Creator of proprietary long-range methods 🌦 Weather: Long Range Forecasting 📈 Markets: Bitcoin • Metals •

Australia
Joined December 2011
🚨 OI. YOU. YES, YOU! 👀 For 48 hours: 30% OFF your first year of Weather Pro Plus or Weather Gold, with the Cynoptec Climate Intelligence Model. ⏰ Ends Wednesday at midnight. 👉 cynoptec.com/flash-sale?utm_… Eligible new and returning members. Terms apply. #FlashSale #KnowTheFuture
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Severe thunderstorm east and offshore of Ballina NSW 26.10.2026 7pm
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Cynoptec retweeted
Probably our earliest ever harvest with a very dry spring till today
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October scorecard, 25 days in: forecast on the left, recorded on the right. Every Cynoptec monthly outlook is published in actual millimetres, district by district, and locked before the month begins. No probabilities to hide behind or quiet revisions. Then our Outlook vs Actual page scores it daily against recorded Bureau of Meteorology station data, both maps on the same colour scale so your eye does the judging. The standout: before October began, we called an exceptionally wet month through the interior, with several pastoral districts forecast at more than three times their October average. Twenty five days in, those districts are recording 324 to 446 percent of average. A 300 percent call, made in millimetres and locked in advance, verifying in the 300s and 400s, is the kind of result this system was built for. Across the rest of the country: the west, a close hit. The west interior, a close hit. The Northern Territory, a close hit. South Australia, a close hit. Queensland and New South Wales have run wetter than forecast, with the biggest overshoots in drought affected areas of the east, exactly where above forecast rain is most welcome. With more rain closing out the month, the remaining southeast gaps are likely to finish near expected while the eastern drought districts finish well above. On the misses, perspective about scale: where a district has missed, the gap is often within 10 mm of the forecast range. The larger gaps have come from localised flooding rain, single storm totals that lift one gauge far beyond what the district as a whole received. Committing to district rainfall in millimetres, months ahead, then publishing the verification in public, is the hardest challenge in long-range forecasting. It is a benchmark very few in the industry attempt, and we are clearing it month after month. Explore the outlooks, out to December 2027: cynoptec.com/dashboard/clima… Cynoptec - Know the Future™
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Most long-range outlooks tell you the odds. Ours tells you the millimetres, then marks its own homework. Seasonal forecasts are usually issued as probabilities or anomaly categories: a 65 percent chance of above median, a lean to wetter. Useful, but hard to plan a season around, and even harder to verify in a way a farmer can see. Cynoptec publishes its monthly outlook in actual rainfall, district by district, locked before the month begins. Then our Outlook vs Actual page scores it daily against recorded Bureau of Meteorology station data, side by side on the same colour scale, where every member can watch it verify or miss. Here is October 2026 to the 24th. The east has run wetter than our outlook, while the west, interior north and south are tracking within expectations. Totals to the 25th update tonight, automatically. Forecasting in millimetres is a higher bar than forecasting in probabilities. We hold ourselves to it because that is the number a sowing, spraying or harvest decision actually needs, and because a forecast you can score is a forecast you can trust. Explore the outlooks, out to December 2027: cynoptec.com/dashboard/clima… Cynoptec - Know the Future™
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New tools just landed in Climate Intelligence. The Live Models panel has had its biggest upgrade yet. You can now run the world’s two leading weather models side by side, ECMWF and NOAA GFS, across the full set of views: rain, pressure, thickness, winds at three levels, temperatures, dewpoint, storm potential, mid-level moisture and more. One click flips between models on identical scales, so you can see where they agree and where they split. And the one we think farmers will use every day: the new Location plot. Type your town, press Enter, and get a 10-day daily rainfall chart showing ECMWF, GFS and the two-model average for your exact spot. No more reading maps to find your place. It all updates itself twice a day from the latest global runs, and the Outlook vs Actual page keeps scoring our monthly outlook against recorded rain as the month unfolds. Cynoptec - Know the Future™
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⚠️‼️Look out! We just got magnetic level 7+ alerts from magnetometers around the world! Something big may be about to happen. Moon just crossed the Eurasian Plate to the Indian Plate and Antipode crossed to the Nazca Plate. Could be an upcoming solar flare or a big earthquake. The M 5.2 quake in Afghanistan does not seem to be big enough to be the resolution of these alerts.
