Devraj Varshney, CFTe (@DevrajVarshney) header
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SEBI Registered Research Analyst INH000026105 | Price Action | Follow for market insights

Mumbai
Joined October 2014
Photo by Devraj Varshney, CFTe (@DevrajVarshney)Photo by Devraj Varshney, CFTe (@DevrajVarshney)Photo by Devraj Varshney, CFTe (@DevrajVarshney)Photo by Devraj Varshney, CFTe (@DevrajVarshney)Photo by Devraj Varshney, CFTe (@DevrajVarshney)Photo by Devraj Varshney, CFTe (@DevrajVarshney)Photo by Devraj Varshney, CFTe (@DevrajVarshney)Photo by Devraj Varshney, CFTe (@DevrajVarshney)Photo by Devraj Varshney, CFTe (@DevrajVarshney)Photo by Devraj Varshney, CFTe (@DevrajVarshney)
US VIX spikes ~50% as Dow cracks 3% overnight. Key takeaways for tomorrow: • Upside capped; fade any opening gap-up • Watch 24,290 (day’s low)—a break below opens a ~300 pt slide toward 200-DMA & gap-fill • Expect opening volatility on India VIX Full breakdown:
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Nifty is looking primed for an upmove as Brent crude cools off towards $100! 📉🛢️ Key takeaways & setups from today's analysis: 🔹 Crude Tailwinds: Brent breaking below $100 (testing key support near $95–$92) gives a major macro boost to Indian equities, balancing out sticky yields and DXY. 🔹 Nifty 50: Broader market breadth remains strong with Nifty holding above its 200 DEMA. A sustain above 24,200 can open upside momentum toward 24,350–24,450. 🔹 Bank Nifty: Forming a solid double-bottom pattern. A breakout above 56,060 opens the path toward 56,700–56,750. 🔹 Nifty IT: Staying patient for a confirmed breakout trigger above 33,150 before taking fresh action. 🔹 Stock on Radar — Kingfa Science 📺 Full breakdown & chart levels:
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Nifty is testing a major resistance band: • 200 DMA at ~23,900 • Crucial hurdle at 24,000 Long trigger: Sustained acceptance above 24,000 targets 24,150–24,200. Short alert: Breakdown below 23,400 opens room for fresh downside. Full analysis covering Nifty, Bank Nifty, Nifty IT, and Global Cues:
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Reliance fuels Nifty to 23,440, but can the momentum sustain against global headwinds? Key technical levels to watch: Nifty: 23500 to act as a major resistance IT Index: Eyes on 33,150 breakout Silver: Critical channel support; breakdown below $48 opens $45/$4 Detailed video -
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🚨 Market Outlook & Key Triggers for the Week • Silver in Danger Zone: Testing crucial channel support at $49–$50. Diminishing rebound strength warns of a potential breakdown toward $45 & $40 as leveraged risk capital unwinds. • Nifty Bullish Gate: Stay cautious on early longs amid weak global cues—fresh upside confirmation only activates on a sustained move above 23,260. • Nifty Downside Risk: A breakdown below Friday’s low near 22,900 opens the door for aggressive follow-up selling pressure. • Nifty IT Breakout Levels: Closed above 32,500 after 5 green days. An aggressive follow-through above 33,150 unlocks gap-fill targets. • Inter-Market Divergence: Tech hardware earnings misses (Intel) & firm DXY keep risk appetite fragile—watch Bank Nifty weakness offsetting IT strength. 📺 Watch Full Breakdown:
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Nifty closes above 22,900, resolving multi-day consolidation with a positive bias. Key trade setups to watch: Intraday Long: Above 23,020 ➔ Targets: 23,150 – 23,180 Major Support: 22,500 Midcap: Strong close at 21,250 (support: 21,000) Commodities: Silver shows clear relative weakness vs Gold Full breakdown of levels & global cues:
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Pre-Fed Market Setup & Key Levels 📊 • Nifty Structure: Sharp intraday reversal from 22,500 after breaching 22,590 has distorted the Inverse H&S pattern into a choppy trading range. • Key Trigger Levels: Aggressive longs only above 22,900 (with 5-min candle confirmation); fresh weakness triggers below 22,480. • Global Cues: Dow holding trendline support near 52,000, while firming US bond yields and Brent crude ($119–$120) remain key headwinds. • Sectors to Track: Midcaps reached near 21,200 bounce; Nifty IT tests its 200 DMA with 30,900 as crucial support.
