Market structure, Liquidity, Historical and time based trading | Team Paragon | Intra-day and swing trader | NFA Join me in Paragon, link in bio.
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Somewhere between the 18th of november 2027 to the 15th of february 2028, $BTC will be trading between 105k and 136k.
Bookmark it.
It's going to be beautiful when Q4 ends and people start to accept the fact that $BTC bottomed in Q3 of 2026.
Then the permabears will continue to make up new reasons to why bitcoin hasn't bottomed, and it'll be the never ending story all over again, with them celebrating every bullmarket pullback and continue becoming exit liquidity.
To add to this, most are just engagement farmers and most KOLs get paid to flip bearish at local bottoms and absolutely bullpost at local tops.
They don't want you to win, and that's the game we have to play.
Also thought this would be an interesting trade to share with y'all outside of crypto.
Currently in a swing long on $TTWO the parent company of Rockstar games.
I have a good feeling about this set-up, as #GTA6 is around the corner as well as earnings for TTWO, which I believe will come in very strong, but it's not just that.
From a technical standpoint, we've been forming a bullish harmonic over this past year into the release of the game, and I personally believe with all the hype around this game, not just the sales, TTWO stock can see a very nice move to the upside.
This here is what I'm currently looking for headed into november for bitcoin:native
PA is going to be extremely tough to navigate, but I believe we'll be out of the woods soon.
Be patient and don't get rekt.
bitcoin:native PA is currently as hunty as it gets, They're shaking everybody out before the next move, be on the right side.
So you didn't long the range lows last time on $BTC because you wanted lower, then you FOMO longed 84k just so see it retrace back to the range lows again.
Will you long this time, or stay sidelined like everybody else calling for lower once again?😜
And when you least expect it, aster-2:native is gonna pull some shit like this after accumulating for so long.
Saw a nice short squeeze today in NYO for bitcoin:native but for now has once again rejected one of my key levels at 83.4k.
I want to see thise levels, as well as our previous weekly high at 84.3k reclaimed with strength.
You see a 51.20% rise in bitcoin:native
An asset that has obviously matured before your eyes...
Has held up with mad strength against all macro economic factors....
And you're still bearish?
You're an idiot.
Seeing a weekend dump after a few weekend pumps is making me feel a bit bullish about next week... bitcoin:native
Even though $BTC could retest these levels, they definitely aren't a given, especially at this stage of the cycle.
Local bottom is either in, or close to it.
You're probably asking yourself, "What are these levels, monkey?"
Lemme explain.
I've marked 4 key levels where I believe bitcoin:native could retest before it makes it's run to the 90-95k area before it's next capitulation stage. These levels sit between a 10-15% drop relative to the 87.4k high.
The reason behind aiming for that 10-15% drop is simple, to me and a few others at least, and it's because of the fact that right in-front of your eyes this year, Bitcoin has shown it's first signs as maturing as a financial asset, seeing only a 54% retrace from it's 126k high in 2025 in a total of 268 days.
Now if you're still one of these 4 year cycle believers and still believe we're heading below 57K, I'm extremely confident in telling you, you're wrong, and are very likely sidelined.
Now what this means for bitcoin is very simple, the highs aren't going to be as parabolic anymore and bottoms aren't going to be as extreme, but this also means that from here on out, our bear market rallies, and our bull market pullbacks are going to be much less extreme and by my calculations, as well as some pointers and help from @KillaXBT , It's also extremely unlikely that we see more than a 15% pullback at any given time this cycle, although i would like to say, the maximum pullback potentially, in a capitulation stage, would likely be 20% at a maximum, giving this thesis a 5% margin of error.
The point I'm trying to get across is simple, for all of us to get what we want, which is more capital to flow into bitcoin, it HAS to mature as an asset.
No institution or bank wants anything to do with an asset thats going to pullback 90% every 4 years, as that pushes basic retail away from it. Where as if BTC begins to "mature", giving good returns with shallower pullbacks every cycle, this is where we can get basic retail, like S&P500, NASDAQ investors on board, as well as HUGE financial institutions and begin taking BTC seriously as an asset.
You can keep denying it, find every reason to be bearish, but Structure and PA doesn't lie, we can already see that it has begun, and they've already begun the transition into something that will become far more stable over time.
The 4 year cycle is dead.
You're probably asking yourself, "What are these levels, monkey?"
Lemme explain.
I've marked 4 key levels where I believe bitcoin:native could retest before it makes it's run to the 90-95k area before it's next capitulation stage. These levels sit between a 10-15% drop relative to the 87.4k high.
The reason behind aiming for that 10-15% drop is simple, to me and a few others at least, and it's because of the fact that right in-front of your eyes this year, Bitcoin has shown it's first signs as maturing as a financial asset, seeing only a 54% retrace from it's 126k high in 2025 in a total of 268 days.
Now if you're still one of these 4 year cycle believers and still believe we're heading below 57K, I'm extremely confident in telling you, you're wrong, and are very likely sidelined.
Now what this means for bitcoin is very simple, the highs aren't going to be as parabolic anymore and bottoms aren't going to be as extreme, but this also means that from here on out, our bear market rallies, and our bull market pullbacks are going to be much less extreme and by my calculations, as well as some pointers and help from @KillaXBT , It's also extremely unlikely that we see more than a 15% pullback at any given time this cycle, although i would like to say, the maximum pullback potentially, in a capitulation stage, would likely be 20% at a maximum, giving this thesis a 5% margin of error.
The point I'm trying to get across is simple, for all of us to get what we want, which is more capital to flow into bitcoin, it HAS to mature as an asset.
No institution or bank wants anything to do with an asset thats going to pullback 90% every 4 years, as that pushes basic retail away from it. Where as if BTC begins to "mature", giving good returns with shallower pullbacks every cycle, this is where we can get basic retail, like S&P500, NASDAQ investors on board, as well as HUGE financial institutions and begin taking BTC seriously as an asset.
You can keep denying it, find every reason to be bearish, but Structure and PA doesn't lie, we can already see that it has begun, and they've already begun the transition into something that will become far more stable over time.
The 4 year cycle is dead.