Managing Partner of Discerning Capital (gambling-centric investors), Father to three, and husband to one.

Vegas
Joined June 2011
Trevor Milton of Nikola infamy responding to a twitter thread between me & @preston_holland was not on my 2026 Bingo Card… but BINGO.
You're the only liar here at NBAA and the only one who said the event was less than stellar. Literally the feedback is it was the best unveiling in 25 years. These trolls and losers never stop spreading lies. The mockup was disclosed the first 5 seconds and you failed to mention that. The wings don't require the stand but we disclosed that it was a mockup. What a bloody clown you are.
1
193
Last night at Syberjet (Trevor Milton’s Jet Startup) The wings were propped up by posts and not attached to the airplane.
75
14
18
794
116,427
Why is no one talking about the clean hold on that 4th down throw by Texas? Without the clear hold, it’s a sack and not a 60 yard pass? @GatorsFB
1
133
I can’t be the only person who saw these license plates and thought ‘fondle’…
1
3
189
This is the worst thing that can happen to your team…
THE PUBLIC IS HAMMERING THE GATORS 🚨 96% of the Money on Florida ML 94% of the Bets on Florida ML 71% of the Money on Florida Spread 82% of the Bets on Florida Spread UF is getting love after beating Ole Miss 👀
1
2
678
I had been considering writing down my analysis on the actual TAM of Prediction Markets as it feels like a bubble. Now that the Bubble Queen has entered the chat, I feel like it’s a moral obligation to do the exercise.
ARK sizes the medium-term prediction market opportunity at $1 trillion to $5 trillion in annual volume. Kalshi handles over 90% of US activity today, and $ARKK, $ARKW, and $ARKF now hold direct exposure. Learn more at ark-funds.com/our-etfs
5
2
2
43
9,946
I’m hearing rumors that MGM is also considering making a hostile takeover of Martha Stewart Living with a backup plan of MTV’s Grind IP. (Kidding obvs)
4
453
This is weird to me, but I don’t know what’s left in the old IAC these days. Why wouldn’t you just buy out cash flowing Entain to fix the complicated JV structure + stop competing with a partner in the UK?
1
2
779
I think this is likely market manipulation on @Kalshi & @Polymarket. Someone bet big on no hurricanes and then did the opposite of cloud seeding. Where is the French guy with the hair dryer right now!?!? Probably mid-Atlantic Ocean with a dehumidifier. #justsayin
2
1
16
4,163
This song is a staple of my golf cart during every member guest. I need more of this on my feed.
5'6 balding Phil Collins strolling around in an office shirt singing and drumming one of the greatest songs ever is the definition of AURA.
2
8
3,914
Shocking Headline: Company proactively uses AI to grow its business while not proactively using AI to lose customers. I am a big proponent of responsible gambling stopping the <2% of people who experience real harm, but we also have to be realistic.
TIMES INVESTIGATION How DraftKings Uses A.I. to Target the Gamblers Likeliest to Lose Data science helps determine who receives betting incentives, but the company has resisted using similar technology to protect gamblers at risk of addiction. nytimes.com/2026/09/19/busin… via @NYTimes
1
500
This is the #1 thing that non-gambling America misses (especially investors looking at Polymarkets current fundraise). There is real legal risk here that generalist seem to think ‘uber did it’ - but this is very different.
Kalshi has lost 14 consecutive federal court rulings since the Minnesota decision. Overall, States have prevailed on 37 out of 43 court rulings on preliminary injunctions, TROs, or stays/injunctions pending appeal, an 86% success rate.
4
1
40
11,331
It’s Community Adjusted EBITDA for AI… #ipo #anthropic
Investors watching Anthropic define profitability as revenue before cost of goods sold and operating expenses
3
1,345
Anyone hear of any groups getting wrecked on the market making side? With so many RFQs hitting, I can imagine some smaller MMs got crushed. I’m not asking to stare at the car crash - but because I’m interested to know if it happened. If it did not, I would love to know why.
Kalshi had easily its biggest weekend ever during NFL Week 1, breaking its volume record Saturday and then breaking it again — by a narrow margin — Sunday. Kalshi’s fees on Saturday were $15.99 million, and on Sunday were $16.02 million, both a little short of the all-time record.
6
16
9,509
This was 100% worth the time and got me in the feels.
Welles Crowther was a former Boston College lacrosse player who had a trademark red bandanna. He was also working in New York on Sept. 11, 2001 when terrorists struck the World Trade Center. This is the story of how he led people to safety on that fateful day 25 years ago.
1
459
I don’t know that there has ever been a bigger day in gambling marketing. First @betr launched the Entourage ad with Piven & Crew, then @Novig ‘mogged’ them (new word for me) by dropping @sydney_sweeney half naked. @Kalshi x Trump tomorrow?
1
6
607
Daejon Love but on the gators. The thread is awesome.
I just had someone ask me if I remember a Ryan Williams, WR on the 2006 national championship team. He’s not on an official roster and Wikipedia lists him as fourth leading receiver on the team. After digging, I think we have a Daejon Love situation
1
421
I think I’m close to expert level in most things Prediction Markers, but I’m deeply embarrassed by this new realization: @mattkalish’s last name is an anagram for @Kalshi. How did I miss it until now? Real world ‘rivals’ that are anagrams is unprecedented.
1
2
350
A Plane skidded off the runway this morning at @LASairport. Not mine but also wild to see a crane out the window before takeoff…
2
1
14
8,364
@LasVegasLocally this could be a tough morning to fly out.
1
2
253