Contact at [email protected] for signed books or other reasons to send me money. Hedging problem? Call 1-800-HEDGEDR
Phormerly Phillydelphia
Joined May 2010
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I’m proud to announce the launch of my second book today. To the moon!
Sharp Money: Lessons From Poker and Sports Betting To Help Grow Your Portfolio (Playing Not To Lose) a.co/d/0jlNWa0K
Dan Abrams retweeted
If I use the Kelly criterion for my bets, what’s the best approach to using that alongside parlays?
Billy and @AlexMonahaqyrt tell you how to middle bet. But in my new article on @Pinnacle I tell you WHY: pinnacle.com/betting-resourc…
Dan Abrams retweeted
🚨New Video Alert
Touts are bad, right? ....Right?!
Why you should keep your friends close, and your touts closer.🤔 (full video link in replies)
Dan Abrams retweeted
How can two bets with a 2% edge turn into a 47% edge?
The answer lies in one of sports betting's most interesting strategies: middling.
Here's how the math works w/ @DoctorRazzWSOP 🧵
Dan Abrams retweeted
Two bets, two small edges — resulting in one potentially massive advantage.
The math of middling might shock you.
@DoctorRazzWSOP ✍️
pinnacle.ca/betting-resource…
Damn wish I had two tokens so I could middle these @ValueBetsPA and @Deez_Bets_ plays!
Another great piece and @KrisAbdelmessih made a great TIPS tutorial vid here: youtu.be/Ws76uSkdllQ?is=Ig0Y…
Question for you both: if you can only invest in 30-year TIPS and an S&P500 ETF, and the expected real yield of both are the same, what asset allocation should you use?
TIPS are back in the news and that inevitably means confusion about how investors should view them.
Here's a fun thing to think about: A boat tied to a floating dock rises and falls with every tide. Measure it against the seabed and it never stops moving. Measure it against the dock from where you’ll step aboard, and it barely moves at all.
Long-term TIPS are like that boat: volatile in today’s dollars, but remarkably steady measured against the real spending they’ll support. Seen this way, most of the confusion about TIPS disappears. They do exactly what they were designed to do. And as the safest asset going, their real yield is the natural benchmark against which to judge the stock market’s expected real return when you decide how much to invest in stocks.
Are your ears sharper than your eyes?
Do you have a bunch of Audible credits collecting cobwebs? 🕸️
Well don’t forget that my latest book, Sharp Money, is on audiobook!!
Sharp Money: Lessons From Poker and Sports Betting To Help Grow Your Portfolio a.co/d/07uGgrei
Dan Abrams retweeted
Will this post go to 11? Crank it up and see!
doctorrazz.substack.com/p/ma…
The people in the comments of this post have a right to their own opinions about the cause. Many of them either blame or suspect the Covid-19 vax. The study in question only includes data until 2020.
Dan Abrams retweeted
BREAKING: Biggest news in Gambling Twitter since @Kalshi decided sports event contracts were not gambling before the 2025 Super Bowl!
doctorrazz.substack.com/p/pu…
Maybe youse all will listen now that somebody smart like @KrisAbdelmessih wrote a post about this foundational interview of @ElmWealth by @ethanrkho on the @OddsonOpen pod. It should be a prerequisite for all finance and Econ students!
moontower.substack.com/p/you…
Who do you think knows more about maximizing profits through risk management? Guys who manage billions of dollars or @MattZylbert ?
BREAKING: Biggest news in Gambling Twitter since @Kalshi decided sports event contracts were not gambling before the 2025 Super Bowl!
doctorrazz.substack.com/p/pu…