Bloomberg @opinion contributing columnist; @MSNOWNews contributor; @thedispatch contributing writer; Author “IN TRUMP'S SHADOW" via @twelvebooks
Washington, D.C.
Joined January 2010
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Thrilled to announce "In Trump's Shadow," my first book — on 2024 & Trump's generational impact on GOP. Special thanks for bringing it to life go to my editor @skdesmond1973, my agents @matt_latimer & @keithurbahn + everyone at @JavelinDC. Pre-order: amzn.to/3ACBxr4 =>
P.S. if you think political enviro isn’t toxic for Rs, take it up w/ very good GOP pollsters who know how to model red states & weight surveys accordingly. That’s the data GOP groups use to determine spending. What happens 11/03? Who knows. But the enviro is what it is.
Can party washed out in wave mitigate damage? Yep. Some targeted incumbents usually survive cuz weren’t caught off guard/work hard every year. Massive party $$, deployed wisely, also effective. Rs benefited in ‘06. (Of course, Part II of that wave crashed on them in ‘08)
This dude is so on point. #GoBruins =>
That House/Senate races are tight is typical for wave elections. Most are decided on a knife’s edge - it’s that in a wave, most are won by the party that rides the wave. The blowout is in the aggregate - not the margin in individual contests.
NEW from MAINE: On the political unicorn that is @SenatorCollins and why she’s as competitive, or more so, in a blue state as many GOP senate contenders are in red states (and why she might lose anyway.) bloomberg.com/opinion/articl… @opinion
Running Indies in red states to sidestep the Dem brand challenges tends not to work. Where Democrats have real shots in red states they’re running good Democratic candidates =>
News: doesn’t look like the blue wave is going to hit South Dakota
GOP Sen. Rounds leads independent Brian Bengs 57% to 36% in the deep-red state, according to a new poll conducted in mid-October by Quantus Insights.
semafor.com/article/10/21/20…
David M. Drucker retweeted
For much of the past century, the steel towns of this valley — Mahoning, Trumbull, Stark and Columbiana counties — were where Ohio Democrats banked their margins. Trump unmoored that hold in 2016. Now Republicans cannot win the state without the valley’s working-class voters. With polls showing competitive Senate and governor’s races, this corner of northeast Ohio will have an outsize impact in deciding who wins both. ( GIFT LINK) my latest from Ohio:
wapo.st/4ic4wsr
David M. Drucker retweeted
Much of what you’re hearing on the campaign trail is flatly untrue, if not a tad preposterous, @DavidMDrucker says bloomberg.com/opinion/articl…
Congress typically isn’t interested in challenging presidential power. So …. =>
Tillis. Not holding back. Also saw @JohnCornyn just tweet “Lindsey would be appalled.” But key question…what can/is the senate going to do about it?
David M. Drucker retweeted
"As in the Cold War, the only way to deal with excess Russian escalation is to meet it with equal or greater counterforce. Be under no illusions: a Russian outrage is coming. It’s coming because Putin believes he can get away with it." washingtonexaminer.com/in_fo…
David M. Drucker retweeted
Hey--I started a new RCP Substack. It's called "Poll Vault." It's where all of my RCP analysis will be from here on out. Publishing close to daily between now and election night. Be sure and check it out (and RT to help spread the word)!
pollvault.substack.com/p/wel…
It’s the Clippers curse. Should have stayed in San Diego. =>
"Good grief, what’s become of Jim Harbaugh?”
Harbaugh escaped Michigan (and the NCAA) for the Los Angeles Chargers with great fanfare. Columnist @jasongay on how a winless start has Coach Khakipants scrambling for quick answers. 🏈 on.wsj.com/4jYPBUQ
NEW frm OTTAWA: "Elbows Up" Canadians Reckon w/ Unthinkable — an Adversarial U.S. But will voters here give PM @MarkJCarney political greenlight to fulfill vision for a new Canada? thedispatch.com/article/mark… (my 1st as contrib writer for @thedispatch)
Youngin’s may not realize but UCLA Football has not been worth talking about since peak of the Donahue era in 90s. Small pockets of promise in 2000s were mirages. Chesney may be UCLA’s best FB coach since Dick Vermeil. And I would have said that without beating Oregon. Winning is gravy.
So this is what it’s like to field a competent football program? It’s been since the 20th Century so I forgot. #GoBruins
David M. Drucker retweeted
Complaining about subpar public relations is the last refuge of the political loser, @DavidMDrucker says bloomberg.com/opinion/articl…
Latest email appeal from POTUS’s JFC to hit my inbox: “This could be my final four weeks as president.”
Recalls Tip O’Neill’s famous quote. quote.org/quote/the-house-re… =>
NEW: Tom Emmer is taking House Republicans’ long-running frustration with the Senate further than any other GOP leader has publicly
"There are no Democrats. There are no Republicans. They are just senators," Emmer told donors last week at a closed-door fundraiser Axios attended for Rep. Mark Harris
His message to senators who keep saying they don’t have the votes for GOP priorities: “You suck”
axios.com/2026/10/06/tom-emm…
