุฉ ุงู…ู†ูŠุฉโ€ฆ ู†ูŠุงู„ ุงู„ุงุฑุฏู† ูˆุงู‡ู„ู‡ ุงู„ุทูŠุจูŠู† ุจุฌู„ุงู„ุฉ ุงู„ู…ู„ูƒ ๐Ÿซก ูˆุงู„ู ุฑุญู…ุฉ ุนู„ู‰ ู†ููˆุณ ุงู„ุงุจุฑูŠุงุก ุงู„ุฐูŠู† ุณู‚ุทูˆุง ุจุบุฏุฑ ุงู„ุธู„ุงู…ูŠูŠู† ูˆุงู„ุชุทุฑู.
ุญุงู„ุฉ ุงู„ุฅุฑู‡ุงุจูŠูŠู† ุงู„ุซู„ุงุซุฉุŒ ุณูŠุฆุฉุŒ ูˆูู‚ ูˆุฒูŠุฑ ุงู„ุฏุงุฎู„ูŠุฉ ู…ุงุฒู† ุงู„ูุฑุงูŠุฉ. ูˆุฃูˆุถุญุŒ ุฃู† ุนู…ู„ูŠุงุช ุงู„ุจุญุซ ูˆุงู„ุชู…ุดูŠุทุŒ ู‚ุงุฏุช ุฅู„ู‰ ุงู„ุชุนุฑู ุนู„ู‰ ู…ูƒุงู† ุชูˆุงุฌุฏ ุงู„ุฅุฑู‡ุงุจูŠูŠู† ุฏุงุฎู„ ู…ู†ุฒู„ ู…ู‡ุฌูˆุฑ ููŠ ู‚ุฑูŠุฉ ุงู„ุฌุฏูŠุฏุฉ ุงู„ู‚ุฑูŠุจุฉ ู…ู† ุจู„ุฏุฉ ุญู…ูˆุฏ ููŠ ู…ุญุงูุธุฉ ุงู„ูƒุฑูƒุŒ ูˆุจุงู„ุชุนุงู…ู„ ู…ุนู‡ู… ุฑูุถูˆุง ุชุณู„ูŠู… ุงู†ูุณู‡ู…ุŒ ู…ุง ุงุถุทุฑ ุฅู„ู‰ ุงู„ุชุนุงู…ู„ ู…ุนู‡ู… ูˆุงู„ุงุดุชุจุงูƒ ู„ุณุงุนุงุช ุนุฏุฉ. ูˆู…ู† ุงู„ู…ู†ุชุธุฑ ุฃู† ุชุนู„ู† ุงู„ุญูƒูˆู…ุฉ ุงู„ู…ุนู„ูˆู…ุงุช ุงู„ู…ูุตู„ุฉ ู„ู„ุนู…ู„ูŠุฉ ููŠ ู…ุคุชู…ุฑ ุตุญููŠ ุตุจุงุญ ุงู„ูŠูˆู… ุงู„ุงุซู†ูŠู†. #ุงู„ุฃุฑุฏู† #ุงู„ูƒุฑูƒ
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