Afghan Voice in a Noisy Region | Researcher & Fulbright Scholar | Expect analysis, history, geopolitics, uncomfortable Qs & occasional optimism

Afghanistan
Joined July 2023
I write about Afghanistan from an Afghan perspective; politics, history, society, economy and the regional powers shaping its future. Not everything happening in Afghanistan fits neatly into black and white. Most of it exists somewhere in the grey. That is the space I am interested in. I explore what is actually happening inside the country, why it is happening, how we got here, where Afghanistan might be going and, where possible, how we can help steer it in a better direction. Expect analysis, history, geopolitics, uncomfortable questions and occasionally some optimism.
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Herein lies the problem, when the state and its touts label anyone who says he’s a Mehsud by tribe as a TTP fighter and then take the liberty to mistranslate what is being said. He complains about his living condition and they claim the Taliban willingly published a TTP fighter naming his faction to the interior ministry. Zero integrity, full on racisim.
A TTP militant met with Taliban Interior Minister Sirajuddin Haqqani in Khost, where he introduced himself and made the following statement: “My name is Zabihullah, I am from Kotkai, South Waziristan, affiliated with the TTP’s Hakimullah Mehsud and Qari Hussain factions.”
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Dawood Safi retweeted
پاکستان کلونه کلونه د سوداګرۍ او اقتصادي فشارونو له لارې افغانستان تنګاوه؛ خو اوس ایران همدا لوبه له پاکستان سره کوي او د LPG ګازو د صادراتو د مسیر بدلولو او د بیو لوړولو ګواښ ورته کوي. وګورئ، د زمانې څرخ څنګه راوګرځېد! پاتې خبره خپله درک کولای شئ!
There is a certain irony in what is happening to Pakistan. For years, Islamabad weaponized trade routes and economic dependence to pressure Afghanistan. Now, Iran is using the same playbook against them by threatening to redirect LPG exports and charge Pakistan higher prices over Islamabad siding with Iran’s enemies. How the tables have turned. Karma is a.... you know what.
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“Adversity is a privilege.”
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Dawood Safi retweeted
A 12 kg LPG cylinder has reportedly jumped from Rs4,500 to around Rs7,000 in parts of Pakistan following disruptions at the Iranian crossings. Now Iran is threatening even higher prices starting Monday. Pakistan may have one of the region’s largest militaries, but how much economic pressure can it actually absorb when someone else starts weaponizing trade routes and economic dependence against it?
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YES, because every intelligence agency puts its secret missions on official letters with signatures and stamps. How stupid do you have to be to believe this?
🚨 دست طالبان در ناامنی‌های ایران؛ ادعای حمایت تسلیحاتی و مالی از جیش‌العدل نامه‌ای محرمانه منتسب به استخبارات رژیم طالبان که خطاب به ملا هبت‌الله، رهبر این گروه، ارسال شده است، حاوی ادعاهایی جدی درباره دیدار مسئولان ارشد استخبارات طالبان با مسئولان نظامی و سیاسی گروه جیش‌العدل (جبهه مبارزین مردمی) و حمایت مالی و تسلیحاتی از این گروه است. بر اساس متن این نامه، ریاست عمومی استخبارات طالبان خواستار تأمین و توزیع ۱۰ قلم سلاح و مواد انفجاری برای جیش‌العدل شده است. در پاسخ، ملا هبت‌الله چنین هدایت داده است: «ملاحظه شد، متن پیشنهاد منظور است. ریاست عمومی استخبارات با هماهنگی ریاست تثبیت، ثبت و مراقبت بیت‌المال برای گروه متحد جهادی تجهیزات مورد نیاز را توزیع نماید. در تأمین امنیت مسئولین آنها توجه جدی صورت گیرد و با توجه به جهاد آنها علیه ظلم، از هیچ نوع همکاری دریغ نشود.» این ادعاها در حالی مطرح می‌شود که هم‌زمان با سفر زلمی خلیل‌زاد به افغانستان و دیدار مسئولان گروه جیش‌العدل با ملا هبت‌الله، این گروه فعالیت‌های عملیاتی خود را در ایران آغاز کرده است. اگر اصالت این نامه و مفاد آن تأیید شود، موضوع می‌تواند پرسش‌های جدی درباره نقش استخبارات رژیم طالبان در حمایت از گروه‌های مسلح فرامرزی و پیامدهای امنیتی آن برای منطقه ایجاد کند. آتش ناامنی مرز نمی‌شناسد؛ اگر حمایت از گروه‌های مسلح و مداخله در کشورهای همسایه ادامه یابد، پیامدهای آن می‌تواند دامن‌گیر تمام منطقه شود. #طالبان #ایران #جیش_العدل #امنیت_منطقه
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From Lahor. Allegedly, writer of 14 books. Represents the highest level of intellectual ethics and manners a Punjabi "intellectual" can offer.