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Nifty Levels Ahead of the Fed Meet 🎯 Breakout attempts without follow-up volume = chop. The market is waiting for global cues, but price action setups are defined: 📈 Bull trigger: Acceptance above 22,830 → targets 23,000 📉 Bear trigger: Sustained breakdown below 22,590 🛡️ Bank Nifty key pivot: 53,750 🚀 Midcap 150: Bounce target open toward 21,200 Full visual breakdown on 5m/15m charts + Crude & DXY outlook in today’s video 👇
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#Nifty Inverse H&S triggers only above 22,810 toward 23,000, while a breakdown below 22,370 invites aggressive selling. Expect a sharp 200–250-point trending move once either level gives way—detailed setup here:
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Is Midcap heading for more downside, and how should you trade Nifty this week? 🤔📉 Key takeaways: 🛡️ Why sitting on cash and avoiding fresh momentum trades preserves capital 📍 22,370 pivot for Nifty & downside levels to watch ⚡ Bank Nifty breakdown levels below 53,750 🔥 Brent crude surge vs. global market cues Watch the full analysis here 👇
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Broader markets seeing continuous pressure while Nifty holds near major support. 📉 Key setup for next session: 🔻 Break & sustain below 22,620 opens room toward 22,320 🚫 Upside capped unless index crosses 23,200 ⚠️ Midcaps test 21K; Bank Nifty breaks trendline support 🛢️ Brent Crude stuck in an indecisive wedge — key trigger for next big move 📺 Detailed analysis #Nifty50 #BankNifty #TradingView #StockMarketIndia
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📊 Nifty Midcap Divergence & Key Levels for Monday ⚠️ Broader Market Weakness: While Nifty managed a green close on Friday, Midcap Nifty closed in the red for a second straight session, signalling clear underlying divergence. 🛢️ Macro Headwinds: Brent crude pressing towards $112 amid geopolitical tensions, paired with US VIX spiking to ~22, keeps the opening bias tilted toward a gap-down. 🎯 Key Breakdown Triggers: A decisive break below 22,900 on Nifty opens fresh downside. For Bank Nifty, 55,300 is crucial support, with any pullbacks toward 56,200 acting as a sell-on-rise zone. 💻 Sector Watch: Nifty IT rallied ~12% over 4 sessions into the 32,000 resistance band and is ripe for a pause or consolidation. 📺 Full chart breakdown
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Nifty surprised with an upside move today despite sticky inflation & high PPI data, largely pushed by IT and Large-caps. However, broader markets tell a different story—Midcaps closed -0.3% in the red. Key level to track tomorrow: 22,825. A breach below this opens up short opportunities (Aggressive traders keeping SL near 23,000 on closing). Waiting for a clean higher-high/higher-low structure before turning bullish. Full breakdown #Nifty #BankNifty #StockMarketIndia #TradingSetup
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Nifty Looking for a Fall to 22,400 & 22,200! Inflation Keeps Rising ⚠️ Today's bounce in Nifty looks like a classic retest failure near 22,750. With US CPI coming in hot at 3.7%, VIX rising, and Brent holding firm near $109, global cues point to heavy selling pressure. 📉 Nifty Crucial Level: 22,380 (Break below targets 22,295 / 22,200) 📉 Bank Nifty Breakdown: Below 54,700 📉 Silver: Watch for a close below 54.5 for a slide toward 49 Full chart analysis, global macro breakdown & tomorrow's game plan 👇
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Nifty Closing below 22580 on 5 min TF can trigger a fall to 22400! Could this be a retest failure?
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Don't get trapped by index-level green when the broader market tells a different story. Nifty IT surged +5.2% today, but Mid & Smallcaps saw sustained pressure until a late-hour recovery. Choppiness is ruling the tape. 🎯 Key levels to watch: • Nifty Longs only above 22,825 (aggressive, limited upside to 23,000) • Nifty Clean breakdown & short trigger below 22,290 Watch the complete technical analysis here:
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Are we heading toward 22,000 on Nifty? With Brent Crude knocking on breakout levels and global indices under pressure, here are the exact trigger levels: • Nifty breakdown zone: 22,290 • Downside target: 22,000 • Bank Nifty breakdown level: 54,500 Full breakdown of Nifty, Bank Nifty, IT & Crude impact 👇
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Nifty in a Choppy Zone? 📊 Despite the 3% gap-up rally in IT led by TCS, market breadth and global macro triggers (Brent at $107+, geopolitical risk) suggest caution. Key levels: 🔹 Range: 22,180 – 22,750 🔹 Longs only above 22,825 🔹 Watch Friday’s low for fresh weakness Detailed breakdown of Nifty, IT, Global Cues & trading levels for the week ahead 👇
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Who is getting exploited🤣
Dear Prime Minister Ambani, Please accept my humble apologies for not realizing that you are the real boss of India. Naturally, you would prefer to maintain your monopolistic exploitation of the great people of India, but would you nonetheless consider allowing Starlink to compete? There are many areas of India, as there are in all countries, with no Internet access, which denies children the opportunity for education and for small businesses the opportunity to sell their goods to a global market. Starlink would change their lives for the better. Thank you 🙏
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📉 Will Nifty Touch 22,000? Key Market Levels & Setup Ahead • Broader Market Under pressure: Midcaps witnessed intense underperformance, dropping ~2.4% vs Nifty’s 1.6% fall as broader market selling accelerated. • Nifty 50 Critical Support: A decisive slip below 22,175 opens downside risk toward the primary support band at 21,980–22,000, while any rebound near 22,385 faces fresh supply. • Bank Nifty Trend Breakdown: A sustained breakdown below 54,400 points toward subsequent downside targets at 53,800 and 53,000. • Nifty IT Facing Rejection: Higher rallies continue to see heavy supply wicks, leaving the index vulnerable toward 26,300–26,500. • Macro Headwinds: Brent Crude breaking above $108 alongside a firm US Dollar Index continues to weigh heavily on domestic market sentiment. Watch the full analysis 👇
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