Dan Marchese (@DChartLife) profile picture

Analyst @allstarcharts | Charts/Markets/Stocks/Trends | Views are my own

Toronto
Joined September 2009
Photo by Dan Marchese (@DChartLife)Photo by Dan Marchese (@DChartLife)Photo by Dan Marchese (@DChartLife)Photo by Dan Marchese (@DChartLife)Photo by Dan Marchese (@DChartLife)Photo by Dan Marchese (@DChartLife)Photo by Dan Marchese (@DChartLife)Photo by Dan Marchese (@DChartLife)Photo by Dan Marchese (@DChartLife)Photo by Dan Marchese (@DChartLife)
We've seen days like this before. Every time it feels like the big one, like it's different this time. Maybe it is. Everyone's freaking out, calling the AI trade dead. Feels like an overreaction, but it's no time to be a hero either. I expected the market to act differently by now. It hasn't, so I'm on the sidelines until I see what I want.
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Buy the dip or bear market?
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👀
Imagine when this bull market eventually ends (I’m not predicting that it will happen soon) we return to a period in which value stocks outperform growth stocks. According to Fama-French data, growth stocks outperformed in 8 of the 13 years from 1926 to 1939, before value stocks dominated for the majority of the next 70 years. I can’t imagine value outperforming for the NEXT SEVEN DECADES of my career. But for market participants starting out in 1939, that was the exact environment they had to navigate. One of the big drivers for a change like this is likely higher interest rates.
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Here's what the NYSE composite did today while the market threw away tech stocks.
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Long-term healthcare still looks strong, but is it time for a breather?
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Equal Weight Software just closed the day at its highest level ever.
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Real ones only 💯
Shout out to my brothers and sisters who post charts, talk about how they are looking at the market, and are approaching their trades with real money in the line. We will be right and we will be wrong, but we know that is how real trading works.
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Dan Marchese retweeted
Anchors I am watching on the equally weighted S&P 500 $RSP Earlier today @DChartLife and I were discussing what would happen if we lost semiconductors as a group. My answer was I don't care if they correct as long as a bunch of other groups take their place. Because that is bull market behavior. Staples and other "boring" groups may not be as "important" as a group like semis but as long as people are buying stocks I think that provides you with a surprising amount of context about the environment.
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Dan Marchese retweeted
Find yourself a community who will teach, challenge, and support you on your trading journey. Need a community? Let me share mine... The crew at @StockMktTV. They go by a lot of names: colleagues, mentors, traders, CMTs, friends... but to me, they're family. Next stop, Las Vegas!
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I was fortunate to hear @daChartLife give a fantastic presentation at our portfolio accelerator event last week. One of my favorite things he said was, “I’m a good stock picker, but I’m a great stock picker when more stocks are making new highs than lows.” That’s the difference breadth makes.
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Last week I attended the @StockMktTV Portfolio Accelerator event in NYC and heard from some of the sharpest minds in finance. With hundreds of charts to choose from, here are 3 standouts from each presentation. Check it out! ⬇️ thechartreport.com/10-03-26/…
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Facts only
For those who don’t understand market dynamics. $QQQ and $XLK making all-time highs doesn’t refute weak breadth. A handful of mega-caps can make new highs while the average stock struggles. Using index highs to dismiss poor breadth is a straw man argument.
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Market analysis means looking around, the more time you spend and the deeper you dive, the more puzzle pieces you gather. 🧩
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Bad breadth means more stocks have been moving lower than higher. That’s been the case most recently, but no one said the bull market was ending because of it.
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Another great couple of days with the @StockMktTV crew and friends. Great presentations and plenty of trade ideas. Looking forward to doing it all again in Vegas!
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🙌🏼🙌🏼
There is always time for a quick trip to the NYSE 📈
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Tell em Louis‼️
going back to a windows PC after spending a week with my Mac feels like stepping into the 90s once you go Mac you never go back
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They do say Q4 is for the smalls 👀
So small caps $IWM is a crowded short trade. Futures traders are all on one side of the boat.
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There are many strategies for making money in the market, and I’m sure there’s a few standouts that can make more trading multiple timeframes in a messy environment. But don’t get it twisted, most strategies need stocks going up. Find a clean process and repeat it. Their strategy isn’t better than yours; they’re just more disciplined.
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If you’ve sized your position incorrectly, you’re at a disadvantage from the start. Finding the right balance where it’s big enough to matter for your portfolio if you’re right, but it’s not too big where you will get emotional and make bad decisions is more important than anything else.
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