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Dawood Safi retweeted
The exclusion of young people living in Afghanistan from a position claiming to represent Afghan youth is inexcusable. Consultation does not equal representative authority. The diaspora representative still decides who to consult, which concerns merit attention, and how those accounts are interpreted and presented internationally. This is all done through their own lens and experiences. It is essentially a form of gatekeeping, not a substitute for direct representation. “security risks”: What precisely is the danger in discussing issues like Pakistani airstrikes, unemployment, floods, environmental degradation, economic development, or the everyday needs of Afghan youth? Where genuine risks exist, why deny young Afghans the right to assess those risks and decide for themselves whether to participate? The treatment of Madina Mahboobi after her UN appearance also raises an uncomfortable question about whether the concern is solely for the safety of Afghans inside the country, or whether certain perspectives become unwelcome when they challenge established political narratives. Visa restrictions and travel difficulties are obstacles that institutions committed to meaningful representation should seek to overcome, not use to justify exclusion. Select qualified young Afghans from within the country, advocate for their participation, and pursue remote arrangements when necessary. Otherwise, the process risks preserving international platforms for voices outside Afghanistan while denying those living with the consequences of international decisions the opportunity to speak for themselves.
Thank you for sharing this important concern. Selecting youth representatives from inside Afghanistan would pose serious security risks for them. There are also significant visa barriers and travel restrictions. For these reasons, applicants must currently reside outside Afghanistan. However, the representative’s main responsibility is to consult Afghan youth inside the country and bring their voices to international platforms. More details: aptyouth.org/guidelines-for-…
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A 12 kg LPG cylinder has reportedly jumped from Rs4,500 to around Rs7,000 in parts of Pakistan following disruptions at the Iranian crossings. Now Iran is threatening even higher prices starting Monday. Pakistan may have one of the region’s largest militaries, but how much economic pressure can it actually absorb when someone else starts weaponizing trade routes and economic dependence against it?
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Dawood Safi retweeted
The IEA's single decision to punish Pakistan for weaponizing trade routes has been their best decision to date. Nobody expected it. They did it.
There is a certain irony in what is happening to Pakistan. For years, Islamabad weaponized trade routes and economic dependence to pressure Afghanistan. Now, Iran is using the same playbook against them by threatening to redirect LPG exports and charge Pakistan higher prices over Islamabad siding with Iran’s enemies. How the tables have turned. Karma is a.... you know what.
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Babak Zanjani, the Iranian billionaire and oil tycoon, is threatening: "Pakistan has no choice but to engage and cooperate with Iranian traders; otherwise, it will see the consequences of its decisions starting tomorrow, and we will raise gas prices until the decision-makers of that country are overthrown."
«سیاستمداران پاکستانی مننظر قیمت‌های جدید گاز در روز دوشنبه باشند» باز شدن مرزهای پاکستان به‌تنهایی کمکی به این کشور نمی‌کند. رانندگان ایرانی و پاکستانی نباید بیش از ۴۸ ساعت در مرزها متوقف بمانند و البته باید با احترام و شأن مناسب با آنان برخورد شود. پاکستان راهی جز تعامل و همکاری با تجار ایران ندارد؛ در غیر این صورت، تبعات تصمیمات خود را از فردا خواهد دید و قیمت های گاز را تا سرنگونی تصمیم گیران آن کشور بالا خواهیم برد. مسیرهای جایگزین را برای فروش گاز باز کرده‌ایم؛ مسیرهایی گران‌تر، تمیزتر و همراه با احترام متقابل برای مردان ایرانی… بخش خصوصی دیگر فریب وعده‌های سیاستمداران پاکستانی را نخواهد خورد و این روند ادامه خواهد داشت. #بابک‌زنجانی #دات‌وان
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There is a certain irony in what is happening to Pakistan. For years, Islamabad weaponized trade routes and economic dependence to pressure Afghanistan. Now, Iran is using the same playbook against them by threatening to redirect LPG exports and charge Pakistan higher prices over Islamabad siding with Iran’s enemies. How the tables have turned. Karma is a.... you know what.
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The 30-year-old fossils still blasting stories on Snapchat acting as teenagers, I’m sorry you peaked in high school.
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Afghan Pomegranate has made it to the US of A.
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Leader Seung-ho: I just want what is right for my people. LSH: What is best for them? Ko: Hope. Leader Seung-ho: That is a dangerous word.
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Dawood Safi retweeted
“Asim Munir, you Zionist spy, get out of our Iran!” A frosty reception from Iranian officials, followed by protesters chanting against him in the streets of Tehran. Not quite the welcome Pakistan’s de facto supreme leader, Field Marshal Asim Munir, was expecting.
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Dawood Safi retweeted
⚡️BREAKING: Iran has Cut Off LPG exports to Pakistan following Islamabad's Border Closure with Iran due to US Pressure Approximately 50% (half) of Pakistan's total LPG imports comes from Iran The price of a 12 kg LPG cylinder has risen to 7,000 Pakistani rupees ($25) from 4,500 rupees ($16) within days and could climb further - Reuters
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“Asim Munir, you Zionist spy, get out of our Iran!” A frosty reception from Iranian officials, followed by protesters chanting against him in the streets of Tehran. Not quite the welcome Pakistan’s de facto supreme leader, Field Marshal Asim Munir, was expecting.
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Dawood Safi retweeted
The Afghan Youth Representative to the UN is supposed to represent a generation facing a multitude of challenges inside Afghanistan, yet not a single young person residing in the country is eligible to apply. This is not simply a selection process that favors the diaspora. It is the complete exclusion of the population whose interests the position claims to represent.
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There have been many reports that Pakistan is arming Afghans to fight the Taliban in Afghanistan. Now there are reports that the Pakistani military is recruiting Afghans to fight against anti-Pakistan insurgents. As things currently stand, relations between #Afghanistan and #Pakistan are likely to get much worse.
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