Freddy Peralta's regular-season ERA was 4.02, but he's been a different pitcher lately. Over his last 10 appearances, he's 6-0 with a 1.29 ERA. In the postseason, that ERA drops to 1.08. Milwaukee counters with Robert Gasser, who's allowed just 1 earned run in 9 playoff innings. Runs could be tough to come by in World Series Game 3.

Ravens Respond After Close Losses “Bet on Baltimore after a loss by six points or fewer. Since the 2024 season, the Ravens are 7-0 ATS in this spot, with an average line of -6.2 and a +90.9% ROI.” Few losses are tougher to absorb than the kind Baltimore suffered against Cleveland last week—a close defeat that leaves plenty of plays to replay afterward. But recent history suggests the Ravens have been especially good at turning that frustration into an immediate response rather than allowing one painful loss to become two. Since 2024, Baltimore is a perfect 7-0 ATS following losses by six points or fewer, and these haven't simply been narrow covers. The Ravens have outscored their next opponent by an average of 34.3-16.1, despite laying an average of 6.2 points. That points to a team that has consistently corrected mistakes and responded with urgency after games that slipped away. Cincinnati comes to Baltimore this week, giving the Ravens another opportunity to turn an excruciating defeat into one of their most reliable bounce-back situations.

I keep coming back to Ole Miss-Texas. The market has Texas -3.5 at home. StatSharp’s simulation has Ole Miss winning 29-24. That’s an 8.5-point swing from the spread, with the Rebels also projecting for 29 points against a 24.5 team total. If Texas’ slide is going to continue, this looks like the kind of spot where it could get expensive.

Minnesota’s biggest problem in this matchup may be painfully simple: the Gophers might not be able to run the ball at all. StatSharp projects Minnesota for just 43 rushing yards on 24 carries — 1.8 yards per attempt. Iowa, meanwhile, is projected for 146 on the ground and a 26-16 win. If Minnesota gets forced into obvious passing situations all afternoon, Iowa -7 starts to make a lot more sense.

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