
#DaBears Writer, Analyst & Creator Where Advanced Analytics Meets 312 Sports
Chicago, IL
Joined September 2025
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NFC North QB Rankings Through Week 7, per @statyxio:
Caleb Williams is outperforming the other QBs in the NFL’s toughest division.
King of the North. 👑
Colston Loveland through 7 games:
2025 2026
• 17 receptions • 24 receptions
• 235 rec yards • 244 rec yards
• 2 rec TD • 2 rec TD
Loveland still finished as the Bears’ leading receiver last season.
Don’t be surprised when No. 84 finishes this season as one of the NFL’s top tight ends.
TOP 10 QBs IN QBR THROUGH WEEK 7:
1. Caleb Williams: 79.6
2. Brock Purdy: 79.5
3. Joe Burrow: 77.2
4. Josh Allen: 76.5
5. Drake Maye: 76.2
6. Dak Prescott: 75.4
7. C.J. Stroud: 68.1
8. Patrick Mahomes: 67.2
9. Michael Penix Jr.: 67.0
10. Matthew Stafford: 66.2
Caleb Williams leads the entire NFL in QBR.
Ben Johnson has this Bears offense rolling.
2026 NFL Leaders in Explosive Receptions:
1. Rome Odunze (CHI): 11
1. Luther Burden III (CHI): 11
3. Jaxon Smith-Njigba (SEA): 10
3. Christian Watson (GB): 10
5. Drake London (ATL): 9
5. Tetairoa McMillan (CAR): 9
5. Matthew Golden (GB): 9
8. Mike Evans (TB): 8
8. Chris Olave (NO): 8
10. Keon Coleman (BUF): 7
Ben Johnson has the TWO most explosive WRs in football.
NFC NORTH SHOWDOWN: LIONS VS. PACKERS
Tomorrow’s matchup simulated 10,000 times using real data from this season.
Detroit …. 👀
My favorite play from Caleb last night. Steps up with pressure and absolutely rifles one to Luther.
LB3 belongs in the best hands in the NFL conversation.
Caleb Williams’ NFL Rankings, per (@statyx):
• 1st in CPOE (+9.0%)
• 1st in clean pocket completion % (84.8%)
• 1st in completion % without blitz (83.0%)
• 2nd in completion % (71.0%)
• 3rd in EPA/dropback (+0.348)
• 3rd in success rate (51.3%)
• 4th in explosive completion % (12.9%)
• 5th in lowest INT rate (0.8%)
• 7th in yards per attempt (8.23)
At 24 years old.
Bear. Down.
Caleb Williams’ NFL Rankings, per (@statyx):
• 1st in CPOE (+9.0%)
• 1st in clean pocket completion % (84.8%)
• 1st in completion % without blitz (83.0%)
• 2nd in completion % (71.0%)
• 3rd in EPA/dropback (+0.348)
• 3rd in success rate (51.3%)
• 4th in explosive completion % (12.9%)
• 5th in lowest INT rate (0.8%)
• 7th in yards per attempt (8.23)
At 24 years old.
Bear. Down.
Chicago’s Top 3 Highest Paid Defensive Players:
1. Jaylon Johnson - $24,502,380
2. Montez Sweat - $22,766,472
3. Grady Jarrett - $18,925,000
46% of the total defensive salary cap. Lol.
Luther Burden III should have a BIG game against New England:
• NE ranks 30th defending the short-middle field, allowing 8.7 yards per target
• 44.4% target rate per route in Week 6, up from 18.4% in Week 5
• 65% of Burden’s Week 6 snaps came from the slot
Burden’s role is growing and the Patriots have a weakness exactly where he likes to operate.
Don’t be surprised if Caleb Williams looks his way early and often.
Bears vs. Patriots: 10,000 Simulations.
Using 2026 NFL data, this model factors in defensive coverages, QB performance, pressure rates, offensive tendencies, coaching decisions, weather and game situations.
You’ll never guess what happens at the end..
Kyler Gordon’s first career INT came against the Patriots.
Drake Maye ranks 2nd in the NFL in interceptions thrown.
👀
Christian Gonzalez is a top 10 CB in the NFL, but there’s a big drop off behind him in New England’s secondary.
In catches allowed, the Patriots’ CB2 position ranks 29th out of 32 teams (@statyxio).
With Carlton Davis dealing with an injury, Chicago’s WR room should have a mismatch all night.
Burden gives Caleb a real touchdown threat Thursday. He leads Chicago’s wideouts with 43 targets and 361 yards through Week 6.
His nine red-zone targets are more than Odunze and Raymond combined. That connection could be a big part of another multi-TD night for Caleb.
A nugget for Thursday night’s Bears-Patriots matchup:
Caleb Williams’ passing TD line is set at 1.5. He’s hit 80% over in the last 10 games.
The Patriots’ pass defense ranks 21st in both pass success rate and CPOE allowed.
Caleb Williams ranks 1st in the NFL in CPOE.
Data via @statyxio
A nugget for Thursday night’s Bears-Patriots matchup:
Caleb Williams’ passing TD line is set at 1.5. He’s hit 80% over in the last 10 games.
The Patriots’ pass defense ranks 21st in both pass success rate and CPOE allowed.
Caleb Williams ranks 1st in the NFL in CPOE.
Data via @statyxio
The Bears should kick the tires on Quenton Nelson if the Colts have a fire sale.
Joe Thuney was traded for a 4th round pick.
Imagine:
LT: Joe Thuney
LG: Quenton Nelson
RG: Jonah Jackson
RT: Darnell Wright
Nelson is still only 30 and could eventually replace Thuney. This also gives Ozzy Trapilo more time to develop.
Don’t forget. The Bears also drafted the best Center in all of college football last year!
Wrote my first article. Really excited to start sharing more of my thoughts and love for the game in a different way.
Hope you guys enjoy reading it as much as I enjoyed writing it!
Caleb Williams’ NFL Rankings, per (@statyx):
• Completion %: 72.5% (1st)
• CPOE: +9.8% (1st)
• Clean Pocket Comp %: 84.7% (1st)
• Comp % No Blitz: 87.5% (1st)
• EPA/Dropback: +0.332 (4th)
• Success Rate: 51.4% (3rd)
• INT Rate: 1.1% (7th)
• Sack Rate: 9.0% (5th)
• Comp % Under Pressure: 50.0% (7th)
@CALEBcsw is HIM.