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350mm effective rainfall, 160 units of nitrogen, 27 bales to the ha... 😬 Cheers Kevin Scott for the bailing job! Wasn't getting far between bails 😅
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The headwaters of the Maranoa River are on the move! 🌧️ Not everyone gets to witness the incredible sight of rain turning into flowing rivers across the Queensland countryside. It’s one of those special sights that reminds us just how amazing life in the bush can be!
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Are we relying too heavily on climate indicators? New research in the Journal of Climate found that ENSO, the IOD and SAM combined explain up to about 45% of Australia’s seasonal rainfall variability, and that is in the regions and seasons where their influence is strongest. Across most of the country and most of the year, it is considerably less. More than half of what actually falls is driven by something else. Yet El Niño and La Niña still dominate the seasonal conversation, and industries that live and die by rainfall are left treating probabilities as predictions. This article looks at what the research says, why it matters for agriculture and other weather dependent sectors, and where long range forecasting needs to go next. Read the full article: linkedin.com/pulse/we-relyin… Cynoptec - Know the Future™
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ONE SCREEN, TWO HORIZONS. Climate Intelligence now pairs our long-range outlooks with live ECMWF model guidance, built into the same viewer. The long-range calls the windows months ahead. The new EC panel then sharpens each window as it arrives: daily rain to 10 days, wind, temperatures, rain vs normal for your district, and cyclone tracking with the full ensemble spread. Updated automatically twice a day. The panel launches in beta, with map resolution and new features improving as updates drop over the season. Members: live now at cynoptec.com. Cynoptec - Know the Future™
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High energy period from 19 to 25 October is delivering. Southeast Queensland has seen falls of over 300 mm. The next broadscale system is now lining up widespread severe storms across large parts of Australia into the end of the month, with damaging winds, giant hail, intense rain and isolated tornadoes. Long range forecasts now extend out to December 2027 at cynoptec.com Cynoptec - Know the Future™ #Cynoptec #KnowTheFuture #SevereWeather #AusAg
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🐂🌩️ CATTLE CONNECT & A SIGNIFICANT WEEK OF WEATHER ACROSS AUSTRALIA A successful few days in Wagga Wagga for Cattle Connect with Cattle Australia! From genetics and fine food to agriculture and weather, it's been a great event bringing together people from across the industry. Meanwhile, it's been a significant few days for weather across Australia. 🌧️ Stuart Williams discusses the major weather event that has moved through southeast Queensland and northeast New South Wales. ⛈️ With Cynoptec's high energy period running from 19–25 October, Stuart's attention now turns to a broad thunderstorm outbreak expected to progress through the central interior towards eastern Australia over the coming days. ✈️ Next stop, the Gold Coast, as Stuart returns to following the developing weather conditions. A big thank you to Cattle Australia and everyone involved in Cattle Connect! 📍 How has the weather been in your region this week? 🌐 cynoptec.com #Cynoptec #KnowTheFuture #CattleConnect #CattleAustralia #AustralianAgriculture #AustralianWeather #ClimateIntelligence
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It's a real privilege to be invited to speak at Cattle Connect 2026 as a keynote presenter, bringing weather intelligence to the Australian cattle industry. Weather drives everything in this business: pasture, water, breeding decisions, marketing timing. I'm looking forward to sharing how long-range forecasting can help producers plan with more confidence and less guesswork. Thank you to the Cattle Connect team for the invitation. Cynoptec - Know the Future™
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Cattle Connect Wagga Wagga 2026
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🌧️ QLD & NSW RAINFALL | 22 OCT Cynoptec's long-range outlook was issued in March 2026. In our earlier October weekly update , Stuart discussed the developing rainfall pattern. How much rain have you recorded today? 📍 Reply with your town + rainfall total (mm) cynoptec.com
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Super El Niño? Widespread rainfall right on schedule. Long range forecast released to our members as early as March 2026 identified the current major weather phase and its extensive reach across multiple states to close out October 2026. Tired of the guess work? Head to cynoptec.com/dashboard/clima…
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Storms are developing just offshore of the SEQ and NENSW coast today, and that is the opening move. This is the build-up phase for several days of severe weather across the region, with 50 to 200 mm falls possible as the pattern develops. It does not end there: a second round of storms follows as an inland feature transitions east out of SA and the NT. Coastal and hinterland areas from south east Queensland through northern NSW should be preparing now. Check the latest timing, corridors and totals in the member update: cynoptec.com Cynoptec - Know the Future™
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