JR

This trader built a bot with Claude Fable 5 and made $96,000 on Polymarket. Average trade size: $3. The bot trades crypto Up/Down markets using a hybrid strategy that combines two-sided market making, arbitrage, and directional trading. The strategy has 5 steps: 1. Monitors multiple crypto markets continuously The bot tracks BTC, ETH, and SOL price action in real-time across different time windows. 2. Calculates its own fair probability for Up and Down No reliance on Polymarket prices. The bot builds its own model and compares it to the order book. 3. Places orders at prices that keep the combined cost of Up + Down below $1 This is the arbitrage edge. If Up costs 0.52 and Down costs 0.49, total is 1.01. The bot waits. When total drops below 1.00, it enters. 4. Manages the unhedged portion of the position After capturing arbitrage, the bot actively manages remaining exposure instead of holding passively. 5. Keeps directional exposure when its model identifies one outcome as undervalued When the bot sees clear mispricing, it leans into the undervalued side and holds until the edge closes. The entire edge is repeating small wins thousands of times. With an average trade size of $3, the bot captures micro-edges that manual traders ignore. No emotions. No hesitation. Just calculated entries repeated at scale until they compound into serious profit. Most people try to make big bets and predict major moves. This system just identifies tiny mispricings, enters with $3 average positions, and repeats the process until it grows the account. $96K profit built on thousands of $3 trades. The system runs autonomous: → Claude Fable 5 handles 5-step decision logic → Monitors multiple crypto markets 24/7 → Calculates fair probability independent of Polymarket prices → Enters when combined Up + Down cost drops below $1 → Manages unhedged positions actively → Holds directional exposure when model sees clear edge No manual trading. No guessing. Just finding micro-edges and exploiting them thousands of times. 💡 I'm sharing the complete Claude Fable 5 prompt and 5-step hybrid trading workflow. Free for 24 hours. To get it: 1️⃣ Comment the "Claude" 2️⃣ Like and Repost 3️⃣ Follow @codewithimanshu I'll DM you the setup.

My girlfriend caught me smiling at my laptop at 2AM. I was not trading. I was calculating. Every price on Polymarket comes from one equation: P(i) = exp(qᵢ / b) / Σ exp(qⱼ / b) Softmax function. The same math GPT uses to pick the next word. Polymarket uses it to price every contract. Most traders see 40 cents and think cheap. I see 40 cents and check the liquidity parameter. b = 50 means one whale swings the market 20% b = 100,000 means barely moves Half my old trades were in thin pools. One order wrecked my fill. I was losing money to a formula I did not know existed. So I learned it. Then I built a bot around it. EV = true_prob x (1 - market_price) - (1 - true_prob) x market_price The bot checks b, calculates EV, sizes with Kelly: f = (p x b - q) / b And executes before my morning coffee gets cold. $200 starting bankroll. 6 weeks later: $18,700. I did not predict a single outcome. The bot just reads the math that 93% of traders ignore. I built the entire framework: LMSR pricing model Expected value calculation Kelly sizing at 5% Bayesian probability updates 5 cognitive traps that blow accounts The system scans markets 24/7. Finds mispricing. Executes before the gap closes. No emotions. No FOMO. Just math. You only need Claude + device + 1 hour per day. Giving this free for 24 hours. To get it: 1. Comment the word "money" 2. Like and retweet this 3. Follow me @codewithimanshu so I can DM you Save this post. Deploy the softmax system this week. Start with $200. Scale on evidence.